The Weather Outlook

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Joe Bloggs
15 November 2017 22:02:11

“This outcome was always clear to me, a cold spell was never looking likely and shame on you sad little people for getting excited about it. You’ll never learn”.

๐Ÿ˜€

Joe Bloggs
15 November 2017 22:03:12

'Just as I said it would'

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

THIS! ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

 

White Meadows
16 November 2017 09:12:35
โ€˜At least it will save on my heating billsโ€™
nsrobins
16 November 2017 09:19:45

“The ECM will be crucial tonight.”

No, actually, it won’t, and it probably won’t be tomorrow either. 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

๐Ÿ˜‚

’I’ll get my **** (insert as appropriate).’

On that note, I’ll get my (thesaurus) ๐Ÿ˜Ž


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

David M Porter
16 November 2017 09:36:21

"At least it will be mild".


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." โ€“ Thomas Paine

Jive Buddy
16 November 2017 09:54:37

"I never bought into it like everyone else did"

"The razor blades will be out"


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.

Stolen Snowman
16 November 2017 11:20:00

 

I'm not quite sure why ? We have to someway define the phenomenon of the last 30 years.

Originally Posted by: Shropshire 

Surely it's already got a name hasn't it? Isn't it called the positive phase of the AMO?

From what I've read about it, doesn't it also answer all the other posts on this topic (death of the Easterly, no decent snow IMBY since 1995 etc.) which carry the same sentiment but aren't obsessed with repeating a label they claim to have invented?

In my simplistic view there's nothing 'broken' and no reason to assume it won't switch negative again.

The increased background warmth presumably explains why more records are seen to be broken in this current phase, with the reason for this warmth and whether it will continue, or possibly even decline, the subject of an entirely different debate. 

To answer the original thread topic, any terminology that states there's 'something wrong' in the nature of winters of the last 30 years!


Statistics prove that the period just after records began witnessed some of the most extreme weather ever recorded. Records were being broken on a frequency that has not been repeated since.

Posting live from a pub somewhere in Burton upon Trent

Whether Idle
16 November 2017 21:00:41

"just one run"

"the train isn't coming til you can see the train"

"slider low"

"Kettley High"

"it will feel bitterly cold" (when the max temperature is around 7 or 8c and its windy.)


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
David M Porter
17 November 2017 07:53:49

 

Surely it's already got a name hasn't it? Isn't it called the positive phase of the AMO?

 

Originally Posted by: Stolen Snowman 

As far as I know, the last major switch in the AMO when the current positive phase began was around 20 years ago, which happened to coincide with a major El Nino event at the time.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." โ€“ Thomas Paine

ballamar
  • ballamar
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 November 2017 11:03:51
I'm afraid.........

Usually another way of saying I am right

Solar Cycles
17 November 2017 12:03:08
โ€œWeโ€™re only halfway through winter yet and the winter of 47 didnโ€™t start until Februaryโ€.

Tim A
17 November 2017 12:42:22

“We’re only halfway through winter yet and the winter of 47 didn’t start until February”.

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 

 

2012/ 2013 did prove that patience is sometimes needed though.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

ย My PWS 

Bolty
17 November 2017 16:19:33

“We’re only halfway through winter yet and the winter of 47 didn’t start until February”.

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 

"Still there's always March. Remember March 2013?"


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Islander
17 November 2017 16:27:31

"Euro Slug" when referring to a euro high - just say euro high! Grrrrr....


Guernsey
KevBrads1
18 November 2017 05:10:36

“We’re only halfway through winter yet and the winter of 47 didn’t start until February”.

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 

That narks me that one. Just look at the CETs for the other two months. 

 


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

John p
18 November 2017 07:47:24
"The Scottish ski industry will be pleased ".

In other words - south of the Cairngorms, it's looking zonal for the next 3 weeks.


Camberley, Surrey
doctormog
18 November 2017 08:01:58
Stolen Snowman
18 November 2017 11:28:28

 

As far as I know, the last major switch in the AMO when the current positive phase began was around 20 years ago, which happened to coincide with a major El Nino event at the time.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

1995 according to this. Does kinda fit. So only about another 7 years to wait! 

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/noaa-releases-2017-hurricane-outlook-atlantic-ocean


Statistics prove that the period just after records began witnessed some of the most extreme weather ever recorded. Records were being broken on a frequency that has not been repeated since.

Posting live from a pub somewhere in Burton upon Trent

ballamar
  • ballamar
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
18 November 2017 11:43:26
FI is now 48 hours when a cold spell disappears!!
Stolen Snowman
18 November 2017 18:27:32

'Mildfest'


Statistics prove that the period just after records began witnessed some of the most extreme weather ever recorded. Records were being broken on a frequency that has not been repeated since.

Posting live from a pub somewhere in Burton upon Trent

Solar Cycles
18 November 2017 19:54:21

 

That narks me that one. Just look at the CETs for the other two months. 

 

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 

Indeed Kev.

howham
19 November 2017 16:55:48
Jam tomorrow.
Jive Buddy
19 November 2017 17:13:03

This is a weird dislike, I know, but..."Chilly"

Can't explain it, but just hate that word! (In all walks of life, not just on here)


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.

Retron
19 November 2017 17:21:02

Two with an IMBY slant:

"Cold zonality". No such thing if you live in Kent... at least, not since the 1980s.


"Northerly" - rare beasts in winter. Whenever people go on about them, it normally equates to a NW'ly flow down here!


Leysdown, north Kent
doctormog
19 November 2017 17:45:39

Two with an IMBY slant:

"Cold zonality". No such thing if you live in Kent... at least, not since the 1980s.


"Northerly" - rare beasts in winter. Whenever people go on about them, it normally equates to a NW'ly flow down here!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

My post saying “easterly” was shorter. 


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