Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Feb 2017 to Friday 17 Feb 2017:

Wednesday will be mostly dry and often cloudy, though with perhaps some drizzle in the far east and north west. It will gradually turn colder through Wednesday and Thursday, as cloud and patchy precipitation moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent. Into the weekend, it may remain unsettled in the far west with spells of rain at times and perhaps snow on the high ground. Elsewhere, it is likely to stay mostly dry with some sunshine too. It will remain chilly by day and cold by night, especially in the east with frosts becoming widespread. Into the new working week and the middle of February, things look set to stay on the cold side but there will be a good deal of dry weather around.

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Feb 2017 to Saturday 4 Mar 2017:

Through the rest of February, confidence in the forecast becomes fairly low, although the most likely scenario is for things to remain fairly settled. This would mean that our weather is likely to stay on the cold side, with a lot of dry days with some sunny around. Nights bring a continued risk of frost and fog. Towards the north and west and northwest is where we're most likely to see any milder and wetter spells of weather, although confidence around this is again low.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

I think the storm naming has gone tits up, IMO. The 11th January low wasn't named and I don't know why and now the tabloid media have taken on themselves to name the system coming through tonight as  Doris.

The local media here gave the name Doris to another low that dumped some moderate rain in Dorset but that was last Monday I think.

Maybe they are twins.

Nick

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The local media here gave the name Doris to another low that dumped some moderate rain in Dorset but that was last Monday I think.

Maybe they are twins.

Nick

A complete farce, but then my vehement criticism of the whole naming thing has already been published (unlike clear guidance on the storm naming initiative 😉).

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A complete farce, but then my vehement criticism of the whole naming thing has already been published (unlike clear guidance on the storm naming initiative 😉).

Personally I think they should name storms with an inverse sliding scale of innocuousness - so for a 120mph storm that'll detach Scotland from the rest of the UK and leave it near Norway the storm would be called Buttercup.

For a gentle 50mph waft with a bit of light rain they'd have to use the name Deathbringer oslt.

It'd have about as much point as the current system but be a lot more fun

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Next week

Wet and windy
Drier, colder later

Next weekend

Battlezone developing will we be on the cold side of it or the milder side?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/38860885

Next week

Wet and windy
Drier, colder later

Next weekend

Battlezone developing will we be on the cold side of it or the milder side?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/38860885

Looks like there is only a 50/10 chance of the easterly developing according to Helen Willetts.

Also - what's interesting are those wintry showers tomorrow evening pushing in from the SW?! - Since when did South Westerly winds bring wintry showers!?

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Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Feb 2017 to Saturday 18 Feb 2017:
It will turn cold through Thursday, as cloud and patchy rain, sleet or hill snow moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent on a stiff south-easterly wind. Into the weekend, it is likely to remain cold or very cold, perhaps accentuated by strong winds at times. It will be rather cloudy generally, with the best of the brightness in the northwest. Snow flurries are increasingly likely in the northeast, perhaps with snow showers becoming soemwhat more widespread across the UK for a time. Widespread frost is likely. Until mid February is looks more likely to stay cold and mainly dry. However, it may be more unsettled and less cold at times in the extreme west with spells of rain, with snow on higher ground.

Updated at: 1201 on Sat 4 Feb 2017

... the longer term hasn't updated yet. Interesting to see snow showers being mentioned.

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Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Feb 2017 to Saturday 18 Feb 2017:
It will turn cold through Thursday, as cloud and patchy rain, sleet or hill snow moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent on a stiff south-easterly wind. Into the weekend, it is likely to remain cold or very cold, perhaps accentuated by strong winds at times. It will be rather cloudy generally, with the best of the brightness in the northwest. Snow flurries are increasingly likely in the northeast, perhaps with snow showers becoming soemwhat more widespread across the UK for a time. Widespread frost is likely. Until mid February is looks more likely to stay cold and mainly dry. However, it may be more unsettled and less cold at times in the extreme west with spells of rain, with snow on higher ground.

Updated at: 1201 on Sat 4 Feb 2017

... the longer term hasn't updated yet. Interesting to see snow showers being mentioned.

Damn good update mid term id say

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Feb 2017 to Saturday 18 Feb 2017:

It will turn cold through Thursday, as cloud and patchy rain, sleet or hill snow moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent on a stiff south-easterly wind. Into the weekend, it is likely to remain cold or very cold, perhaps accentuated by strong winds at times. It will be rather cloudy generally, with the best of the brightness in the northwest. Snow flurries are increasingly likely in the northeast, perhaps with snow showers becoming soemwhat more widespread across the UK for a time. Widespread frost is likely. Until mid February is looks more likely to stay cold and mainly dry. However, it may be more unsettled and less cold at times in the extreme west with spells of rain, with snow on higher ground.

