The Weather Outlook

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marco 79
17 March 2018 10:31:42
Best years was when they used magnetised symbols....think Michael Fish had the worst problem with this as they kept falling off the weather map...classic!
Home : Mid Leicestershire ...135m ASL
nsrobins
17 March 2018 10:39:12

Best years was when they used magnetised symbols....think Michael Fish had the worst problem with this as they kept falling off the weather map...classic!

Originally Posted by: marco 79 

https://youtu.be/FhoUq6PSJJE

😂


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

jhall
17 March 2018 11:01:04

 

I’m more concerned about the often stark disparity between Meteogroup and UKM forecasts than the graphics. I almost got the feeling Matt Taylor in a forecast earlier today was really struggling with matching what was being depicted on the graphics behind him and what he wanted to say based on his understanding as a meteorologist.

To the majority of Joe Public nothing is really going on but to me I find the current situation with the BBC’s provider often differing from the UKM as all rather sad.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Given that I understand that the BBC are still required to pass on Met Office weather warnings, what is the presenter supposed to do if the MO has a snow warning in force in force for an area while the Meteogroup forecast for that area is for no snow at all?


Cranleigh, Surrey
Crepuscular Ray
17 March 2018 11:18:14
I think they need to turn off the cloud layer when showing snow, frost or fog. Otherwise the graphics are unreadable.
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Russwirral
17 March 2018 11:29:35

I wonder what the chances are of the Beeb's contract with Meteociel being terminated early and them joining up with the MetO again.

These new maps are a total joke IMO.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

 

Yup - not only are they unreadable - theyre pretty inaccurate too.

 

People used to moan about the older BBC graphics, but i found them in the main to be a good representation of shower/frontal activity.   This would actually tie in quite well with their app forecast too.

 

Their current stuff is not only unreadable, but has big swathes of precip that ends up nothing like the models predicting, and nothing like what their app is saying.  Ive now switched over to Metoffice for my daily forecas videos as theres is much better than most forecasts out there right now


Brian Gaze
17 March 2018 11:39:44

I wonder what the chances are of the Beeb's contract with Meteociel being terminated early and them joining up with the MetO again.

These new maps are a total joke IMO.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

The BBC's contract is with Meteogroup. To the best of my knowledge Meteociel is a completely separate business. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Gooner
17 March 2018 12:36:37

 

The BBC's contract is with Meteogroup. To the best of my knowledge Meteociel is a completely separate business. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

It is Brian

And what a poor decision that was , it has to be down to money ?

 

Meanwhile 

H Wilets “ parts of England and Wales could be a winter wonderland in the morning “

she did stress much uncertainty about how much snow will fall 

 

 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



forestedge
17 March 2018 14:49:55

 

Given that I understand that the BBC are still required to pass on Met Office weather warnings, what is the presenter supposed to do if the MO has a snow warning in force in force for an area while the Meteogroup forecast for that area is for no snow at all?

Originally Posted by: jhall 

The presenters are in a very difficult position and it is confusing for the viewer. There may not be so much of an issue in default zonal conditions but this month  there have been massive differences between BBC forecasts and Met Office on TV, radio and apps.

BBC radio solent forecasts have been particularly poor, they quote a wide range of temps rather than a max and min like they used to!

 

 


Roger

Ashurst Bridge (New Forest)

9m ASL

https://www.newforestweather.co.uk 

Brian Gaze
17 March 2018 14:51:50

Just had an em from the police saying:

With heavier snow and strong winds expected later today and tomorrow, motorists are being advised only to travel if necessary.

An Amber Snow Warning has been issued by Highways England for Hertfordshire.

Doesn't appear to be consistent with what is currently showing on the Met Office website.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Gavin D
17 March 2018 14:58:13

An error with the dates not updating the below is for the 22nd to 31st


After a clear frosty start across southern areas on Thursday, a band of cloud and rain will spread across all parts, followed by blustery showers, these heaviest in the northwest. Showers will die out on Friday as thicker cloud and rain spreads in from the west, becoming windy. While daytime temperatures will recover to around normal, for a time we may still see overnight frosts. By the weekend it will turn unsettled and rather cold across most parts with some prolonged outbreaks of rain, particularly in western areas. Low pressure is expected to be close to the UK by the start of Easter week, with a mixture of showers, more prolonged spells of rain and some snow likely in the north.

An error with the dates not updating the below is for the 1st to 15th

There is significant uncertainty in the forecast throughout this period, but a blocked or slowly changing weather pattern is probable. There will most likely be a balance between Atlantic frontal systems affecting the south and west at times with colder air associated with high pressure out to the northeast. Mixed conditions are likely with wetter than average weather expected across the south, while staying drier and perhaps colder to the north. Further snow is possible, especially in the north. Windy conditions likely at times. Temperatures will likely be below average with further night frosts, and any milder interludes will probably be only brief.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Gavin D
17 March 2018 17:15:16
Outlook

Windy start

Rain or showers

Turning cooler (North westerly winds)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/about/43442348 

tallyho_83
17 March 2018 19:48:48

Met Office has updated the snow potential for the SW (Exeter on Sunday) from this:

 

TO THIS:

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Met office continue to upgrade snow for the SW tomorrow:

Also temps remaining at or below freezing all day - certainly much better than March 2013 already. 

