The Weather Outlook

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Retron
11 June 2026 13:48:56
Fun factoid from my weather station:

Temperature at 12:14PM on the 10th December 2025 : 13.0C (dew 10.6)

Temperature at 12:14PM on the 10th June 2026 : 12.8C (dew 10.3)

Cherry-picked, I know, and of course there's a time difference, but uncommon if not rare to see here! No complaints, I'll save those for when the default warm/humid conditions return.


Leysdown, north Kent
Chunky Pea
11 June 2026 13:53:29
Below is a crude graph I created showing a 7 day moving average (daily) rainfall (for period May to Sept) for one of the nearest Met stations close to me (Athenry, for those that might be interested) This station has only been in operation since 2010, so the record only spans 15 years, but still, a story is emerging regarding the 'European Monsoon'. As Retron suggest a few days back, there does seem to be an increase in rainfall amounts towards the end of the June period, on average at least, while rainfall amounts increase more generally towards late July and into the first half of August. Of course, this is data only from the west of Ireland, so being on the front lines of the Atlantic war,  actual amounts will be more 'enhanced' that say the UK and even eastern parts of Ireland. But the general trend will likely be somewhat similar across the board. 

UserPostedImage


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

saxtemp
11 June 2026 14:12:17

Fun factoid from my weather station:

Temperature at 12:14PM on the 10th December 2025 : 13.0C (dew 10.6)

Temperature at 12:14PM on the 10th June 2026 : 12.8C (dew 10.3)

Cherry-picked, I know, and of course there's a time difference, but uncommon if not rare to see here! No complaints, I'll save those for when the default warm/humid conditions return.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I'm sure there was a case in the last decade when the Summer Solstice was colder than the previous year's Winter Solstice

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
11 June 2026 14:18:30

I'm sure there was a case in the last decade when the Summer Solstice was colder than the previous year's Winter Solstice

Originally Posted by: saxtemp 

I'm sure I heard that too.

Currently 15.1 °C with a brisk SW wind and spits of drizzle that for some will be a luxurious, mild salve to be savoured.  Not for me though.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Bolty
12 June 2026 14:56:07
Really wish this wind would F off. The first mostly sunny afternoon we get and it's ruined by a near gale wind.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Crepuscular Ray
13 June 2026 10:19:52
Don't think I've ever been so wet on holiday in the UK........2 weeks of it in the Yorkshire Dales. A cool, wet, windy summer so far 😡
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Jiries
13 June 2026 20:14:41

Don't think I've ever been so wet on holiday in the UK........2 weeks of it in the Yorkshire Dales. A cool, wet, windy summer so far 😡

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Hope the unwanted rain we had all day 2 days ago is the last one for a long while.  We badly need more dry weather and meanwhile spent today and yesterday correcting my indoor temperatures back to 23-25C as it was dropped very low 20C during the cold rainy day.  34-35c in the conservatory today and yesterday help to restore my house warmth now feel very comfortable warm. 

Bertwhistle
15 June 2026 15:44:12

Hope the unwanted rain we had all day 2 days ago is the last one for a long while.  We badly need more dry weather and meanwhile spent today and yesterday correcting my indoor temperatures back to 23-25C as it was dropped very low 20C during the cold rainy day.  34-35c in the conservatory today and yesterday help to restore my house warmth now feel very comfortable warm. 

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

I take it you don't have a garden?


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

johncs2016
16 June 2026 12:15:46
We're now halfway through the first month of this so-called "summer" but our highest temperature of this summer so far is just a mere 21.07°C at Edinburgh Gogarbank. That was recorded on the very first day of this month and yet, that continues to be our only 20+°C maximum of this summer up until now and even that came as a result of that particular day being warmer than it was forecast to be, otherwise we would still be waiting for our first 20+°C maximum of this summer even now as I write.

For any summer month, that is very poor fare indeed even for this part of the world, especially given that we are now halfway through the month. In addition to that, Edinburgh Gogarbank has only had 40.7% of its 1991-2020 June average sunshine as I write, so this is turning out to be a rather dull month as well, thereby resulting in a dull start to the summer in these parts.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
16 June 2026 17:04:22
PTC one, the first potential cyclone of the season in the Atlantic. has appeared in the Gulf of  - er - Mexico.  It doesn't look as if it will do much more than causing. flash flooding in the southern US. When the season hots up, I'll start a dedicated thread.

(There have been a couple of minor tropical storms on the W coast of Mexico as well)


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Jiries
17 June 2026 05:33:57

I take it you don't have a garden?

