Any estimate's for today's CET? Got to be something utterly insane, LOL!

:-) Today will kick it off nicely or what :-)

 

:-) Today will kick it off nicely or what :-)

 

My initial calculation suggests 24.2C which is only the 7th highest July CET on record. It could end up a little higher.

Pershore and Rothamsted both at 24.9C. Stonyhurst 22.8C

Highest mean July CET figures

1948 29th  25.2C
1976 4th    24.7C
1976 3rd    24.6C
1808 13th  24.5C
2006 19th  24.5C
1808 14th  24.4C

Thanks GW... 24+ CET is pretty amazing... All-be-it just for one day!

24.5 (and anomaly of 8.8C above average) for 1st July!

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

Good job the figures will change after tomorrow ... Maybe.

Met Office Hadley      24.5c.      Anomaly       8.8c.      Provisional   to  1st.

Metcheck                  22.74c.    Anomaly       6.27c.

Netweather               25.18c.    Anomaly       8.69c.

Clevedon Weather     20.8c.      Anomaly       1.5c.

Mount     Sorrel         23.6c.      Anomaly       7.1c.

My   Mean                 25.2c.      Anomaly       6.12c.

My  Annual      11.7c.  Difference 5.6c.

Day  4   will be different......

Slightly Down on Yesterday.....

Met Office Hadley        21.4c.      Anomaly       5.8c.    Provisional   to  2nd.

Metcheck                    20.21c.    Anomaly       3.75c.

Netweather                 21.74c.    Anomaly       5.25c.

Clevedon  Weather      18.8c.      Anomaly        0.5c.

Mount        Sorrel        20.6c.      Anomaly       4.1c.

My       Mean               20.8c.      Anomaly       0.16c.

My  Annual   10.7c.  Difference  5.0c.

Slightly Down on Yesterday.....

 

Met Office Hadley        21.4c.      Anomaly       5.8c.    Provisional   to  2nd.

Metcheck                    20.21c.    Anomaly       3.75c.

Netweather                 21.74c.    Anomaly       5.25c.

Clevedon  Weather      18.8c.      Anomaly        0.5c.

Mount        Sorrel        20.6c.      Anomaly       4.1c.

My       Mean               20.8c.      Anomaly       0.16c.

 

 

My  Annual   10.7c.  Difference  5.0c.

    

It could very well rise over the next couple of days,another hot sticky day today.

Met Office Hadley         20.0c.      Anomaly       4.6c.   Provisional to    3rd.

Metcheck                     19.99c.    Anomaly        3.53c.

Netweather                  20.58c.    Anomaly        4.09c.

Clevedon weather         19.7c.     Anomaly         0.6c.

Mount    Sorrel              20.3c.    Anomaly         3.8c.

My    Mean                    20.8c.    Anomaly         0.16c.

 

My initial calculation suggests 24.2C which is only the 7th highest July CET on record. It could end up a little higher.

Pershore and Rothamsted both at 24.9C. Stonyhurst 22.8C

Highest mean July CET figures

1948 29th  25.2C
1976 4th    24.7C
1976 3rd    24.6C
1808 13th  24.5C
2006 19th  24.5C
1808 14th  24.4C

Per a Met Office news release Stonyhurst reached 32.6C on the first which is way above any hourly reading that was reported for that station. That makes my CET estimate for the first 24.85C. We will have to wait for the final Hadley figure at the end of the month to see whether that is broadly correct (the provisional figure was 24.5C). That would make it the second warmest July day on record in terms of mean temperature.

After a hot start to the month the CET looks like being fairly average over the next 2 weeks. Currently I calculate the CET is at 19.97C up to and including today. By the 18th the output suggests it could fall to 17.35C.

After a hot start to the month the CET looks like being fairly average over the next 2 weeks. Currently I calculate the CET is at 19.97C up to and including today. By the 18th the output suggests it could fall to 17.35C.

Phew - sounds a bit grim to me.

Met Office Hadley        19.8c.       Anomaly       4.4c. Provisional to 4th.

Metcheck                    19.61c.     Anomaly       3.15c.

Netweather                 20.49c.     Anomaly       4.0.

Clevedon Weather       19.3c.       Anomaly       0.0c.

Mount   Sorrel             20.0c.       Anomaly       1.0c.

My   Mean                   20.8c.       Anomaly       1.4c.

After a hot start to the month the CET looks like being fairly average over the next 2 weeks. Currently I calculate the CET is at 19.97C up to and including today. By the 18th the output suggests it could fall to 17.35C.

Thanks GW!

After a hot start to the month the CET looks like being fairly average over the next 2 weeks. Currently I calculate the CET is at 19.97C up to and including today. By the 18th the output suggests it could fall to 17.35C.

[/quote

That's a very pessimistic forecast,worse case scenareio.

Met Office Hadley        19.0c.     Anomaly       3.5c.   Provisional  to  5th.

Metcheck                    18.81c.   Anomaly      2.85c.

Netweather                 19.69c.   Anomaly      3.2c.

Clevedon Weather        18.8c.    Anomaly      0.5c.

Mount   Sorrel             19.1c.     Anomaly      2.6c.

My    Mean                  19.9c.    Anomaly       0.5c.

My Annual    10.6c.   Difference  4.9c.

Met Office Hadley       18.3c.     Anomaly    2.8c.    Provisional  to  6th.

Metcheck                   18.53c.   Anomaly    2.07c.

Netweather                19.11c.   Anomaly    2.62c.

Clevedon Weather      18.6c.     Anomaly    0.7c.

Mount    Sorrel           18.8c.     Anomaly    2.3c.

My   Mean                  19.02c.   Anomaly    0.2c.

Here are the predictions for July. I fear we are going to see some large prediction errors again this month, for a third month in a row. Unless another heatwave comes along towards the end of the month many predictions are I think going to be way too high again.

Given we're likely to be under 18C by tomorrow's update, I'm already starting to think I've over-cooked it at 17.0...

Everyone from GW to Lanky looking good I thinx! 

It's only going one way. Forgot to have a go this month but it seemed it wasn't going to be hot for long