Its does feel far more continental. Warm and humid and the lack of fresh atlantic air that we are used to in this country. It would be great in winter - lets hope the pattern lasts

Also very good for grapes and English wine industry. Climate change in action!

Well said that man!

Another dry warm and relatively sunny day this side of the Pennines! :)

lol 

The weather has been fine for ages here. Hardly any rain, yes some frustrating north sea cloud at times but generally sunny, warm and dry.
Glad i dont live on the east coast though.
E.g been watching the temperature in Bridlington for a while now and its been terrible. Today however looked great , 20c and sunny at 3pm, only to be replaced by 13c at 5pm, people of Bridlington BBQ plans cancelled!

Exactly the same here so no worries. 

I don't think there is any evidence for you view - there is (?) no evidence of a roughly 11 cycle to blocking patterns and the strength of the jetstream.

I think I know what is happening. But, I better not say.

same comment as winter - move inland 30 miles.

you will get heaps of snow in winter and heaps of sunshine in summer and no Haar :)

i work in Aberdeen and live 30 miles inland, very weather different inland

this May we have had highest solar power generated since we had solar panels fitted in 2011

There is a climate correlation between extended solar minima and northern blocking with a meridional jet.

Good consistency for a week in the GFS ensemble spread, with 10C+ uppers throughout for the south. 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/chart.aspx?chart=/charts/gefs/gefsens850london0.png?cb=382

A risk of Thundery lows to the south drawing humidity and unstable warmth up from the south and east, but perhaps a bit more stable than the week just gone.

Not wall to wall sunshine but no complaints here.

Hehe, I presumed we'd had a dodgy run or two after seeing your name back in here! 

Can't disagree with your analysis though - poor runs today but given what we've enjoyed this May it was inevitable this pattern would end at some stage. After suffering some cloudy mornings during the last week I don't mind the return of westerlies as long as it's not a rain-fest.

I do disagree with the 'long way back to settled' comment however! 

*subject to change of mind if the models switch again

thank god! I hate the heat. Though it is nice to see girls in hot pants walking around everywhere 

It's the Moom Monsoon!

 The sensible view is that there are indications, albeit largely slack, of Atlantic influence towards mid-term.

This would be expected in many years at this time but the depth and longevity of any realignment are purely based on speculation and often doom-laden prophecy so I won't be losing any sleep given that we aren't even there yet

Well to my mind anyway, this morning's output generally looks somewhat better than it did last night. ECM 00z op has dropped the idea of a LP sitting over the UK for a number of days as it showed last night and the GFS 00z op looks better than the 12z did yesterday evening.

To be honest, at this stage I would be careful about placing a lot of faith in any given outcome for the period starting the week after next weekend. I sense that the set-up we have at the moment is one that the models sometimes struggle a but with and can sometimes take a few days to properly work out what happened thereafter.

Not bad - we need the high to muscle in a bit more - But give it time.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

Not sure where the BBC forecast lower temps tomorrow and Tuesday when the graph show going up further as today we getting around mid 20's so should be near 30C or possible 30C early this week?  I think today I would see around 27C or 28C as it already hot this morning.

I wouldn't be too bothered if we had a poor June in exchange for a dry, sunny & warm July & August.

The problem, though, is that when the westerly tap gets turned on, it can be very stubborn.

I would be, as I am on holiday for two weeks from the 18th. I think it would be too much to ask for the warm and mainly settled weather that we had through most of May will continue unabated for the rest of this month too. There has to be a breakdown at some point and I would prefer that to be w/c 11th June. Let this week be rather unsettled and then a re-load of high pressure for the start of my hols. GFS does hint at this with a rather vigouros low (for June) towards the end of this week then an improvement thereafter. But of course it is a long way off and the only reason I am carefully looking at these charts is that my holiday starts then. A bit like looking at Christmas Day when that comes into range, but we all do it, right kids?