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

I have a large garden facing south and landscaped 2 years ago so nice tidy garden with large patio and nice new grass and modern lean to conservatory 3x4m size.  

Crepuscular Ray
17 June 2026 06:48:33
I've been moaning about my poor UK holiday weather this June in Yorkshire and look on with jealousy at the SE contingent enjoying 20 C+ and mostly dry.

I'm wondering weather to try some walking in the SE next summer. I'm thinking primarily the South Downs, High Weald, Kent, Surrey Hills etc.

Any ideas where to base ourselves, prefer attractive smaller towns and villages on the waymarked long distant paths. Thank you


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

MRazzell
17 June 2026 08:13:42

I've been moaning about my poor UK holiday weather this June in Yorkshire and look on with jealousy at the SE contingent enjoying 20 C+ and mostly dry.

I'm wondering weather to try some walking in the SE next summer. I'm thinking primarily the South Downs, High Weald, Kent, Surrey Hills etc.

Any ideas where to base ourselves, prefer attractive smaller towns and villages on the waymarked long distant paths. Thank you

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Alfriston would make a nice base; Firle Beacon to the West leading on to Ditchling Beacon / Devils Dyke and Brighton etc. Seven Sisters / Beachy head to the East leading down to Eastbourne and through to Hastings and the fossil beds at Pett then onwards to historic Rye and Camber (avoid during school hols!) then on to the vast gravel headland of Dungeness and its associated unique habitats and general weirdness.

I live just up the road to the North and its amazing how much more sun they get along that stretch of the coast.


Far north of East Sussex. +150m asl.
Crepuscular Ray
17 June 2026 08:49:34

Alfriston would make a nice base; Firle Beacon to the West leading on to Ditchling Beacon / Devils Dyke and Brighton etc. Seven Sisters / Beachy head to the East leading down to Eastbourne and through to Hastings and the fossil beds at Pett then onwards to historic Rye and Camber (avoid during school hols!) then on to the vast gravel headland of Dungeness and its associated unique habitats and general weirdness.

I live just up the road to the North and its amazing how much more sun they get along that stretch of the coast.

Originally Posted by: MRazzell 

Thanks for the advice MR.....some food for thought there 🙂


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

johncs2016
18 June 2026 07:05:54

I've been moaning about my poor UK holiday weather this June in Yorkshire and look on with jealousy at the SE contingent enjoying 20 C+ and mostly dry.

I'm wondering weather to try some walking in the SE next summer. I'm thinking primarily the South Downs, High Weald, Kent, Surrey Hills etc.

Any ideas where to base ourselves, prefer attractive smaller towns and villages on the waymarked long distant paths. Thank you

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

After a relatively unsettled next few days though, the models now appear to be showing the high pressure building north in the next week with the Met Office showing a maximum for here of around 25°C next Tuesday.

In recent years, our summers have tended to become warmer, drier and sunnier (that might not necessarily be statistically true, but that is how it has appeared to be) with the result of that being that the almost constant sunshine which we saw during the spring in particular just became boring in the end.

If the latest model output is correct, that is what we could be gradually heading back towards once again and although there has been a lot of complaints on here about the recent cooler and more unsettled start to this summer, that spell of weather to me has actually been a welcome break from that same old pattern in recent years of that trend towards warmer and drier weather, and it seems as though we just can't seem to get a really poor and miserable summer any more such as what we have had in past years such as 2007 or 2012.

Even during this recent spell of cool and less settled weather, we still haven't been getting any high rainfall totals here in Edinburgh such as what are being witnessed elsewhere and it just seems as though it is no longer possible for us to actually get any big rainfall totals here any more.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

fairweather
08 July 2026 22:45:14
I'm surprised I had to search for this thread given the godforsaken boring weather we are getting. Day after day of sun and unbearable heat. I have managed to get a differential of 6C downstairs to outside now (28C inside 34C outside today). But you just can't go outside between 10.00am and 7.00pm because it is too hot to do anything without getting soaked in sweat or collapsing from heat exhaustion., as a friend of mine did in the last spell after stupidly playing golf. Tonight I am leaving the upstairs doors open to see if the bedroom aircon can cause the cooler air to drift down the stairs to the ground floor. The recovery from the drought for a few days at the start of June is now a distant memory and still no sign of rain. '76 was like this but I was young then and could take it and do stuff to enjoy it. I'm happy for those that can cope if they like heat but apart from the records what's the point to 34C as opposed to 27C?
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Retron
09 July 2026 03:49:57

I'm surprised I had to search for this thread given the godforsaken boring weather we are getting. Day after day of sun and unbearable heat. I have managed to get a differential of 6C downstairs to outside now (28C inside 34C outside today). But you just can't go outside between 10.00am and 7.00pm because it is too hot to do anything without getting soaked in sweat or collapsing from heat exhaustion., as a friend of mine did in the last spell after stupidly playing golf. Tonight I am leaving the upstairs doors open to see if the bedroom aircon can cause the cooler air to drift down the stairs to the ground floor. The recovery from the drought for a few days at the start of June is now a distant memory and still no sign of rain. '76 was like this but I was young then and could take it and do stuff to enjoy it. I'm happy for those that can cope if they like heat but apart from the records what's the point to 34C as opposed to 27C?

