12z GFS ops looks decent enough for Southern areas. Improving picture through the weekend and beyond. For what it's worth, which is very little really unless anyone puts any faith in model output accuracy beyond a few days out

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GEMOPEU12_120_1.png 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/UKMOPEU12_120_1.png 

Good to see 100F on the cards though, albeit for this one fleeting run. Especially as GEM is Meh.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif

Caption competition? 

Not sure who you're referring to?

Good to see that the 12z GFS has improved markedly compared to its miserable op run yesterday evening.

The T+120 MetO chart is just funny. It's kind of a good metaphor for the country at the mo. Made me laugh anyway. :D 

Anyway we can enjoy another day of warmth before some storms and hopefully the settled weather will return again before long. 

I was thinking of captioning it along the lines you're thinking but remembered being ticked off in another thread so stayed silent. 

Astonishing GEFS12z tonight. There's an outside chance (15%???) that we're seeing history in the making.

The latest on the rollercoaster Caz gives a chilli-hot FI. And, as I have said, I won't feel surprise if tomorrow it's a Scandi low.

Wetter to the N.W, drier to the S.E Temps around average

The FI section of the 12z GFS is insane. T+324 h shows the 20C 850 hPa isotherm reaching as far north as Newcastle and thicknesses in the SE probably around 582 dam. What a pity it's so far out...

Has the 582 dam line ever reached the UK before?

Well if the GFS 12Z FI comes off that will be the 40C mark breached

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_324_2.png 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/ECMOPEU12_120_1.png 

Got a good 576 circle in Aug 2003 IIRC meaning maybe 577 or so. 582 dam seems a difficult catch.

Shows what is possible over the next 4 weeks or so.  40c is there for the taking.  Not sure about the 582 line - perhaps overnight on south coast around 4th August 1990?

I think 40C is possible. Was it 2 years ago - we got 36 to 37C and well in my home area there was at least 4 hours of cloud  and we hit 36C. So 40C if its sunny is possible.

Not sure i'd want to experience 40c. It would be a bit like sticking your head in the oven I should imagine.

I've experienced much higher temps in Death Valley. Also had no probs sleeping there despite not having air con. 

Low DPs make all the difference. I've done the mid-40s in Arizona, actually quite nice. The worst was upper-30s in Thailand with 100% humidity. Anyway, OT.

Not alone..Control and OP identical

Hmmmm.

Current output from the Gfs op would have southern UK bathing in 37+ Celsius.