0.3 mm Today from mizzle/fog.

38.9 mm This Month

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0.2mm last 24hr

Month 96.8mm

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Another stupidly dry January here due to the relentless mind-numbing westerlies and lack of snowfall. All the lawns around here are looking a dirty yellow colour rather than green (or white) 

Only 15.2mm so on course to be the ridiculous third January in a row with under 30mm. Would be four in a row had it not been for the cyclonic SE’lies delivering a wet spell at the end of January 2017. That seems to me the only alternative to the relentless W/SW winds these days.

Several sites in the NE are even drier to date although not as dry as January 1989 when many sites had under 10mm for the month:

Rothienorman: 12.0mm

Westhill: 12.2mm

Nigg: 13.4mm

Balmedie: 14.2mm

Dunnottar: 14.2mm

Even at the Lecht in the far west of the region there has only been 33.6mm and very little of that will have been snow.

Prior to the synoptic changes which have turned this region into a weather vacuum,  January used to be one of the wettest months of the year with a lot of snowfall. Far wetter than July which is wet almost every year now and hasn’t recorded below 30mm since 2006. In fact it hasn’t come in below 40mm since then which is just astonishing

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0.9 mm This morning

39.8mm This month.

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3.6 mm Today

42.5 mm This Month.

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up to 31.8mm

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44.3 mm This month.

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It's been a long time since I've been able to report anything here, but I can now finally report that a total of 2.2 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during the 24 hour period which ended at 9am this morning, along with 1.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, this brings the total for this month to 54.2 mm, the total for this winter to 123.8 mm and the total for this year to 54.2 mm as at 9am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, this brings the total for this month to 44.0 mm, the total for this winter to 93.0 mm and the total for this year to 44.0 mm as at 9am this morning.

Yesterday's rainfall ended a run of 9 consecutive completely dry days in this part of the world which now with just 4 days left of this month, now makes it unlikely that the final totals for this month at both of those stations, will reach the January 1981-2010 average for that respective stations. This month is therefore, likely to go down as being drier than average overall at both of those stations, both in terms of the actual rainfall amounts and in terms of the number of official rain days.

I have heard some people saying that climate change scientists are predicting that our winters would become wetter over time due to climate change. Indeed, this winter is turning out to be much wetter overall than the winter of 2018/19 which was exceptionally dry throughout. However, this winter is now still well on course to go down as our fourth drier than average winter in a row even with that, and despite all of those wetter than average seasons which preceded this so-called "winter". This would suggest that our winters if anything, are actually getting drier here which goes completely against any theory that our winters are getting wetter over time due to climate change.

For here, it would appear that we are now more likely to get our rainfall at other times of the year (such as during the summer), rather than during the winter.Furthermore, our rainfall figures in this part of the world also dispel the theory about there having been too much rain here recently. Last year was a wet year overall, but that only just made up the overall deficit which built up during 2018 and now, it looks as though we are starting to build up another rainfall deficit here. It would therefore appear as we only ever seem to be either building up or making up for rainfall deficits in this part of the world these days, and never seem to be able to get into a rainfall surplus where we are actually running ahead of the overall long term averages. This means that there should be no reason at all, for anyone to complain about there being too much rain in this part of the world these days.

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32.2mm

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A total of 3.6 mm of precipitation fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during the 24 hour period which ended at 9am this morning with some of that falling as sleet and wet snow, along with 3.8 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, this brings the total for this month to 57.8 mm, the total for this winter to 127.4 mm and the total for this year to 57.8 mm as at 9am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, this brings the total for this month to 47.8 mm, the total for this winter to 96.8 mm and the total for this year to 47.8 mm as at 9am this morning.

Even at this very late stage of this month with just three more days to go after today, it is still mathematically possible for this month to go down as being wetter than average at both Edinburgh Gogarbank and the botanic gardens in Edinburgh in terms of the number of official rain days, although this remains very unlikely going by the latest model output. Nevertheless, some rain is forecast for the latter part of tomorrow and with the possibility of some showers also being in that forecast for other days, we would only need those showers to be more widespead here and produce bigger rainfall totals for here than expected, for this month to then be wetter than average as a result, in terms of the number of official rain days.

Unless we get an unexpected deluge from tomorrow's rainfall event though, this month is very likely going to be drier than average at both of those stations in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

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0.6 mm Today

45.8mm This Month.

