Gusty
04 January 2019 07:32:12

Originally Posted by: Caz 


It’s the gut that spoils it for me!  I try not to be influenced by the month end weather but it doesn’t work. I don’t think the heart or the head would fare much better in my case though!  


Shame we didn’t quite make 50 but still a good number and we may entice more in next month. Let’s hope we don’t get too many falling by the wayside!   



I'm surprised there isn't more take up. Especially so considering the number of experts and pundits in the MO thread ! 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 January 2019 08:00:23

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


I'm surprised there isn't more take up. Especially so considering the number of experts and pundits in the MO thread ! 


  Ahh, they’re yellow bellies afraid to show their true colours! 


I think the MO thread attracts quite a few ‘seasonal’ posters who only appear with the cold or the heat.  No staying power eh?   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
johncs2016
04 January 2019 09:03:55

Originally Posted by: Caz 


  Ahh, they’re yellow bellies afraid to show their true colours! 


I think the MO thread attracts quite a few ‘seasonal’ posters who only appear with the cold or the heat.  No staying power eh?   



I think that this is shown by the fact that it is only really during the winter months that the MO thread is actually all that busy (even more so, on those very rare occasions when we actually get some proper winter weather). During the rest of the year though, the MO thread is usually always very quiet to the extent that I have on the odd occasion even seen it being relegated to page 2 on the default list of threads on this forum.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
ARTzeman
04 January 2019 10:32:14

Met Office Hadley         3.9c     Anomaly     0.5c  Provisional to 3rd.


Metcheck                      3.73c   Anomaly     -0.42c


Netweather                   4.61c   Anomaly     0.42c


Bordon                          3.2c    Anomaly     -4.64c


Canvey Island                4.6c    Anomaly     -1.05c


Cheadle Hulme               3.8c    Anomaly     -1.50c  


Clevedon Weather           4.8c    Anomaly    -1.68c


Darwen                          3.5c    Anomaly    -1.76c


Hexam                           3.3c    Anomaly    -0.98c


Mount Sorrel                  3.3c     Anomaly    -1.25c


Forest Town Mansfield     4.2c     Anomaly    -0.3c


Peasedown St John         5.5c     Anomaly     0.3c


Treviskey Redruth           7.0c     Anomaly    -0.88c.


Man of my 10     4.34c.   Anomaly   -1.37c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
doctormog
04 January 2019 10:35:38

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


 


I think that this is shown by the fact that it is only really during the winter months that the MO thread is actually all that busy (even more so, on those very rare occasions when we actually get some proper winter weather). During the rest of the year though, the MO thread is usually always very quiet to the extent that I have on the odd occasion even seen it being relegated to page 2 on the default list of threads on this forum.


 



Perhaps people spend more time outside enjoying the real weather at other times of the year rather than staring at “potential weather” on a screen? 


GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
04 January 2019 13:55:21
Hi Global

I wanted to put a guess in for the annual CET but was expecting a different thread for that. Is it too late to submit my entry?


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Bertwhistle
04 January 2019 14:48:43

Originally Posted by: GezM 

Hi Global

I wanted to put a guess in for the annual CET but was expecting a different thread for that. Is it too late to submit my entry?


I suggest you PM GW Gez; it's late, probably too late, but worth a try and you might expect a penalty unless you've mitigating circumstances.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 January 2019 14:56:20

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


I suggest you PM GW Gez; it's late, probably too late, but worth a try and you might expect a penalty unless you've mitigating circumstances.


Aww!  I agree he should pm GW!  It’s still early in the month/year and it’s still anybody’s guess with little clue from the models!  Go on GW, let him join the fun!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
johncs2016
04 January 2019 16:37:19

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Aww!  I agree he should pm GW!  It’s still early in the month/year and it’s still anybody’s guess with little clue from the models!  Go on GW, let him join the fun!  



If GW does accept that late entry, we have then have 50 entrants after all.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Bertwhistle
04 January 2019 16:38:53

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


 


If GW does accept that late entry, we have then have 50 entrants after all.


 



Good point; author's discretion though!


