Well things have certainly turned colder than I expected. The CET is expected to bottom out at 6.5C on Sunday before rising again. Very warm weather is looking likely in the second half of the month. Current estimate is for the CET to reach 8.5C by the 25th so a big rise. I still think a final CET for this month of 9C or above is quite possible. That said my prediction of 9.8C is clearly going to be too high but hopefully not too far off the mark. All depends on how high the temperatures get by day during the second half of this month. I think the 8.5C by the 25th could be on the conservative side.
Worth noting that a very large downward adjustment is likely this month. My CET estimate is currently running 0.54C below that of Hadley.
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Edited by user
11 April 2019 20:16:38
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