Until the last few days my calculations were closely tracking the Hadley provisional figures. But for each of the last three days my CET estimate has been 1C or more below Hadley meaning I am now running about 0.3C below Hadley.
Up to yesterday my CET estimate is 14.11C.
Today should be another above average day due largely to a very warm night last night. But from tomorrow onwards we go back way below average again.
I am currently estimating the CET will be at 12.99C by 26 Sept. So a sub 13C CET now looks distinctly possible. So could be colder than last year which finished at 13.0C.