The Weather Outlook

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Ally Pally Snowman
03 August 2026 15:32:10
Both Heathrow and Wisley 33.2c,

Can we squeeze a 34c?


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
03 August 2026 15:38:23
Managed 31C today. 
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Rob K
03 August 2026 15:55:13

Both Heathrow and Wisley 33.2c,

Can we squeeze a 34c?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Quite a lot of cloud has bubbled up here, still maxed at 33.7 on the local PWS.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
03 August 2026 15:55:20

Both Heathrow and Wisley 33.2c,

Can we squeeze a 34c?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Good.  So we've now had 32C recorded in no less than 4 consecutive months. Amazing. I reckon we could see 32C in September. That would make it 5 consecutive months. Just supposedly we pulled in a hot plume from France and Spain in the first 2 days of October and given how hot and dry they've been. We could hit a 32C in October. That would be 6 months in which we'd made 32C. Incredible thought and possible I think. 🙂🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Ally Pally Snowman
03 August 2026 16:03:25

Quite a lot of cloud has bubbled up here, still maxed at 33.7 on the local PWS.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Currently in Suffolk and it's stayed gin clear here. Incredibly parched landscape. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
03 August 2026 16:57:24
Well Tomasz Schafernaker seems to think today was the 33rd 30c of the year.  So only one Charlwood max taken off so far.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c17199dy4yxo 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
tierradelfuego
03 August 2026 17:13:12
21st 30c day of the year here - 33.4c the max. 

A healthy 21.7c diurnal range.


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Ally Pally Snowman
03 August 2026 19:05:38

They seem to have accepted the Frittenden figure in May so I am pretty sure today will be the 32nd 30C day - also the 19th 32C day which equals the 1995 record.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Met Office have tweeted it was the 20th 32c day beating the 19 in 1995.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Hungry Tiger
03 August 2026 19:07:48

Met Office have tweeted it was the 20th 32c day beating the 19 in 1995.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Incredible. Just seen that. 🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Hungry Tiger
03 August 2026 19:51:12
Signals for heatwave No6. Things will drop to mid 20s and a bit lower. Then. 

. 🙂🙂🙂🙂. Source with acknowledgements.  

All eyes point towards mid month.

We will see a drop after Tuesday. Temps dropping back into the low 20s for many. Temps may rise up into the weekend and particularly into next week where we could see another heatwave as high pressure becomes more dominant.

Higher upper air temps, ( at or above 10) support heatwave thresholds comfortably. The upper air will start low as the high is likely to bulid in from the West. Remember all high pressures are different. Uppers will rise eventually.

Further North and West are likely to see alot of rainfall this week. Low pressure systems passing through the northern counties. Rainfall totals buliding up especially over high ground.

The main talking point also is the continuation of very dry weather across the south. There is bearly any in the forecast in the next 10 days unfortunately, possible heavy showers tomorrow and maybe a front pushing south on Thursday which may bring a splash of rain but other than that it's Further problems with wildlifes and damage to wildlife will sadly continue. This has been the theme all summer. Models show a proper unsettled pattern and it doesn't come off. 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



saxtemp
03 August 2026 20:27:26

Signals for heatwave No6. Things will drop to mid 20s and a bit lower. Then. 

. 🙂🙂🙂🙂. Source with acknowledgements.  

All eyes point towards mid month.

We will see a drop after Tuesday. Temps dropping back into the low 20s for many. Temps may rise up into the weekend and particularly into next week where we could see another heatwave as high pressure becomes more dominant.

Higher upper air temps, ( at or above 10) support heatwave thresholds comfortably. The upper air will start low as the high is likely to bulid in from the West. Remember all high pressures are different. Uppers will rise eventually.

Further North and West are likely to see alot of rainfall this week. Low pressure systems passing through the northern counties. Rainfall totals buliding up especially over high ground.

The main talking point also is the continuation of very dry weather across the south. There is bearly any in the forecast in the next 10 days unfortunately, possible heavy showers tomorrow and maybe a front pushing south on Thursday which may bring a splash of rain but other than that it's Further problems with wildlifes and damage to wildlife will sadly continue. This has been the theme all summer. Models show a proper unsettled pattern and it doesn't come off. 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

GFS currently has 35c in Kent.

UserPostedImage

White Meadows
03 August 2026 20:36:46
Reasonable agreement continues for some kind of return to extreme heat for at least the southern half of the UK in about 8 days time. 

Just when you think it’s going to cool off, the oven door opens again. Astonishing. 

Jiries
03 August 2026 21:10:20

Reasonable agreement continues for some kind of return to extreme heat for at least the southern half of the UK in about 8 days time. 

