The Weather Outlook

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tallyho_83
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 5:10:12 AM

UK Outlook for Sunday 18 Mar 2018 to Tuesday 27 Mar 2018:

Very cold through Sunday and Monday with widespread, locally severe, frosts overnight. Quite frequent snow showers for a time across central, eastern and southeastern parts, with a few showers reaching the west. There is a low risk of more persistent snow moving west across southern and some central areas, this more likely on Sunday. 

 

Cracking update

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

Still not convinced re the snow showers as it's not showing up on the gfs charts. 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Gavin D
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 12:35:50 PM
Met office

UK Outlook for Monday 19 Mar 2018 to Wednesday 28 Mar 2018:

Monday will be another very cold day, it will also be largely dry and bright aside from a few snow showers. Gradually, from Tuesday onwards, wet, windy and milder weather is expected to make a return, particularly in the north where rain is likely to be preceded by a spell of snow. In the south it should remain dry, bright and cold with some sunshine. However, later in the week, wet and windy weather is likely to push across all parts before we see a return to colder and brighter weather by the weekend. Into the following week there is significant uncertainty in the forecast but a blocked or only slowly changing weather pattern seems most likely.

UK Outlook for Thursday 29 Mar 2018 to Thursday 12 Apr 2018:

There is significant uncertainty in the forecast throughout this period, but a blocked or slowly changing weather pattern is probable. There will most likely be a balance between Atlantic frontal systems affecting the south and west at times with colder air associated with high pressure out to the northeast. Mixed conditions are likely with wetter than average conditions expected across the south, while staying drier and perhaps colder to the north. Further snow is possible, especially in the north where it will also be windy at times. Temperatures will likely be below average with further night frosts, and any milder interludes will probably be only brief.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Whiteout
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 1:25:20 PM

Well that update wasn't a surprise, the beast mark 2 is more of a rascal now 


Home/Work - Dartmoor

240m/785 ft asl

Chichesterweatherfan2
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 1:54:22 PM
Lunch time forecast on the BBC, Helen Willets mentioned increasing concern in the south about snow over the weekend....graphics showed a fair amount of white over southern England...although I guess it could have been Cloud! The Beast Mark 2may be a rascal, but potentially a cheeky one! Especially if we do get a few hours of snow....certainly not counting chickens, but potential is there....
tallyho_83
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 2:14:37 PM

Lunch time forecast on the BBC, Helen Willets mentioned increasing concern in the south about snow over the weekend....graphics showed a fair amount of white over southern England...although I guess it could have been Cloud! The Beast Mark 2may be a rascal, but potentially a cheeky one! Especially if we do get a few hours of snow....certainly not counting chickens, but potential is there....

Originally Posted by: Chichesterweatherfan2 

 

I saw that too - also that's the annoying thing about the new graphics - is know what the difference is between cloud, snow, fog and frost. They use exact same colours.


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

tallyho_83
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 10:53:43 PM
Met office 10 day forecast by Alex Deakin:


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Chichesterweatherfan2
Wednesday, March 14, 2018 11:37:37 PM

Met office 10 day forecast by Alex Deakin:

https://youtu.be/8_7doAW85n8

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

what a great, well presented, informative forecast..Shame that we get nothing like this on the BBC...Alex Deaken, much like John Hammond, obviously loves the weather and his enthusiasm is infectious!

tallyho_83
Thursday, March 15, 2018 2:19:51 AM

 

what a great, well presented, informative forecast..Shame that we get nothing like this on the BBC...Alex Deaken, much like John Hammond, obviously loves the weather and his enthusiasm is infectious!

Originally Posted by: Chichesterweatherfan2 

I don't know why but whenever we have a cold spell it seems like it's Darren Bett forecasting!!


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Retron
Thursday, March 15, 2018 7:28:20 AM

I would expect a yellow warning for snow for Saturday down here, perhaps even an amber. This MetO forecast shows blizzards (using the MetO definition of 30mph sustained winds)!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/u10skvs08#?date=2018-03-17

 


Leysdown, north Kent
nsrobins
Thursday, March 15, 2018 8:20:57 AM
The UKM auto for the N Kent coast for Sat is picking up the chance of a streamer which as we know can locally deliver in a short time. Generally for the S and CI the upper cold trough is the best chance on Sunday. For the NE look to the stationary trough Fri into Fri evening getting undercut and turning to snow as the front wave of the sub -10s make landfall

All in all a sharp but impressive cold shot over the weekend.


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Lionel Hutz
Thursday, March 15, 2018 9:12:18 AM

https://www.met.ie/forecasts/

I'm surprised that our Met service over here is sticking to its guns about only light snow here. With snow prospects increasing for England, I would have thought that our prospects would be increasing too. Obviously, they think that the entire system(over both England and Ireland) will be relatively dry.


Lionel Hutz

Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland

68m ASL



NickR
Thursday, March 15, 2018 9:19:32 AM

https://www.met.ie/forecasts/

I'm surprised that our Met service over here is sticking to its guns about only light snow here. With snow prospects increasing for England, I would have thought that our prospects would be increasing too. Obviously, they think that the entire system(over both England and Ireland) will be relatively dry.

Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 

Given I've got to cross the Pennines and get to Manchester on Saturday, I hope they're right!


Nick

Durham

[email protected]

soperman
Thursday, March 15, 2018 9:38:10 AM

I would expect a yellow warning for snow for Saturday down here, perhaps even an amber. This MetO forecast shows blizzards (using the MetO definition of 30mph sustained winds)!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/u10skvs08#?date=2018-03-17

 

Originally Posted by: Retron 

 

Yep - we have similar charts for heavy snow from 06 am Saturday - the warnings have not caught up with the models bringing in the snow earlier.

Have you seen the Sunday fax chart - just imagine that in January - this place would have been electric!


