https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/the-eastern-pacific-is-a-tropical-storm-factory-and-the-atlantic-basin-shows-signs-of-life/ 

At the moment, there seems to be too much wind shear for development in the Atlantic, with tropical depressions simply dumping lots of rain on the SE United States but GFS 0z shows a weak system contributing moisture to the Atlantic circulation which *could* affect British weather at the start of August.

Tenuous name link but still it's not every day...

Tropical storm watch issued for Florida Panhandle after Tropical Depression TWO forms, NHC says 

https://www.nbcmiami.com/weather/stories-weather/tropical-storm-watch-issued-for-floridas-panhandle-after-tropical-depression-two-forms-nhc-says/3835827/ 

Amusing to see American news outlets refusing to say Gulf of Mexico anymore.   So afraid they are of Trump

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/genevieve-becomes-the-first-category-5-hurricane-of-2026/ 

Meanwhile the Pacific continues to be very active, though at present with  several small cyclones after Genevieve died away.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc 

Behold the strongest TC in the atlantic so far this season:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b0/Bertha_2026-07-21_2105Z.jpg/960px-Bertha_2026-07-21_2105Z.jpg?utm_source=en.wikipedia.org&utm_campaign=imageinfo&utm_content=thumbnail 

2022 was a quiet season up until this point but ended up being slightly above average in the end, so still time yet.

Year  TCs/Hurricanes/Major Hurricanes

2026: 3/0/0

2025: 6/1/1

2024: 5/3/1

2023: 13/3/2

2022: 3/0/0

2021: 11/4/2

2020: 14/4/1

https://global-tropical-cyclones.com/basin/natl/ 

2026 ACE currently sits well outside of the 10th percentile. If the season stays inactive (perhaps super nino makes that more likely) we have a shot at some records. 1914 was the lowest ACE and least active season ever, we can't beat that but its dubious anyway pre satellite record. 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc 

Is it possible that the Atlantic could go a whole season without any hurricanes forming?

Extremely unlikely. If it happened it would be unprecedented, the seasons historically where that did happen almost certainly suffered from underreporting bias. But even something like 1-3 hurricanes would make for an exceptionally quiet season.

Incidentally it seemed Dolly contributed 0.3 to the total ACE of the season, basically a tiny drop. 

https://global-tropical-cyclones.com/basin/natl/ 

2026 really starting to look exceptionally quiet now as we move into the most active month. But September could change everything of course.

We are coming up now on the most active part of the season. It would still be expected that we see a hurricane or major hurricane in the next few weeks.

5 days on, and we have No TCs forecast by the NHC for the next 7 days. If we don't get any named storms until the middle of September, then this is increasingly looking like a truly remarkable hurricane season; a kind of reverse 2005/2020.

Again major caveat, the back half of September and October are still major storm producers usually. Even so, its starting to look interesting.

Also a lack of TCs will create a pretty unusual SST profile moving into the winter, usually you want a very active TC season to get a cold winter; but itl still be interesting to see how a potentially record inactive season could play out.