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
johncs2016
04 January 2019 16:43:23

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


 


Good point; author's discretion though!



Of course, and that is why I said "IF GW accepts that late entrant ... "


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Saint Snow
04 January 2019 17:10:34

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


A good spread to kick the year off.  Good luck all 


The hearts have gone higher...the heads have gone lower....the steady eddies have gone for the middle ground. 



 


I've developed a new tradition: groaning when the table gets published and I see my entry at one extreme end. Still, I'm in esteemed company with resident meteorological big wigs GW and SC in the vicinity. And it could have been worse, I could have gone for what Gavin HungryTiger has.


 


 



Martin
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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 January 2019 17:30:14

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I've developed a new tradition: groaning when the table gets published and I see my entry at one extreme end. Still, I'm in esteemed company with resident meteorological big wigs GW and SC in the vicinity. And it could have been worse, I could have gone for what Gavin HungryTiger has.


  Whereas I went to the other extreme and I’m in the company of the winners.  HT won December’s and Darren S wins everything!  Perhaps they should be worried!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Global Warming
04 January 2019 20:19:48

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


 


If GW does accept that late entry, we have then have 50 entrants after all.


 



Not quite. Gez is talking about the other competition to predict the CET for the whole of 2019. He is already in the January competition.


There is a separate thread for the other competition but I don't open up a new one each year. I just rename the existing thread as it only has a few pages to it. It is stickied and I will post the list of predictions there later this evening. No problem to have additional entries in that competition given we are only 4 days into the 365 day year. So no real advantage for making a prediction a couple of days late.

Bertwhistle
04 January 2019 20:23:55

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


Not quite. Gez is talking about the other competition to predict the CET for the whole of 2019. He is already in the January competition.


There is a separate thread for the other competition but I don't open up a new one each year. I just rename the existing thread as it only has a few pages to it. It is stickied and I will post the list of predictions there later this evening. No problem to have additional entries in that competition given we are only 4 days into the 365 day year. So no real advantage for making a prediction a couple of days late.



Good news GW; John & I need to read a bit closer!


Happy news Gez.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Global Warming
04 January 2019 20:40:25

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


 


Good news GW; John & I need to read a bit closer!


Happy news Gez.



I have just updated the opening post on page 1 of the other thread and the thread title so it now only refers to 2019.


Entries to the other competition can be made up to 2359 on 7th Jan (same deadline as last year).

Hungry Tiger
04 January 2019 20:49:03

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Thanks to everyone who is taking part in the competition. We didn't quite make the 50 mark. There were a number of people who sent separate messages at different times for the January and annual competitions which I hadn't spotted. So the total number of January predictions is 49 but that is still a nice increase on the 36 we had in December.


I will try and post up the annual CET predictions in the other thread tomorrow evening.


Here is the table for January. A nice spread of predictions. Surely somebody will be very close.


IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page


Direct link to larger table TABLE



Phew I've stuck my neck out a bit there. I reckon I've taken Deecember too literally thinking we'd have another mild one.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Hungry Tiger
04 January 2019 20:49:56

Originally Posted by: Caz 


  Whereas I went to the other extreme and I’m in the company of the winners.  HT won December’s and Darren S wins everything!  Perhaps they should be worried!  



You're dead righ there Caz - I reckon I've over cooked that one.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


johncs2016
04 January 2019 21:00:57

Originally Posted by: Caz 


  Whereas I went to the other extreme and I’m in the company of the winners.  HT won December’s and Darren S wins everything!  Perhaps they should be worried!  



I've noticed that my guess for this month is sandwiched right in between your guess and Darren S.'s guess, and very close to both of them. This means that if Darren S. wins this time, I won't be far behind him.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
johncs2016
04 January 2019 21:04:54

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


I have just updated the opening post on page 1 of the other thread and the thread title so it now only refers to 2019.


Entries to the other competition can be made up to 2359 on 7th Jan (same deadline as last year).



I know that I submitted my entry for the annual competition at the same time as my entry for this month, but I am pleased that those members who haven't yet submitted their prediction for this year as a whole, still have a chance to do so. Hopefully, we can get a good number of entries for that as well.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
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