Well, my own entry means that we now have at least 49 entries which means that just one more member would need to have joined in order to make up that magic 50 mark. I'm hoping though, that this will have happened though without any issues.

 

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I'm in too, so hopefully 50

 

best of luck all

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^^^ Is a strategy I think I'll adopt in future .

For a long time I've follow the idea that I really should put my answer in before the month starts - but I come round to the view it's probably a needless self inflicted, if small, handicap.

 Darren made his late entry just before yours John, so you may have actually been the 50th!  We might even have surpassed that figure.  Personally, I wouldn’t deny anyone the chance to still have a punt even though we’re past the deadline, but that’s entirely at GW’s discretion!

Now we just have to keep posting throughout the year to keep the numbers up.  We generally start well but numbers tend to dwindle through the months, maybe as some people think they’re too low down the table to get a final top spot, or maybe they just forget to post their predictions in subsequent months.  

As Bertie said earlier, we need to keep posting regularly to keep up the interest and to keep our precious threads alive!  We all need to do our bit!  

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Let the fun begin ! 

I've taken the grown up step of predicting with my heart rather than my head.

My performance over the the past few years has either been very good or very poor. I'm aiming to win it this year but realistically will be happy with a top 10 finish. Consistency is key for me.

Its not all about good luck, there is an element of skill involved. This is what makes this competition it is.

Snowshoe, The professional, Whether Idle and Darren are the ones to watch IMO.

 

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Good luck! I'd like you to be successful with that strategy, I don't think I would be... 

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Last year was the first i didn't manage to get all the way through i think and that was largely due to changing jobs too many times. I'm back settled now (hopefully) so I will be aiming for mid-table mediocrity once again 

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Met Office Hadley        5.1c.     Anomaly     1.5c. Provisional to 2nd.

Metcheck                     4.65c    Anomaly      0.49c

Netweather                  5.53c    Anomaly      1.34c

Bordon                        4.5c      Anomaly      -3.34c

Canvey Island              5.7c      Anomaly      0.05c

Cheadle Hulme             4.8c     Anomaly      -0.53c

Clevedon Weather         5.9c    Anomaly      -0.58c

Darwen                        3.6c    Anomaly      -1.66c

Hexam                         2.9c    Anomaly      -1.38c

Mount Sorrel                 5.1c   Anomaly       0.6c

Forest Town Mansfield    5.1c   Anomaly       0.6c

Peaseodwn St John        6.4c   Anomaly       1.2c

Treviskey Redruth          6.8c   Anomaly       -1.08c.

 

Mean Of My Watched 10 stations using a six-year average    4.57c   Anomaly  -1.14c.             

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 Good to have you back in the pack Ian!  I’d be ecstatic if I came somewhere in the middle!  My problem is I have too many holidays. No, no, not too many, I mean I’m often away for the prediction deadline.   

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Thanks to everyone who is taking part in the competition. We didn't quite make the 50 mark. There were a number of people who sent separate messages at different times for the January and annual competitions which I hadn't spotted. So the total number of January predictions is 49 but that is still a nice increase on the 36 we had in December.

I will try and post up the annual CET predictions in the other thread tomorrow evening.

Here is the table for January. A nice spread of predictions. Surely somebody will be very close.

Direct link to larger table TABLE

A very interesting spread of predictions here, which may well be indicative of the differences of opinions which there is regarding what the effects of currently ongoing SSW event are likely to be if there are any (as is evident on the MO thread).

I was also watching with great interest, Gavin P.'s excellent January forecast video where he didn't give any exact predictions for what the average CET would be, but nevertheless indicated what he believed the temperature anomaly would roughly be (he went for this month to be slightly milder than average overall in that forecast).

In my predictions, I have gone for a warmer temperature anomaly than what Gavin P. did on his forecast video so if this month ends up being milder than what he expected, it will then be great to see whether or not, I then beat him in terms of who (between him and I) is closer to what the actual temperature anomaly for this month ends up as.

That to me, is another fun aspect of being part of this competition and is another reason why I joined it. It's just a shame that we didn't quite make it to 50 entrants but hopefully, this will be a good competition for everyone who has taken part in it.

 

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A good spread to kick the year off.  Good luck all 

The hearts have gone higher...the heads have gone lower....the steady eddies have gone for the middle ground. 

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Or maybe it's hearts down, heads up Steve. I for one will be glad if I'm way, way too high.... but only for January!

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 The head has ruined many a January prediction for me Bertie. Only two years ago I made a made a last minute change from 4.7c to 1.9c based on two consecutive runs showing easterlies at 168. Naturally the atlantic won out, the month ended circa 5.5c and I was nearly 4c out in the first month.

I was younger then 

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It’s the gut that spoils it for me!  I try not to be influenced by the month end weather but it doesn’t work. I don’t think the heart or the head would fare much better in my case though!  

Shame we didn’t quite make 50 but still a good number and we may entice more in next month. Let’s hope we don’t get too many falling by the wayside!   

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I'm surprised there isn't more take up. Especially so considering the number of experts and pundits in the MO thread ! 

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  Ahh, they’re yellow bellies afraid to show their true colours! 

I think the MO thread attracts quite a few ‘seasonal’ posters who only appear with the cold or the heat.  No staying power eh?   

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I think that this is shown by the fact that it is only really during the winter months that the MO thread is actually all that busy (even more so, on those very rare occasions when we actually get some proper winter weather). During the rest of the year though, the MO thread is usually always very quiet to the extent that I have on the odd occasion even seen it being relegated to page 2 on the default list of threads on this forum.

 

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Met Office Hadley         3.9c     Anomaly     0.5c  Provisional to 3rd.

Metcheck                      3.73c   Anomaly     -0.42c

Netweather                   4.61c   Anomaly     0.42c

Bordon                          3.2c    Anomaly     -4.64c

Canvey Island                4.6c    Anomaly     -1.05c

Cheadle Hulme               3.8c    Anomaly     -1.50c  

Clevedon Weather           4.8c    Anomaly    -1.68c

Darwen                          3.5c    Anomaly    -1.76c

Hexam                           3.3c    Anomaly    -0.98c

Mount Sorrel                  3.3c     Anomaly    -1.25c

Forest Town Mansfield     4.2c     Anomaly    -0.3c

Peasedown St John         5.5c     Anomaly     0.3c

Treviskey Redruth           7.0c     Anomaly    -0.88c.

Man of my 10     4.34c.   Anomaly   -1.37c. 

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Perhaps people spend more time outside enjoying the real weather at other times of the year rather than staring at “potential weather” on a screen? 

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Hi Global

I wanted to put a guess in for the annual CET but was expecting a different thread for that. Is it too late to submit my entry?

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I suggest you PM GW Gez; it's late, probably too late, but worth a try and you might expect a penalty unless you've mitigating circumstances.

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Aww!  I agree he should pm GW!  It’s still early in the month/year and it’s still anybody’s guess with little clue from the models!  Go on GW, let him join the fun!  

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If GW does accept that late entry, we have then have 50 entrants after all.

 

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Good point; author's discretion though!

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