Well, the estimated Hadley data is way off from my calculations this month. Currently a difference of 0.6C. I really don't know why Hadley bothers issuing estimated figures when they bear no resemblance to reality. Hadley is supposed to be revamping its CET series later this year and hopefully will start issuing more reliable and useful information during the month, rather than just at the month-end.
By my calculations, the CET just reached over 18C today to 18.02C. It should hold steady for the next 4 days before falling away in the final 4 days of the month as temperatures go below average.
Currently, I am expecting the CET to finish at 17.68C. Warm but nothing special really. Could still be the joint 4th warmest July since 1995.
Could be the 5th warmest June / July combination since 1934. Well behind 1976, 2006, and 2018 and also slightly behind 2003. In good company though.
Would need an August CET of 18.0C for this summer to be the 6th warmest in the past 50 years.
To get into the top 10 summer CETs of the last 50 years, August only needs a CET of 15.8C.
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Edited by user
23 July 2021 18:59:59
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