Zubzero
21 January 2021 17:34:21

I've noticed the GEM has 20 enesmbles @ the same ress as the GEFS but never seen them mentioned, wiil keep an 👀 on them.


 


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cmc.php 

ballamar
21 January 2021 17:37:58
No need to look at any others P1 has it correct on GFS 😂 show what could happen if it goes right!
Brian Gaze
21 January 2021 17:57:30

Originally Posted by: Zubzero 


I've noticed the GEM has 20 enesmbles @ the same ress as the GEFS but never seen them mentioned, wiil keep an 👀 on them.


 


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cmc.php 



NAEFS was popular here at one time but I've not seen it mentioned for years. 


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Brian Gaze
21 January 2021 18:06:45

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Several southerly tracking lows on the 12z Para:


270z:



336z:



 



Those charts are 2 days old.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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tallyho_83
21 January 2021 18:08:38

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


Those charts are 2 days old.



Just noticed


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The Beast from the East
21 January 2021 18:11:03

Please



"We have some alternative facts for you"
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Arbroath 1320
21 January 2021 18:17:17

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Please




The evolution of P1 is very similar to that in the consecutive GFS para runs before it went on vacation.


GGTTH
Zubzero
21 January 2021 18:42:25

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


NAEFS was popular here at one time but I've not seen it mentioned for years. 



NOGAPS the modern day ICON. What a run to bow out with http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/nogapse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0&carte=0 

Ally Pally Snowman
21 January 2021 19:06:07

Remarkable warmth on the latest ECM. 850s of 17c in Spain in January. Bonkers!


https://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=2&run=12&time=216&lid=OP&h=0&mv=1&tr=24#mapref


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
21 January 2021 19:10:53

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Remarkable warmth on the latest ECM. 850s of 17c in Spain in January. Bonkers!


https://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=2&run=12&time=216&lid=OP&h=0&mv=1&tr=24#mapref


 



Countered by the equivalent cold in NW Russia. https://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten.php?map=2&model=ecm&var=34&time=216&run=12&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24 


 


KAshton
21 January 2021 19:15:57

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Please


Ties in nicely with your username, might make a good profile pic that one 


Does anyone have a link to the B'ham ensembles please? or a link to the ensembles generally where you can choose the location. Thanks in advance 




Wolverhampton
West Mids
150m ASL
doctormog
21 January 2021 19:18:44

Originally Posted by: KAshton 


 Does anyone have a link to the B'ham ensembles please? or a link to the ensembles generally where you can choose the location. Thanks in advance 



You can choose your nearest location from the list at the bottom of this page https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gefs.aspx 


KAshton
21 January 2021 19:22:33

Brill, thanks Doc :) 


(Can't use the smileys or my post rejects as spam)


Wolverhampton
West Mids
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Karl Guille
21 January 2021 19:42:25
It's no wonder the parallel froze on the 0z!!
http://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2021012100/gfs-1-348.png?0 

Meanwhile the GFS 12z is still suggesting a passing snow shower on my birthday on 23rd which I'd gladly bank, albeit it won't be cold enough to settle!!
http://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gensp/graphe_ens3.php?x=220.44000244140625&ext=1&y=247.8199920654297&run=12&runpara=0 

St. Sampson
Guernsey
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21 January 2021 19:52:29

Originally Posted by: Karl Guille 

It's no wonder the parallel froze on the 0z!!
http://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfsp/runs/2021012100/gfs-1-348.png?0

Meanwhile the GFS 12z is still suggesting a passing snow shower on my birthday on 23rd which I'd gladly bank, albeit it won't be cold enough to settle!!
http://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/gensp/graphe_ens3.php?x=220.44000244140625&ext=1&y=247.8199920654297&run=12&runpara=0

 


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Rob K
21 January 2021 19:53:51

A new parallel run is starting to appear on Meteociel. (Today's 6Z)


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
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squish
21 January 2021 19:54:06
5 days cool/cold...5 days average to mild...5 days cooler to cold, outside chance of very cold. Never very dry. About sums it up.
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
Jiries
21 January 2021 19:56:57

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Remarkable warmth on the latest ECM. 850s of 17c in Spain in January. Bonkers!


https://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=2&run=12&time=216&lid=OP&h=0&mv=1&tr=24#mapref


 



I think the heat of 15-20C uppers now appearing on some bottom side of the charts lately and recently Death Valley reached new record 32C 90F for Jan which previous record was 31C 87F.  Now Spain would be looking at 30C which is amazing after deep snow and subzero temps there so that very interesting there.

Jiries
21 January 2021 20:01:02

Originally Posted by: squish 

5 days cool/cold...5 days average to mild...5 days cooler to cold, outside chance of very cold. Never very dry. About sums it up.


Yes extremely boring to me.  With the warmth in Spain occur here I like to see 17C again here like in 2003 follow by 2 inches of snow next day and subzero temps and snow stay on the ground for 2 days.

Snow Hoper
21 January 2021 20:11:05

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


A new parallel run is starting to appear on Meteociel. (Today's 6Z)



Been stuck like that since about 10:30 this morning.


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