Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 February 2024 12:39:05




Except for a few occasional exceptions we've been under a deluge weather pattern since July! There is not sign of the deluge ending anytime soon either, with low pressure in control of the weather through the coming week bringing further spells of heavy rain to most places. As the jet stream moves southwards we'll also find the unusually warm temperatures of recent days tending to drain away with temperatures returning back to the late February average...

Saturday morning has been mostly dry weather sunny spells being replaced by cloud. A band of rain is pushing eastwards through Northern Ireland and heading on to the west coast England, Wales and Scotland. 

The rest of the day will see outbreaks of heavy and persistent rain moving eastwards with most places turning wet by this evening. The rain will clear from western parts of the country by the end of the afternoon. Winds will become strong and gusty around Atlantic and Irish Sea coasts. Temperatures will range from 7C to 15C so yet another exceptionally mild day.

Overnight, wet weather will slowly clear from the south and east but may not clear southern coastal areas until morning. Clearer skies will follow along behind the wet weather but showers will continue in the north and west. It will be a very mild night in the south and east with temperatures of 10C to 13C but cooler further north and west at 3C to 7C (still mild though)

Sunday will be a much brighter and drier day with sunny spells but scattered showers are likely in the north and west. Exceptionally mild temperatures of 7C to 14C.

High pressure will be ridging northeastwards from the Azores on Monday. We'll start with another band of of mainly light rain clearing the south east corner, then we should have a mostly dry day with sunny spells, variable cloud and just a few scattered showers. Temperatures a couple of degrees down but still very mild at 6C to 12C. 

High pressure sinks away to the south on Tuesday allowing low pressure to start moving in from Atlantic.

Most places start Tuesday on a dry now but heavy rain and strong winds will move southeastwards through Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Gusts of wind could reach 60MPH around Atlantic and Irish Sea coasts. Heavy showers follow to western Scotland and Northern Ireland while much of the Midlands and southern England stays dry with sunny spells being replaced by cloud. Another very mild day at 6C to 12C.

Wet and windy weather pushes into the south on Tuesday night where it gets stuck while clear spells and showers follow to the north and west. 

Wednesday will be a very wet day for much of England and Wales with heavy rain and strong winds pushing back northwards again.. More rain heads into Scotland and Northern Ireland through the afternoon. Generally very mild again with temperatures of 8C to 13C but cooler for northern Scotland at just 5C.

More heavy rain on Wednesday night clears away through Thursday to be followed by showers. Heavy showers will continue all day in the north and west but southern and eastern regions will turn drier with sunny spells. Becoming cooler with temperatures of 3C to 10C. Showers turning wintry over Scottish hills.

Friday will be a breezy day with more heavy showers in the north and west while southern and eastern regions tend to have drier weather. Temperatures around average at 3C to 8C.

Next weekend may turn colder with more showers or longer spells of rain. Showers may start to turn wintry, particularly in the north. There's a lot risk of a more persistent area of rain, sleet and snow effecting parts of the country at some point through the weekend.

Summary: Very unsettled with low pressure in control. Heavy rain on many days. Exceptionally mild until mid-week, then turning cooler.
 
Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Hungry Tiger
17 February 2024 14:28:47
Thanks Gavin P.

Looks like the chances of a new all time record for February willl be knifed in the ribs.

Never mind. I think it will still be close.
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


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