UK winter forecast: Damaging windstorms to lash areas hit hard last year

"A stormy winter is in the offing for the United Kingdom this year with rain and wind set to batter the British Isles even before the season's official start.

AccuWeather forecasters are calling for 15-18 named storms between October 2016 and April 2017; however, the most active period will occur from December to February.

After a brief lull in windstorms during November, the threat will once again pick up in December, with some weeks bringing the potential for multiple named systems.

"The greatest wind threat is expected across Northern Ireland, Scotland, including Glasgow and Edinburgh, and Northern England," AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

Significant but less frequent damaging wind events may also impact the remainder of the U.K."

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/uk-winter-forecast-damaging-windstorms-to-lash-hard-hit-areas-northern-england/60531022

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

UK winter forecast: Damaging windstorms to lash areas hit hard last year

"A stormy winter is in the offing for the United Kingdom this year with rain and wind set to batter the British Isles even before the season's official start.

AccuWeather forecasters are calling for 15-18 named storms between October 2016 and April 2017; however, the most active period will occur from December to February.

After a brief lull in windstorms during November, the threat will once again pick up in December, with some weeks bringing the potential for multiple named systems.

"The greatest wind threat is expected across Northern Ireland, Scotland, including Glasgow and Edinburgh, and Northern England," AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

Significant but less frequent damaging wind events may also impact the remainder of the U.K."

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/uk-winter-forecast-damaging-windstorms-to-lash-hard-hit-areas-northern-england/60531022

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

UK winter forecast: Damaging windstorms to lash areas hit hard last year

"A stormy winter is in the offing for the United Kingdom this year with rain and wind set to batter the British Isles even before the season's official start.

AccuWeather forecasters are calling for 15-18 named storms between October 2016 and April 2017; however, the most active period will occur from December to February.

After a brief lull in windstorms during November, the threat will once again pick up in December, with some weeks bringing the potential for multiple named systems.

"The greatest wind threat is expected across Northern Ireland, Scotland, including Glasgow and Edinburgh, and Northern England," AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

Significant but less frequent damaging wind events may also impact the remainder of the U.K."

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/uk-winter-forecast-damaging-windstorms-to-lash-hard-hit-areas-northern-england/60531022

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

In fairness, their autumn forecast isn't holding much stock so far, which pointed towards a stormy one in this part of the world.

Still, I'd not say nope to a stormy winter. Hopefully there will be some real storms this time around and not the fluffy poodles of yokes that have become the norm since the start of the current century.

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Its already busted the Autumn part so that doesn't inspire much confidence for the rest. Another LRF fail. 😜

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 

UK winter forecast: Damaging windstorms to lash areas hit hard last year

"A stormy winter is in the offing for the United Kingdom this year with rain and wind set to batter the British Isles even before the season's official start.

AccuWeather forecasters are calling for 15-18 named storms between October 2016 and April 2017; however, the most active period will occur from December to February.

After a brief lull in windstorms during November, the threat will once again pick up in December, with some weeks bringing the potential for multiple named systems.

"The greatest wind threat is expected across Northern Ireland, Scotland, including Glasgow and Edinburgh, and Northern England," AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

Significant but less frequent damaging wind events may also impact the remainder of the U.K."

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/uk-winter-forecast-damaging-windstorms-to-lash-hard-hit-areas-northern-england/60531022

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

My thinking is that we will experience an early taste of winter with the first widespread snowfall for some years in late November as the current synoptics repeat just long enough to bring us into the winter threshold. A settled December..with a mobile Janaury and early Feb before another spell of cold late winter. 

Previous November snowfalls. 1980, 1985, 1988, 1993, 1998, 2001, 2005, 2010....we are due another one soon. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Tyler Roys got back to me and said my summary of his forecast for NW Europe / UK ("Sounds like they're going for quite a mild Atlantic based winter.") was correct.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Here is a reasonable winter forecast

https://irishweatheronline.wordpress.com/2015/10/23/coldest-winter-in-8000-hours-on-the-way/

Originally Posted by: TomC 

Brian, interesting to note their forecast is already bust in terms of the first half of autumn.  To add, latest news from a well known source on the other side...MET are backing a blocked first half of November with no sign of zonal and winds from a NW or possibly easterly direction. (Source -GloSea5 and EC update).

Originally Posted by: weathercold 

Here is a reasonable winter forecast

Originally Posted by: TomC