The Weather Outlook

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scillydave
28 March 2025 09:48:30
It's that time if the month again for you all to dust off your formulas, theories, bits of seaweed and fingers in the wind - what will April bring us?

As the PM system no longer exists please could all predictions be emailed to me at: 

[email protected] 

As ever the deadline is 23:59 on the 31st March.

So what will April bring? It looks like a warm start to the month but beyond that who knows. April is often a month full of surprises.

The all-time CET average is 7.96c

1991 - 2020 Average          8.99c

April 2024 9.60c

All-time warmest

2011  11.9c

2007  11.3c

1865  10.6c

1943  10.5c

2020  10.5c

All time Coldest

1701  4.7c

1837  4.7c

1782  5.2c

1809  5.2c

1743  5.4c

Warmest 1991 - 2024

2011  11.9c

2007  11.3c

2020  10.5c

2014  10.3c

2009  10.10c

Coldest 1991 - 2024

2021  6.5c

2012  7.3c

2016  7.5c

2013  7.6c

1998  7.7  also 2000+2001

Please email predictions by 23:59 on the 31st March


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Hungry Tiger
28 March 2025 11:25:04
Just stickied it for you.   🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



scillydave
28 March 2025 17:10:36
Thanks Gavin.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Ally Pally Snowman
29 March 2025 14:21:23
I'm going early,  think it will be a warm one. 

10.2c for me please. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Dickieboy68
29 March 2025 21:18:55
It's a toss up between quite warm 10.6 or very warm 11.6 .... gosh this one is tricky....

..... dramatic pause .....

..... longer dramatic pause....

.... sips pint.....

10.68 for me please.


Dickieboy - In the deep mid-Wiltshire 85m ASL

Formerly Guest (16) since 2004

lanky
29 March 2025 21:31:58

I'm going early,  think it will be a warm one. 

10.2c for me please. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I thought we were back on emails again now - see top of thread


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Ally Pally Snowman
30 March 2025 08:06:10

I thought we were back on emails again now - see top of thread

Originally Posted by: lanky 

Hadn't seen that update,  thanks


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
scillydave
30 March 2025 17:18:02
Get those predictions in - for what it's worth, here is mine for April.

10.45c

A warm one! (bit of wishful thinking perhaps!)


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Jerry P
31 March 2025 07:52:38
8.5C for me please
West Somerset, 103m asl
Bolty
31 March 2025 16:48:12
10.5 for me please.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

kendalian
01 April 2025 06:36:16
Sorry I'm late, on holiday this week so forgot before deadline!

I'd go for 11.9c

Quite prepared to drop out of the competition if I'm too late to enter

Cheers Kendalian

Stormchaser
01 April 2025 08:14:00
This is a challenging month to anticipate, on account of temperatures this weekend into next week being highly sensitive to exactly how high pressure shapes up and positions itself. While chilly or cold nights look likely regardless, daily maximums in the CET zone could be anywhere from the high teens to the high single digits.

Then, further out in time, we have the hints that maybe lagged effects of a dynamic final warming of the polar vortex, which took place mid-March, could facilitate a -NAO episode and a run of relatively low temperatures. However, products such as the extended ECMWF suggest blocking highs could be centred anywhere from western Greenland to Scandinavia and as we're seeing these next few days, the latter can support warm days if the high positions and shapes up in the right way.

With all that in mind, good luck everyone!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 

2025's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Hungry Tiger
01 April 2025 11:41:22
Apologies for my late entry. ☺️

I'll go for 9.0C. I'm hoping this will be a nice month.   🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Gavin D
02 April 2025 14:05:20
Hadley

9.6 to the 1st

1.7c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

Gavin D
03 April 2025 15:41:26
Hadley

9.7 to the 2nd

1.7c above the 61 to 90 average

1.2c above the 91 to 20 average

Gavin D
04 April 2025 13:09:59
Hadley

10.2 to the 3rd

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

1.9c above the 91 to 20 average

scillydave
04 April 2025 18:49:21

UsernameApril CET Prediction                      
Kendalian11.9
Caz11.2
Jemblow11.1
Redmoons10.85
Dickiboy6810.68
Wallaw10.6
Bolty10.5
Scillydave10.45
Frank10.4
RickM10.35
DingleRob10.25
Lanky10.22
Snowshoe10.2
Spring Sun Winter Dread10.2
A G (don't know your username!)10.2
Domma10.2
Ally Pally Snowman10.2
SaintSnow10.1
GezM10
D & C M (don't know your username)10
Sussex Snow Magnet9.9
Polar Westerly9.4
WindyWillow9.39
Magda9.24
Stormchaser9.24
HungryTiger9
1991 - 2020 April CET8.99
Taylor17408.7
JerryP8.5
All time April CET7.96

Here's the table for April - it looks like everyone has gone above the long term average. Apologies to the 2 members whose usernames i haven't included - they weren't on your email and I couldn't work out who you were! I've emailed you both to find out.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Saint Snow
04 April 2025 19:12:18

Here's the table for April - it looks like everyone has gone above the long term average. Apologies to the 2 members whose usernames i haven't included - they weren't on your email and I couldn't work out who you were! I've emailed you both to find out.

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

I nearly forgot to include mine!!

🤪


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Gavin D
05 April 2025 13:00:42
Hadley

11.1 to the 4th

3.2c above the 61 to 90 average

2.8c above the 91 to 20 average

Gavin D
06 April 2025 12:21:17
Hadley

10.9 to the 5th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average

2.7c above the 91 to 20 average

four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
06 April 2025 12:28:46
6.3C (-1.0C) here currently.

Plenty of cold nights.


Ally Pally Snowman
06 April 2025 12:47:26

Hadley

10.9 to the 5th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average

2.7c above the 91 to 20 average

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

2020 copycat so far.

Remarkable spell of weather 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Gavin D
07 April 2025 13:10:46
Hadley

10.6 to the 6th

2.8c above the 61 to 90 average

2.3c above the 91 to 20 average

Saint Snow
07 April 2025 13:28:47

2020 copycat so far.

Remarkable spell of weather 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Hasn't felt as warm up here as it did in April 20, with maxes generally 15-18c. There were a number of days in April 20 that topped 20c.

(well, that's according to my declining memory!)

We're also very likely heading for a dip in 850's at least, and more unsettled.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Gavin D
08 April 2025 16:54:15
Hadley

10.3 to the 7th

2.4c above the 61 to 90 average

2.1c above the 91 to 20 average

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