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

This hot spell has finally convinced me to get proper aircon installed - it's quite frankly unpleasant to sit indoors sweating my balls off each day, or get scorched outside and still sweat my balls off. This morning shows it well: a uniform 25C downstairs, 27C upstairs, and my portable aircon was on the verge of conking out last night due to the heat (the compressor was very loud) - I normally have it in the spare room due to the noise it makes, piping the cold air into my room through a hose, but it was 33C in that back bedroom and the aircon's manual says it can only work up to 32C. Today I'll have to have the aircon in the same room, so not much sleep tonight either.

I know Matty has always been a big fan of the heat, but I consider it cheating if you then have aircon at home (as he does). If you profess to enjoy the heat, raw-dog it man, as the cool kids would say! Embrace that buildup of heat, enjoy the feeling of the mattress you're lying on radiating heat into you, make the most of the warm walls and warm floors in your home...

I really feel for those down here who don't have aircon and I expect sales to go nuts well into the autumn. I'm going to get mine installed late winter or early spring, I think, hopefully when it's least busy and prices and availability are better. 

Incidentally 76 wasn't like this - it was cooler, at least here. It only hit 30 four times on Sheppey during that whole summer, the highest temperature was 32, and at night, importantly, it still got into the mid or even low teens, something which is seemingly impossible these days. Dewpoints were several degrees lower too, and that's something seldom mentioned in heatwave discussions: dryer air cools more, it cools you more, and it makes the whole thing feel less oppressive. These high teens/low 20s dewpoints we're having now are utterly sapping.

Normally the sea breeze would save us here (as it did in both 2022 and 2003, which had temperatures in the high 30s followed by a 10-degree cooling as the see breeze arrived in the afternoon), but this year? Nothing. We now have GFS and MetO showing temperatures in the 30s here this afternoon with winds off the sea... hopeless!

And the worst bit? We're not even halfway through this poxy summer yet. Unbelievable, frankly.


Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
09 July 2026 04:31:47

This hot spell has finally convinced me to get proper aircon installed - it's quite frankly unpleasant to sit indoors sweating my balls off each day, or get scorched outside and still sweat my balls off. This morning shows it well: a uniform 25C downstairs, 27C upstairs, and my portable aircon was on the verge of conking out last night due to the heat (the compressor was very loud) - I normally have it in the spare room due to the noise it makes, piping the cold air into my room through a hose, but it was 33C in that back bedroom and the aircon's manual says it can only work up to 32C. Today I'll have to have the aircon in the same room, so not much sleep tonight either.

I know Matty has always been a big fan of the heat, but I consider it cheating if you then have aircon at home (as he does). If you profess to enjoy the heat, raw-dog it man, as the cool kids would say! Embrace that buildup of heat, enjoy the feeling of the mattress you're lying on radiating heat into you, make the most of the warm walls and warm floors in your home...

I really feel for those down here who don't have aircon and I expect sales to go nuts well into the autumn. I'm going to get mine installed late winter or early spring, I think, hopefully when it's least busy and prices and availability are better. 

Incidentally 76 wasn't like this - it was cooler, at least here. It only hit 30 four times on Sheppey during that whole summer, the highest temperature was 32, and at night, importantly, it still got into the mid or even low teens, something which is seemingly impossible these days. Dewpoints were several degrees lower too, and that's something seldom mentioned in heatwave discussions: dryer air cools more, it cools you more, and it makes the whole thing feel less oppressive. These high teens/low 20s dewpoints we're having now are utterly sapping.

Normally the sea breeze would save us here (as it did in both 2022 and 2003, which had temperatures in the high 30s followed by a 10-degree cooling as the see breeze arrived in the afternoon), but this year? Nothing. We now have GFS and MetO showing temperatures in the 30s here this afternoon with winds off the sea... hopeless!

