Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 8 Dec 2017 to Sunday 17 Dec 2017:

The UK will be subject to a cold arctic airflow by Friday, bringing plenty of sunny spells but also some hail and snow showers. Any wintry showers will be most likely over northern facing hills in Scotland, Wales and the southwest, but at times becoming widespread. Strong winds will affect all regions, with gales in exposed coasts in the north; feeling very cold in the wind. We will also see a widespread increase in overnight frost and ice. This cold and windy weather is likely to stay in place for a time, perhaps with some brief milder interludes in the south, with frontal systems bringing a mix of rain sleet and snow. There are signs that slower-moving, blocked weather patterns will return with more settled but still cold weather dominating.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Dec 2017 to Tuesday 2 Jan 2018:

There is low confidence as to which weather pattern will dominate into the second half of December. However, a theme of more slowly evolving and a blocked weather pattern looks the most likely scenario. This is likely to bring a mixture of colder, drier periods and shorter lived milder, wetter, windier interludes. Snow is likely at times especially in more northern and central areas. Overall, temperatures will probably be below the average, but with some brief milder interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvj0v07#?date=2017-11-14

Very good update , it seems to suggest sliders to me 

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Very good update , it seems to suggest sliders to me 

That description would also fit with high pressure to the north or north east and incursions of milder weather in from the west/south.  That’s pretty finely balanced - a couple of hundred miles is tricky at 3-4 days out, never mind 3-4 weeks. Encouraging though, given the usual synoptics at this time of year. 

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That description would also fit with high pressure to the north or north east and incursions of milder weather in from the west/south.  That’s pretty finely balanced - a couple of hundred miles is tricky at 3-4 days out, never mind 3-4 weeks. Encouraging though, given the usual synoptics at this time of year. 

Agreed

 

But to counter that, any update I have seen with regards December seems to favour cold being dominant with mild interludes very brief

 

But take your point

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Met Office Video Forecast

 

Met Office Video Forecast

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Slight update to the Met long ranger - only snow mentioned now for the precipitation type later this week and into the weekend

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Dec 2017 to Monday 18 Dec 2017:
The UK will be subject to a cold arctic airflow this weekend, bringing plenty of sunny spells but also some snow showers. Any snow showers will be most frequent over northern and western parts, and perhaps the east coast, but at times may become more widespread. Strong winds will affect all regions, with gales in exposed coasts in the north and east; feeling very cold in the wind. We will also see a widespread increase in overnight frost and ice. This cold and windy weather is likely to stay in place for a time, perhaps with some brief milder interludes in the south, with frontal systems bringing a mix of rain, sleet and snow. There are signs that the slow-moving and blocked weather pattern is likely to remain in place.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Dec 2017 to Tuesday 2 Jan 2018:
There is low confidence as to which weather pattern will dominate into the second half of December. However, a theme of more slowly evolving and a blocked weather pattern looks the most likely scenario. This is likely to bring a mixture of colder, drier periods and shorter lived milder, wetter, windier interludes. Snow is likely at times especially in more northern and central areas. Overall, temperatures will probably be below the average, but with some brief milder interludes.

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I think we will get our first yellow warnings today. (For rain or wind) although the wind warning may mention snow showers.

Perhaps not 😂😂😂😂

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Slight update to the Met long ranger - only snow mentioned now for the precipitation type later this week and into the weekend

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Dec 2017 to Monday 18 Dec 2017:
The UK will be subject to a cold arctic airflow this weekend, bringing plenty of sunny spells but also some snow showers. Any snow showers will be most frequent over northern and western parts, and perhaps the east coast, but at times may become more widespread. Strong winds will affect all regions, with gales in exposed coasts in the north and east; feeling very cold in the wind. We will also see a widespread increase in overnight frost and ice. This cold and windy weather is likely to stay in place for a time, perhaps with some brief milder interludes in the south, with frontal systems bringing a mix of rain, sleet and snow. There are signs that the slow-moving and blocked weather pattern is likely to remain in place.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Dec 2017 to Tuesday 2 Jan 2018:
There is low confidence as to which weather pattern will dominate into the second half of December. However, a theme of more slowly evolving and a blocked weather pattern looks the most likely scenario. This is likely to bring a mixture of colder, drier periods and shorter lived milder, wetter, windier interludes. Snow is likely at times especially in more northern and central areas. Overall, temperatures will probably be below the average, but with some brief milder interludes.

 

Looking encouraging for cold and snow:

Meanwhile across the Atlantic it's a poor start to many parts of southern and eastern Canada in Terms of snow cover - note the Prairies - there are some snow free areas in many parts but more exclusively so for the Great lakes and NE Canada!? Majour cities like Montreal and Ottawa are still snow free. The December average is around -7c or something!? Anyone posting in the N. America Thread!?

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Weekend and beyond

Colder in north & east

Milder to south & west

Snow?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/42231565 

I’m not keen in the idea of the risk of storm force northerly winds on Thursday/Friday (and no early warnings out yet)

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Warnings now out for N Scotland ,  I  expect to see some more warnings soon for snow on higher ground .

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Warnings now out for N Scotland ,  I  expect to see some more warnings soon for snow on higher ground .

Named as Caroline now, I see.

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And we officially have Storm Caroline

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Dec 2017 to Tuesday 19 Dec 2017:

A frontal band is likely to move east across the UK on Sunday, which will bring a mixture of rain, sleet and snow in places, with central and northern areas most at risk. Staying unsettled through next week, with further wintry showers, or occasionally longer spells of rain, sleet and snow, especially across northern and western parts of the UK, with drier and brighter weather likely in the southeast. However, frontal systems moving in off the Atlantic are more likely to bring rain in the south, with the greatest risk of snow across northern parts. Generally cold, with overnight frost, perhaps severe in the north, and perhaps some brief milder interludes, mainly in the south. The cold weather may well affect most places through mid-December.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 20 Dec 2017 to Wednesday 3 Jan 2018:

A slow-moving and blocked weather pattern is likely to dominate for the rest of December and into the early part of January. This is likely to bring a mixture of colder, drier periods and shorter lived milder, wetter and windier interludes. Snow is likely at times, especially in more northern and central parts of the UK. There remains some uncertainty in regards to which pattern will be most dominant during this period. Overall temperatures will probably be below average, but with some milder spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvj0v07#?date=2017-11-14 

A good update. Lots of risk but potential snowfalls for many.

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http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm 

Image Graphics seem a bit off with the temps do they not!?

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https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/938087280694169600

 

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http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=ukuk&LAND=UK®ION=0003&WMO=03063&LEVEL=52&R=310&NOREGION=0 

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=ukuk&LAND=UK®ION=0003&WMO=03091&LEVEL=52&R=310&NOREGION=0 

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https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/938087280694169600

 

Can't complain with that but Exeter always misses the snow 9 times out of 10. It's also quite ironic - You have a deep polar low pressure system to the east of us yet more precipitation will be out in the western parts of the UK!?

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Can't complain with that but Exeter always misses the snow 9 times out of 10. It's also quite ironic - You have a deep polar low pressure system to the east of us yet more precipitation will be out in the western parts of the UK!?

Tally, just follow the wind direction. It stays mostly W of north (courtesy of the Atlantic high collapsing in lieu of the disrupting system following on Sunday) hence the shower distribution.

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https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm 

A wintry outlook - Monday looks colder than Friday according to the Weather Online forecast!

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