Metcheck                   6.44c               Anomaly              2.24c
Netweather                6.79c               Anomaly              2.26c
Peasedown St John    6.52c               Anomaly              0.46c.  

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Looks like we (just) broke the date CET record yesterday. Oh, wouldn't it be nice to break a minimum cold record for once!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/graphs/2023/daily_meantemp_cet_2023.png 
 

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Hadley

6.5c to the 18th

2.7c above the 61 to 90 average
2.1c above the 81 to 10 average

Sod’s Law!  I made my guess yesterday and the models flip today!  So it’s looking like I went too high.  Still time to change but my policy is to stick to my first thoughts. 🙄

My post from 31st January and I’m pleased I stuck to my policy!  My 6.8c guess isn’t looking too far out at the moment. 👍

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Metcheck                 6.55c            Anomaly          2.35c
Netweather              6.9c              Anomaly          2.71c
Peasedown St John 6.57c            Anomaly          0.47c.     

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I'm not going to lie, this month has been frustrating for me from a CET perspective. Just a week ago it was looking likely to finish in the mid-5s i.e. near average due to a return of cold nights this weekend just gone, continuing through this week.

Instead it has remained very mild with colder weather pushed back a few days. Despite the final 3-4 days of the month adjusting a bit colder, the end result looks likely to be a much higher final CET, somewhere in the low to mid-6s. 

Overall, the MJO has behaved as I anticipated and this has led to a SSW much as expected - but this is one of those occasions where it makes a huge difference precisely when the CET stops going up and starts going down. Seeing which way the patterns will shift is one thing but getting the timing right is quite another! I will concede that I underestimated just how mild it was capable of becoming this month, even setting a daily CET record on 18th as Retron highlighted.

The March estimates should make for interesting viewing this year if current model and teleconnection-driven signals hold 👀

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Hadley

6.7c to the 19th

2.9c above the 61 to 90 average
2.3c above the 81 to 10 average

Can anyone provide me with a link to a website that provides daily extremes for the UK? I ask this because I keep daily records in a diary and previously used the Daily Mail weather section, but they recennly seem to have stopped publishing this data.

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Can anyone provide me with a link to a website that provides daily extremes for the UK? I ask this because I keep daily records in a diary and previously used the Daily Mail weather section, but they recennly seem to have stopped publishing this data.

The Met office are still doing it .

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation&ved=2ahUKEwjuoPGGuqT9AhVUPcAKHekuCtoQFnoECA4QAQ&usg=AOvVaw3oeWLYadvs3WUn1Y4YMMAc 

 

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Many thanks.

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If we don't actually end up getting a cold snap this month will have to go down as one of the most overhyped epic fails of a winter month ever for cold weather in what is a pretty crowded contest.
IMBY we are yet to have a single day this Feb that I would put in the cold category for maxima and would be keen to see some stats on this . Will we reach the end of the month without a sub 5C max day in the southeast ? 
Looking possible. Last February was similarly devoid of any proper cold.
 

I'm not going to lie, this month has been frustrating for me from a CET perspective. Just a week ago it was looking likely to finish in the mid-5s i.e. near average due to a return of cold nights this weekend just gone, continuing through this week.

Instead it has remained very mild with colder weather pushed back a few days. Despite the final 3-4 days of the month adjusting a bit colder, the end result looks likely to be a much higher final CET, somewhere in the low to mid-6s. 

Overall, the MJO has behaved as I anticipated and this has led to a SSW much as expected - but this is one of those occasions where it makes a huge difference precisely when the CET stops going up and starts going down. Seeing which way the patterns will shift is one thing but getting the timing right is quite another! I will concede that I underestimated just how mild it was capable of becoming this month, even setting a daily CET record on 18th as Retron highlighted.

The March estimates should make for interesting viewing this year if current model and teleconnection-driven signals hold 👀

My March guess is already in as I’m off on holiday today for two weeks. 😊

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Can anyone provide me with a link to a website that provides daily extremes for the UK? I ask this because I keep daily records in a diary and previously used the Daily Mail weather section, but they recennly seem to have stopped publishing this data.

And if you miss a day they are usually posted on the uk.sci.weather newsgroup by Colin Youngs. He’s been doing it for years and it’s a useful archive!

https://groups.google.com/g/uk.sci.weather 

 

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Metcheck                  6.72c            Anomaly            2.52c
Netweather               7.04c            Anomaly            2.85c
Peasedown St John     5.37c           Anomaly            -0.73c.            

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Hadley

6.8c to the 20th

3.0c above the 61 to 90 average
2.5c above the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck                  6.74c               Anomaly             2.54c
Netweather               7.11c               Anomaly             2.92c
Peasedown st John     5.37c              Anomaly              -0.73c.   

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Hadley

6.9c to the 21st
3.1c above the 61 to 90 average
2.6c above the 81 to 10 average

Heaven knows what March will deliver.
 

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Metcheck                  6.70c              Anomaly            2.50c
Netweather               7.09c              Anomaly            2.9c
Peasedown St John   5.37c              Anomaly            0.55c.

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6.9c to the 22nd

3.1c above the 61 to 90 average
2.6c above the 81 to 10 average