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

squish
17 March 2018 19:53:24
Bitterly cold with strong easterly winds; prolonged snowfall.

This Evening and Tonight:

Snow showers will continue on and off this evening, with bitterly cold winds. Through the early hours and area of more prolonged drifting snow will move into the southwest, bringing significant accumulations and potential for disruption. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Don’t remember a text forecast like this in ‘proper’ winter....ever!! ( for down here )....well maybe since 2 weeks ago 😂


D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
Gooner
18 March 2018 03:16:02

Looking at the radar and the reports on here , it’s shows how crap the Beeb forecasts currently are. The Beeb focused on the South and SW well they were clearly miles out .


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



Retron
18 March 2018 03:56:47

Looking at the radar and the reports on here , it’s shows how crap the Beeb forecasts currently are. The Beeb focused on the South and SW well they were clearly miles out .

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

The strange thing is that by default the BBC weather engine runs on UKV, the same model as the Met Office use.

I can only guess that the loss of MOGREPS and, I suspect more importantly, access to the Met Office forecasters' discussion (which is issued several times a day IIRC) have had an effect.

That said, nobody did well with yesterday's forecast in this corner of the UK!


Leysdown, north Kent
David M Porter
18 March 2018 09:22:26

 

The BBC's contract is with Meteogroup. To the best of my knowledge Meteociel is a completely separate business. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Thanks for correcting me there, Brian.

 


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

Chichesterweatherfan2
18 March 2018 12:44:50
To be fair to all forecasters, this spells just shows how tricky it is to forecast snow in this country....still puzzling how the English riviera in Torquay can get plastered with snow from an easterly and here, probably some 150 plus miles to the East, we get minimal amounts...
The Beast from the East
18 March 2018 13:02:33

latest BBC graphics have the SE totally dry today even though the current radar is clearly showing snow entering Kent now

Meteogroup and their graphics are useless. Since we are paying for it through the licence fee, we must have some ability to force them to improve, at least the graphics

 

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Gavin D
18 March 2018 13:44:43
Met office

UK Outlook for Friday 23 Mar 2018 to Sunday 1 Apr 2018:

The end of the week is likely to be unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by periods of drier, brighter, and sunnier weather. It will often be windy with a coastal gales, at times, and a low risk of severe gales on Friday. Temperatures will be near to normal but locally rather cold, with a risk of overnight frosts. As we head into the final week of March the UK's weather is likely to stay changeable, but with slightly longer periods of drier and bright weather. There remains uncertainty for the Easter Weekend, but there is a signal that we could see weather patterns becoming slow-moving or stalled by cold air and high pressure in the northeast.

UK Outlook for Monday 2 Apr 2018 to Monday 16 Apr 2018:

There is significant uncertainty in the forecast throughout this period, but a blocked or slowly changing weather pattern is probable. There will most likely be a balance between Atlantic frontal systems affecting the south and west at times with colder air associated with high pressure out to the northeast. Mixed conditions are likely with wetter than average weather expected across the south, while staying drier and perhaps colder to the north. Further snow is possible, especially in the north. Windy conditions likely at times. Temperatures will likely be below average with further night frosts, and any milder interludes will probably be only brief. Towards mid-month, confidence becomes very low but some warmer days are expected.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Gooner
18 March 2018 15:27:56

latest BBC graphics have the SE totally dry today even though the current radar is clearly showing snow entering Kent now

Meteogroup and their graphics are useless. Since we are paying for it through the licence fee, we must have some ability to force them to improve, at least the graphics

 

 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

I agree, embarrassing really 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



Polar Low
18 March 2018 16:11:06

It will be snowing on the bbc studio soon how embarrassing is that, why don’t they look at the radar? 

 

I agree, embarrassing really 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

PFCSCOTTY
18 March 2018 17:05:12

It will be snowing on the bbc studio soon how embarrassing is that, why don’t they look at the radar? 

 

Originally Posted by: Polar Low 

 

yes I think this has caught everyone out ...not least the professionals ! ...in the winter that won't let go! 

Brian Gaze
18 March 2018 17:10:10

This afternoon's snow in the SE was certainly picked up by recent ICON and Arpege model runs. I'm not really sure why they have been caught out. I flagged it up on the TWO homepage this morning and noticed it was a possibility yesterday.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Gooner
18 March 2018 17:30:52

 

 

yes I think this has caught everyone out ...not least the professionals ! ...in the winter that won't let go! 

Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY 

Have to agree with Brian , models were showing an area moving across the South, as usual since the change of data supplier the Beeb have cocked up


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



SEMerc
18 March 2018 17:33:43

This afternoon's snow in the SE was certainly picked up by recent ICON and Arpege model runs. I'm not really sure why they have been caught out. I flagged it up on the TWO homepage this morning and noticed it was a possibility yesterday.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

And not forgetting HIRLAM too.

Poor show from the Beeb.

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