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Feb 2017 to Sunday 5 Mar 2017:

Through the rest of February, confidence in the forecast becomes fairly low, although the most likely scenario is for things to remain fairly settled. This would mean that our weather is likely to stay on the cold side, with a lot of dry days and some sunny spells. The nights will bring further frost and fog too. Occasional spells of milder, wetter weather are possible, most likely in the northwest, and then signals for the start of March are weak, but it may turn more unsettled generally.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Feb 2017 to Saturday 18 Feb 2017:
It will turn cold through Thursday, as cloud and patchy rain, sleet or hill snow moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent on a stiff south-easterly wind. Into the weekend, it is likely to remain cold or very cold, perhaps accentuated by strong winds at times. It will be rather cloudy generally, with the best of the brightness in the northwest. Snow flurries are increasingly likely in the northeast, perhaps with snow showers becoming soemwhat more widespread across the UK for a time. Widespread frost is likely. Until mid February is looks more likely to stay cold and mainly dry. However, it may be more unsettled and less cold at times in the extreme west with spells of rain, with snow on higher ground.

Updated at: 1201 on Sat 4 Feb 2017

... the longer term hasn't updated yet. Interesting to see snow showers being mentioned.

 

That's a good update hopefully some upgrades in the models tonight 

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Seems to me like an update that's a good summary of what we're seeing on the ECM ensembles and the ukmo model. Beyond the end of next week is pure conjecture at this range

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Latest met office forecast for here, based on MOGREPS has trended colder. Highs of 3c Wednesday, 1c Thursday and 1c Friday . Here's hoping for further upgrades.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcwf6jyz1

 

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Feb 2017 to Saturday 18 Feb 2017:

It will turn cold through Thursday, as cloud and patchy rain, sleet or hill snow moves westwards, allowing colder air to feed in from the near continent on a stiff south-easterly wind. Into the weekend, it is likely to remain cold or very cold, perhaps accentuated by strong winds at times. It will be rather cloudy generally, with the best of the brightness in the northwest. Snow flurries are increasingly likely in the northeast, perhaps with snow showers becoming soemwhat more widespread across the UK for a time. Widespread frost is likely. Until mid February is looks more likely to stay cold and mainly dry. However, it may be more unsettled and less cold at times in the extreme west with spells of rain, with snow on higher ground.

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Feb 2017 to Sunday 5 Mar 2017:

Through the rest of February, confidence in the forecast becomes fairly low, although the most likely scenario is for things to remain fairly settled. This would mean that our weather is likely to stay on the cold side, with a lot of dry days and some sunny spells. The nights will bring further frost and fog too. Occasional spells of milder, wetter weather are possible, most likely in the northwest, and then signals for the start of March are weak, but it may turn more unsettled generally.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

why does it always seem that the met office are one day behind what we seem to see in the models ourselves? ...and it's generally the amatuer enthusiasts on here that outdo what the met predict? As others would say I expect this LRF to change tomorrow to reflect today's less enthusiastic (for cold) models. Generally a pointless forecast IMO ...but interesting to see who's wrong this time nevertheless 

 A complete farce, but then my vehement criticism of the whole naming thing has already been published (unlike clear guidance on the storm naming initiative 😉).

Storm naming is straight forward: if Met Eireann or the MetO issue an amber warning, the storm is named.  If they don't, it isn't.   About as complicated as putting one lego block on top of another.

There was speculation earlier in the week that yesterday's storm might warrant an amber warning - depending on how it developed and it's exact trajectory.   But even by Wednesday it was clear this would not be the case.  

Unfortunately the media have the brains of a dead flamingo boiled in porridge.   Hence, in some cases, they are still struggling hopelessly to work out how the second lego block connects to the first.

 

Notwithstanding which, I agree with you, Bren and many others with regards naming storms in the first place.  And this does highlight one of the many issues: the unintelligence of the media and their determination to continue to peddle mistruths rather than admit they were wrong (the Daily Fail was still referring to "Doris" this morning .... )

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Next weekend

Often cloudy
Cold
Windchill

Not a huge amount of precipitation rain or snow

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/38867880 

Next weekend

Often cloudy
Cold
Windchill

Not a huge amount of precipitation rain or snow

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/38867880

LOL, I love the way after mentioning how cold it'll feel early in the week (while showing 9s and 10s down here), he rattles through the Wednesday and Thursday charts (which actually are cold) in a total of 9 seconds!

 

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UAE on snow alert as storm hits mountain and topples crane

http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-snow-alert-heavy-storm-blankets-mountain-1237934797 

 

Storm naming is straight forward: if Met Eireann or the MetO issue an amber warning, the storm is named.  If they don't, it isn't.   About as complicated as putting one lego block on top of another.

There was speculation earlier in the week that yesterday's storm might warrant an amber warning - depending on how it developed and it's exact trajectory.   But even by Wednesday it was clear this would not be the case.  

Unfortunately the media have the brains of a dead flamingo boiled in porridge.   Hence, in some cases, they are still struggling hopelessly to work out how the second lego block connects to the first.

 

Notwithstanding which, I agree with you, Bren and many others with regards naming storms in the first place.  And this does highlight one of the many issues: the unintelligence of the media and their determination to continue to peddle mistruths rather than admit they were wrong (the Daily Fail was still referring to "Doris" this morning .... )

Storm in a teacup would be a more appropriate name for most of our alleged storms. 😂😂😂

The Online weather's update - shows it milder by early next week:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm 

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Looking at the Met's regional text forecasts for SE, EA, EMid, NE & Scot, all suggest that wintry showers are possible on Thursday.

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