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Sorry I missed the deadline... I will go for 5.5
Met office Hadley 6.8c. Anomaly 2.2c. Provisional to 1st.
Metcheck 6.71c. Anomaly 0.55c.
Netweather 9.01c. Anomaly 2.72c.
Peasedown St John 8.5c. Anomaly 1.9c.
Met Office Hadley 5.7c. Anomaly 1.1c. Provisional to 2nd.
Metcheck 5.99c. Anomaly -0.17c.
Netweather 7.03c. Anomaly 0.74c.
Peasedown st John 6.9c. Anomaly 0.3c.
Met Office Hadley 5.7c. Anomaly 1.1c. Provisional to 2nd.Metcheck 5.99c. Anomaly -0.17c.Netweather 7.03c. Anomaly 0.74c. Peasedown st John 6.9c. Anomaly 0.3c.
Nailed it, within three days! Where do I claim my prize?
A cold 1st quarter at around 4c looks likely but next week it looks like high pressure from the south may get the upper hand so a very mild 7c looks possible for the 2nd quarter.
Met Office Hadley 5.4c. Anomaly 1.0c. Provisional to 3rd.
Metcheck 5.33c. Anomaly -0.63c.
Netweather 6.5c. Anomaly 0.21c.
Peasedown St John 6.9c. Anomaly 0.3c.
Met Office Hadley 4.8c. Anomaly 0.2c. Provisional to 4th.
Metcheck 4.87c. Anomaly -1.29c.
Netweather 5.71c. Anomaly -0.6c.
Peasedown St John 6.1c. Anomaly 2.4c.
Met Office Hadley 4.7c. Anomaly -0.0c. Provisional to 5th.
Metcheck 4.50c. Anomaly -1.66c.
Netweather 5.29c. Anomaly -1.02c.
Peasedown St John 5.6c. Anomaly 1.9c.
Forgive if this is a daft question, but to 3rd March the anomaly is 1.0C off a 5.4C mean, giving an average of 4.4C. On 4th anomaly is 0.2C with 4.8C, making the average 4.6. Does the mean change so quickly in a day? And where can I find the daily mean as it changes through the month(s); that would be fascinating. I'd love to know where there were persistent pattern-breakers (like the middle of April maybe).
Cheers
Bertie.
Fascinating stuff.
3.1C (-2C) so far here.Although there's a long way to go it seems unlikely to end up far from the mean.
No update from Met Office Hadley yet ..May be around 4.4c.
Metcheck 4.16c. Anomaly -2.0c.
Netweather 4.87c. Anomaly -1.44c.
Peasedown St John 5.2c. Anomaly -1.4c.
Forgive if this is a daft question, but to 3rd March the anomaly is 1.0C off a 5.4C mean, giving an average of 4.4C. On 4th anomaly is 0.2C with 4.8C, making the average 4.6. Does the mean change so quickly in a day? And where can I find the daily mean as it changes through the month(s); that would be fascinating. I'd love to know where there were persistent pattern-breakers (like the middle of April maybe).CheersBertie.Fascinating stuff.
HadCET download page:http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/data/download.html Current CET:http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
Yeah thanks Essan I use these pages all the time to find the mean; I meant, a long-term average for each day as the month progresses. So- what's the long term average for 3rd March, say, compared to 4th March? The anomalies posted n this thread seem to change so quickly.
Hadley 4.4c to the 6th - 0.4c below the 61 to 90 average - 0.8c below the 81 to 10 average
So are we currently talking about a 0.2C increase daily in the T average? Where are the daily averages listed for each day of the ear? I know I could work it out from the CET daily data but I don't have it in MS Excel.
So are we currently talking about a 0.2C increase daily in the T average? Where are the daily averages listed for each day of the year? I know I could work it out from the CET daily data but I don't have it in MS Excel.Cheers
So are we currently talking about a 0.2C increase daily in the T average? Where are the daily averages listed for each day of the year? I know I could work it out from the CET daily data but I don't have it in MS Excel.
https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/85041-march-2016-cet-forecasts/?do=findComment&comment=3362326
Thats the daily 81 to 10 averages
Interesting chat about the daily data's. I know rough averages for beginning and middle to end of the month but not to the day to day. This month the big question is: Where is high pressure going to situate itself? If to the North east we could be looking CET 5 but south east and it could be 6.5. Interesting tracking this!