Happily living by the sea in Brixham......but sad to leave the snowy Chiltern Hills after 35 years!
Lionel Hutz
Thursday, March 15, 2018 9:52:06 AM

 

Given I've got to cross the Pennines and get to Manchester on Saturday, I hope they're right!

Originally Posted by: NickR 

I really hope that you make it to and from the match. But I hope that it snows too!


Lionel Hutz

Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland

68m ASL



NickR
Thursday, March 15, 2018 10:09:27 AM

 

I really hope that you make it to and from the match. But I hope that it snows too!

Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 

If it snows a lot on Friday night but only showers on Sat i might be OK, as I'm assuming they would prioritise clearing the A1 and M62 (amongst others).


Nick

Durham

[email protected]

Gavin D
Thursday, March 15, 2018 12:47:06 PM
Met office

UK Outlook for Tuesday 20 Mar 2018 to Thursday 29 Mar 2018:

After a few very cold days, temperatures will slowly start to recover through the start of this period. Tuesday and Wednesday will be largely cloudy but mostly dry aside from a few showers. Some spells of wet and windy weather are then expected to arrive from the west later in the week, with rain likely to be preceded by a spell of snow in the north. Inbetween spells of wet and windy weather, there will be some drier, brighter but colder interludes. Into the following week there is significant uncertainty in the forecast but a blocked or only slowly changing weather pattern seems most likely with the wettest weather likely to be in the south and the greatest chance of any snow in the north.

UK Outlook for Friday 30 Mar 2018 to Friday 13 Apr 2018:

There is significant uncertainty in the forecast throughout this period, but a blocked or slowly changing weather pattern is probable. There will most likely be a balance between Atlantic frontal systems affecting the south and west at times with colder air associated with high pressure out to the northeast. Mixed conditions are likely with wetter than average conditions expected across the south, while staying drier and perhaps colder to the north. Further snow is possible, especially in the north where it will also be windy at times. Temperatures will likely be below average with further night frosts, and any milder interludes will probably be only brief.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

tallyho_83
Thursday, March 15, 2018 12:54:56 PM

Met office



UK Outlook for Friday 30 Mar 2018 to Friday 13 Apr 2018:
Temperatures will likely be below average with further night frosts, and any milder interludes will probably be only brief.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

">https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Spring on hold until 13th April then!?

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

tallyho_83
Thursday, March 15, 2018 1:39:10 PM

Well this snowfall on Sunday looks quite extensive across all southern areas and disruptive to me don't you think?

It's on a sunday when most people don't have to travel to work except me i'll be at work. 

Enjoy it!

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

forestedge
Thursday, March 15, 2018 3:19:43 PM

Well this snowfall on Sunday looks quite extensive across all southern areas and disruptive to me don't you think?

It's on a sunday when most people don't have to travel to work except me i'll be at work. 

Enjoy it!

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

This reflects MO weather warning issued for Sunday, follows new warning for eastern and central England on Saturday!

 


Roger

Ashurst Bridge (New Forest)

9m ASL

https://www.newforestweather.co.uk 

Tim A
Thursday, March 15, 2018 3:37:37 PM
Best regional Met Office forecast for here in all of two weeks:

Friday:

Remaining wet and windy throughout, and turning increasingly cold with rain eventually turning to snow over the Pennines, then gradually to lower levels during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Very cold Saturday and Sunday with snow showers and locally significant accumulations, together with bitter easterly winds. Probably becoming less cold again during Monday with mainly dry and fine conditions.

But seriously updates as wintry as that, are very rare indeed.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

NickR
Thursday, March 15, 2018 3:46:37 PM

Best regional Met Office forecast for here in all of two weeks:

Friday:
Remaining wet and windy throughout, and turning increasingly cold with rain eventually turning to snow over the Pennines, then gradually to lower levels during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:
Very cold Saturday and Sunday with snow showers and locally significant accumulations, together with bitter easterly winds. Probably becoming less cold again during Monday with mainly dry and fine conditions.

But seriously updates as wintry as that, are very rare indeed.

Originally Posted by: Tim A 

Either by road or rail, I'm not going to get to Manchester on Saturday, am I? 


Nick

Durham

[email protected]

Tim A
Thursday, March 15, 2018 4:33:59 PM

 

Either by road or rail, I'm not going to get to Manchester on Saturday, am I? 

Originally Posted by: NickR 

Could be problematic.  Even if many areas miss the heaviest of the falls you would expect somewhere along either the A1 or M62 to have significant problems at some stage.

Having said that there could be a window saturday morning to afternoon where there are less showers.   I  reckon you could get there but could you get back...


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

NickR
Thursday, March 15, 2018 4:40:12 PM

 

Could be problematic.  Even if many areas miss the heaviest of the falls you would expect somewhere along either the A1 or M62 to have significant problems at some stage.

Having said that there could be a window saturday morning to afternoon where there are less showers.   I  reckon you could get there but could you get back...

Originally Posted by: Tim A 

That's what I'm holding onto. They SHOULD prioritise clearing the overnight snow, so that might be a chance. I'll worry about getting back later - either Sat 10:30pm or we'll stay over in a hotel and hope for a window on Sunday.

EDIT: There's also the kamikaze route, aka the A66... :O


Nick

Durham

[email protected]

tallyho_83
Thursday, March 15, 2018 6:29:33 PM

 

This reflects MO weather warning issued for Sunday, follows new warning for eastern and central England on Saturday!

 

Originally Posted by: forestedge 

What's interesting is BBC Helen Willets show maxes of +6c on Sunday in the south west yet with snowfall!? How weird - yet the GFS and other models in line with the Met Office have maxes of -2c to +2c on Sunday!?


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

tallyho_83
Thursday, March 15, 2018 6:34:52 PM


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

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