Model Output Discussion 22/12/16 09:35 Onwards>>>· Page 16

Gooner
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:25:19

#376

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/runs/2016122606/gensnh-0-1-228.png

Control looks in good shape

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L

Joe Bloggs
Guest

26 December 2016 11:30:31

#377

How were we doing for transatlantic data, at midnight last night? ;-)

Just a thought!

Excellent output today.

Gooner
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:31:21

#378

Control is an absolute beauty

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L

Rob K
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:41:31

#379

06Z ensemble looks very decent. The op was one of the milder runs for the majority of the latter stages. Many runs keep it cold throughout.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

nsrobins
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:43:31

#380

How were we doing for transatlantic data, at midnight last night? ;-)

Just a thought!

Excellent output today.

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs

cheeky 😍

We'll know by Tues evening whether a paucity of data has affected the NWP.

Until then steady as she goes Mr Lightoller 😉

Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

The Beast from the East
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:52:18

#381

a few peachy ens members like this

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/runs/2016122606/gens-10-1-348.png

but equally plenty of crud ones, certainly more than the previous set so that must be a worry for coldies

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/runs/2016122606/gens-15-1-372.png

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

llamedos
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 11:56:57

#382

How were we doing for transatlantic data, at midnight last night? ;-)

Just a thought!

Excellent output today.

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs

Which remains a somewhat contentious area in terms actual impact although one has to respect the opinion of Darren who has suggested there is some significance based upon his empirical evidence.

All that said there are some tasty looking visual representations in the shop window this morning

"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator

marting
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:01:15

#383

06Z ensemble looks very decent. The op was one of the milder runs for the majority of the latter stages. Many runs keep it cold throughout.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

Originally Posted by: Rob K

yes, big improvement in the 06 ensembles. Let's hope this continues to grow over next couple of days. Overall very interesting charts at present - beats looking for a break in the rain.

Martin

Greasby, Wirral.

Gusty
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:04:06

#384

06z GEFS..impressive to say the least and starting to get 'that look'.

Justifcation for Retrons ensemble watch soon if this continues ?

A scoot at 180hrs suggests a surprising number of NE'ly options too.

As George Michael..RIP..once said though 'Caution pays'

Edited by user 26 December 2016 12:08:32 | Reason: Not specified

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/

Karl Guille
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:04:47

#385

Now I'm interested! That's pretty decent for down here.

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/graphe_ens3.php?x=223&ext=1&y=249&run=6&runpara=0

St. Sampson

Guernsey

RobN
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:15:24

#386

Whether there's a shortfall of input data or not, it can't be often that we get a non-zero snow row in the London ens for the whole of the first 10 days of January.

Rob

In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

Maunder Minimum
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:22:14

#387

A belated Merry Christmas to all. Looks like the models have come to their senses during the festive period and are offering some decent eye candy for once - long may it continue. My grandson kept asking during Christmas Day, when it would snow again - the short term looks dry and frosty, but there look to be chances of seeing some of the white stuff as we plunge into January. 😀

New world order coming.

Gusty
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 12:30:14

#388

It just 14 weeks it will be 4 years since we had laying snow down here. Observable wet snow has only been winessed two or three times in that period too.

Never has a cold and wintry period been so wanted for many of the SE crew.

Tomorrow morning's 0z is a biggy for us.

No more disappointments please.

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/

The Beast from the East
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 13:55:23

#389

My grandson kept asking during Christmas Day, when it would snow again

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum

Your answer should have been "Maybe when you're an old man, if you're lucky"

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

llamedos
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 14:25:56

#390

Your answer should have been "Maybe when you're an old man, if you're lucky"

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East

Stone Cold has been placed in temporary hibernation for replying to an unacceptable number of posts with a simple "Yawn"

I'll take my chances...........YAWN!

"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator

Gooner
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 14:27:16

#391

Stone Cold has been placed in temporary hibernation for replying to an unacceptable number of posts with a simple "Yawn"

I'll take my chances...........YAWN!

Originally Posted by: llamedos

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L

JACKO4EVER
Guest

26 December 2016 14:43:20

#392

😂

White Meadows
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 15:26:32

#393

👍

Steve Murr
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 16:20:28

#394

Upgrade ahoy !

heavy snow showers spreading south......

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2016122612/gfs-0-150.png?12

idj20
Advanced Member

26 December 2016 16:37:03

#395

It just 14 weeks it will be 4 years since we had laying snow down here. Observable wet snow has only been winessed two or three times in that period too.

Never has a cold and wintry period been so wanted for many of the SE crew.

Tomorrow morning's 0z is a biggy for us.

No more disappointments please.

Originally Posted by: Gusty

You'll be pleased to know that the 12z output maintains the idea of a cheeky cold shot for us South East massive by around the 2nd January.

The synoptics . . .

And the all important 850's . . .

But it is a clear 7 days away in forecasting terms and God knows how often I've got myself burnt over this kind of thing. Still, it IS our best chance in . . . Christ knows how long ago since the last chance. It might be the set up we are looking for, or it'll just be a blink & you'd miss it affair bringing nothing more than a couple of wintry showers.