Just when you think it’s going to cool off, the oven door opens again. Astonishing. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

i wonder when i will able to see a full sunny day as today heatwave and last one failed to deliver.  Just surprised the clouds are becoming a pest despite very dry ground that should limit clouds forming and there no moisture.  it reached 33C before the clouds came for no reason.

Rob K
03 August 2026 21:29:06

Met Office have tweeted it was the 20th 32c day beating the 19 in 1995.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Must have been a 32C at a manual station then. I have been keeping track of the daily maxima on the auto stations and I only have 19. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
03 August 2026 22:14:20

GFS currently has 35c in Kent.

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: saxtemp 

😵😵😵😵😵😵


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Ally Pally Snowman
04 August 2026 03:52:42

Must have been a 32C at a manual station then. I have been keeping track of the daily maxima on the auto stations and I only have 19. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

I got a reply from the Met Office confirming yesterday was the 33rd 30c day. I also asked them about 1995 and they confirmed that holds the record of 34. 

You should email them any queries you have they are very good at replying.

[email protected]


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
White Meadows
04 August 2026 05:17:08

I got a reply from the Met Office confirming yesterday was the 33rd 30c day. I also asked them about 1995 and they confirmed that holds the record of 34. 

You should email them any queries you have they are very good at replying.

[email protected]

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

1995 might just hang in there as the king of the heatwave years then.

That was an incredible summer, one I’ll never forget. 

Ally Pally Snowman
04 August 2026 06:18:36

1995 might just hang in there as the king of the heatwave years then.

That was an incredible summer, one I’ll never forget. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

I think we should overtake 1995 soon. Heatwave 6 looks on track.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
04 August 2026 07:10:29
I'll slip this in here as I don't think it was commented on at the time and the June thread has closed ... Radio Sussex news this morning included a mention of a record overnight min temp for the UK - 23.2C at Hastings on June (sic) 26th
It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
04 August 2026 07:52:46

I think we should overtake 1995 soon. Heatwave 6 looks on track.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

More broadly, we are now on the cusp between 2026 being one of the great summers, and being the greatest summer. 

There are enough statistical freakages this year to ensure its place in the hall of fame, but a wet or cool August could yet relegate it below 1995 and 1976, into the list of years that petered out in August (notably 2018 and 2006).

Both of the top 2 were imperfect: 1995 had a very cool first 2/3 of June. 1976 was dry but unexciting from mid July onwards. An August that’s dry and at least, say, 17.5C CET (and ideally with warmth extending at least into Northern England) would crown 2026 as undisputed champ. 

If AIFS and ECM ensembles are to be believed then it’s game on. GFS and GEM maybe. But still a whole month to go.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Jiries
04 August 2026 08:55:47
It was a warm night here down to 20.0C this morning now rising to 23.1C so 30?C possible this afterrnoon.
saxtemp
04 August 2026 09:07:00

1995 might just hang in there as the king of the heatwave years then.

That was an incredible summer, one I’ll never forget. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

I'd be suprised if we end the year on any less than 40 30c days, I think we could even make 45.

The Beast from the East
04 August 2026 09:34:35

1995 might just hang in there as the king of the heatwave years then.

That was an incredible summer, one I’ll never forget. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

It was an incredible summer, not just weatherwise for me personally. Just finished school and getting ready to go to Uni.  A very exciting time. 

But I dont remember that Summer feeling as unpleasantly hot as the current one.  I'm still living in the same house with the same problems with poor insulation and heat trapping.  This year is far worse.  I've never sweated so much indoors!

Maybe because I'm just older and fatter!


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Retron
04 August 2026 09:57:15

It was an incredible summer, not just weatherwise for me personally. Just finished school and getting ready to go to Uni.  A very exciting time. 

But I dont remember that Summer feeling as unpleasantly hot as the current one.  I'm still living in the same house with the same problems with poor insulation and heat trapping.  This year is far worse.  I've never sweated so much indoors!

Maybe because I'm just older and fatter!

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

The humidity was much lower back then (as it was in 76), SSTs were lower too. It's a bit chicken-and-egg, but high SSTs mean higher dewpoints, warmer nights and thus more moisture in the air. We've seen multiple days with widespread 20+ dewpoints this summer and that would have been unfathomable even 20 years ago... now it doesn't even get commented on.


Leysdown, north Kent
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
04 August 2026 10:05:00

1995 might just hang in there as the king of the heatwave years then.

That was an incredible summer, one I’ll never forget. 

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 

I used to organise regular local footpath walks, at that time in Kent, with a sketch map of the route. The map for that summer was titled 'Baked Fields and Pastures Brown'.


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

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