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32.8mm

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A total of 1.8 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during the 24 hour period which ended at 9am this morning, along with 0.6 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, this brings the total for this month to 59.6 mm, the total for this winter to 129.2 mm and the total for this year to 59.6 mm as at 9am this morning.

The result of this is that this month will go down as being wetter than average overall at Edinburgh Gogarbank in terms of the number of official rain days, if there are any more official rain days there between now and the end of this month.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, this brings the total for this month to 48.4 mm, the total for this winter to 97.4 mm and the total for this year to 48.4 mm as at 9am this morning.

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33.2mm

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47.6 mm  This Month.

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A total of 14.4 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during the 24 hour period which ended at 9am this morning, along with 18.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh. That makes yesterday the wettest day of this month at both of those stations, and the wettest day of this winter so far at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, this brings the total for this month to 74.4 mm, the total for this winter to 143.6 mm and the total for this year to 74.0 mm as at 9am this morning.

This means that a minimum total of just 2.4 mm of rain now needs to fall at Edinburgh Gogarbank during the last two days of this month, in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

This also means that since there has now been more official rain days during this month at Edinburgh than the 1981-2010 January average which means that regardless of what now happens during the last two days of this month, this month will now go down as being wetter than than average there overall as a result.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, this brings the total for this month to 66.8 mm, the total for this winter to 115.8 mm and the total for this year to 66.8 mm as at 9am this morning.

This means that a minimum total of just 0.8 mm of rain now needs to fall at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh during the last two days of this month, in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

This also means that this month will go down as being wetter than average overall at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh in terms of the number of official rain days, if there are any more official rain days there between now and the end of this month.

This all shows what a difference, one very wet day can make. Until yesterday, this month was looking like a certainty to end up being drier than average overall, especially in terms of the actual rainfall amounts. With that in mind, it was always going to be the case that this would end up happening, barring an unexpected deluge during yesterday.

However, yesterday's totals came in quite a lot higher than what was predicted by the GFS ensembles going into yesterday (which were only going for a total of around 5 mm or so during yesterday) and so, it turns out that we did after all, end up getting that rather unexpected deluge during yesterday.

Furthermore, there is also more rain in the forecast for the last couple of days of this month which wasn't there beforehand and because of that, it looks as though we're not now going to get that drier than average month after all, which it had looked as though we were going to get.

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47.9 mm To Date.

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I've just added up this month's rainfall total for my back yard and it's come to 46 mm, that's classed as being slightly below average rainfall for January for the South East, even though it doesn't seem like it.

I have a feeling February will turn out to be more wetter than average. 

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119.8mm month

23.mm last 7 days

0.4mm last 24hr.

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The latest rainfall totals show just how boring and uninteresting our weather generally is in this part of the world as just the measly total of 0.8 mm of rain has fallen at Edinburgh Gogarbank since 9am yesterday morning, along with just 0.6 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh as at 8am this morning.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, this brings the total for this month to 74.8 mm, the total for this winter to 144.4 mm and the total for this year to 74.8 mm as at 8am this morning.

This means that a minimum total of 1.6 mm of rain still needs to fall at Edinburgh Gogarbank between 8am this morning and 9am tomorrow morning, in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts, otherwise this month will go down as being slightly drier than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, this brings the total for this month to 67.4 mm, the total for this winter to 116.4 mm and the total for this year to 67.4 mm as at 9am this morning.

This means that a minimum total of 0.2 mm of rain still needs to fall at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh between 8am this morning and 9am tomorrow morning, in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts, otherwise this month will go down as being slightly drier than average there in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

This also means that the 24 hour period between 9am this morning and 9am tomorrow morning, will now have to go down as an official rain day at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh if this month is to go down as being wetter than average there in terms of the number of official rain days, otherwise this month will go down as being slightly drier than average there in terms of the number of official rain days.

This means that even though today is the last day of the month, it remains very uncertain as to whether or not, the UK's last ever month as a member of the EU will be wetter than average at both of those stations. The weather front which is supposed to give today's rain is becoming more and more fragmented over time according to the latest rain radar maps, with very little in the way of rainfall getting though to the east of Scotland.

This means that unless this front peps up again later on, I will be very surprised if there is much in the way of rainfall which reaches SE England later on. According to the latest forecasts, the rest of today and the overnight period, are forecast to be much drier with nothing more than the odd shower and whilst this could yet be enough for this month to be slightly wetter than average overall in the end, that is now looking rather unlikely once again.

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