And the worst bit? We're not even halfway through this poxy summer yet. Unbelievable, frankly.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

As one ages one's response to hot weather changes. Health issues affect this too. When we first hit 31C here we had a phone conversation with a cousin who lines in Ostia, near Rome. They had just hit 41C! She, like us, is in the the 75-85 age bracket. Thankfully she has one air conditioned room. She has two kids who keep an eye on her.  I think her case is the way many here will have to go - one properly air conditioned room. That strikes a survivable balance between comfort and sensible energy use.

You will laugh - but our 3 USB fans are making a real difference - one plugged into the smart TV in the living room, one in the kitchen, plugged into the radio, and one here in the computer room. 😂 Another BIG plus is a skylight we can open to release convected heat upstairs. Left open all night, this ensures upstairs rooms are a tolerable temperature. 


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Retron
09 July 2026 04:49:36

As one ages one's response to hot weather changes. Health issues affect this too. When we first hit 31C here we had a phone conversation with a cousin who lines in Ostia, near Rome. They had just hit 41C! She, like us, is in the the 75-85 age bracket. Thankfully she has one air conditioned room. She has two kids who keep an eye on her.  I think her case is the way many here will have to go - one properly air conditioned room. That strikes a survivable balance between comfort and sensible energy use.

You will laugh - but our 3 USB fans are making a real difference - one plugged into the smart TV in the living room, one in the kitchen, plugged into the radio, and one here in the computer room. 😂 Another BIG plus is a skylight we can open to release convected heat upstairs. Left open all night, this ensures upstairs rooms are a tolerable temperature. 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Yes, I suspect you're right in terms of us (at least in the south/SE) ending up with a "cool room" - the equivalent of the old days before central heating, I guess, when there might be a fire kept going in one room while the others were left to freeze. Perhaps in due course we'll see American/hotel-style "central air", where there are ducts and grilles in each room... something for newbuilds, perhaps, as the cost of retrofitting such a system would be many tens of thousands. 

As for fans, I can imagine your house dotted with them - little breezes wherever you go!

My (pedestal) fan yesterday made it feel pretty warm. It was 28C in my living room yesterday evening (30 outside, so the windows were closed, curtains drawn) and the fan made it feel like a hair dryer! I do use one each morning at times like this, though; my living room is on the north side of the house, running from west to east, with a 70s concrete patio on the eastern side. On days like this I open the french windows, pop the fan on the patio, then have it blowing air through the living room (and out the window on the western side)... the snag is when it's 18C outside there's only so much it can do, and I note even after an hour and a half it's still 23C in the living room. 

EDIT: As for the skylight, that sounds like a great idea - they have a similar system in the newbuilds at the school where I worked, I notice, and theirs open automatically when it gets to a certain temperature. Mind you, they were always complaining about how hot it got in there in the summer...


Leysdown, north Kent
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
09 July 2026 06:02:18
I've a fan which has been sucking in the cool sic air into the office for the past hour or so. Makes a notable difference. But yesterday, by about 2pm it was time to close up and shut shop. An issue with air con is maintaining the filters. Skip it and you'll probably get sore throats or some other sickness from the fungus-covered filters.

https://theconversation.com/can-air-conditioning-really-make-you-sick-a-microbiologist-explains-260648 


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Retron
09 July 2026 06:08:30

I've a fan which has been sucking in the cool sic air into the office for the past hour or so. Makes a notable difference. But yesterday, by about 2pm it was time to close up and shut shop. An issue with air con is maintaining the filters. Skip it and you'll probably get sore throats or some other sickness from the fungus-covered filters.

https://theconversation.com/can-air-conditioning-really-make-you-sick-a-microbiologist-explains-260648 

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Heh - the fan on patio trick only works for me up to about now, when the sun starts streaming in... 23 was as low as I could get it before having to close the windows and pull the curtains. It's only 20 outside but the heat from the sun seems to offset any further cooling from that 3C temperature difference. 

Cleaning the filters (and indeed other bits) is indeed essential, and it's why at the school we had a chap come in twice per year to do just that. My own portable gets cleaned out twice a year too, once mid-season and again at the end. (When I get real a/c I'll give my portable to a friend, as something's better than nothing! I'll also explain the necessity of keeping it clean too...)


Leysdown, north Kent
Matty H
09 July 2026 06:24:02

This hot spell has finally convinced me to get proper aircon installed - it's quite frankly unpleasant to sit indoors sweating my balls off each day, or get scorched outside and still sweat my balls off. This morning shows it well: a uniform 25C downstairs, 27C upstairs, and my portable aircon was on the verge of conking out last night due to the heat (the compressor was very loud) - I normally have it in the spare room due to the noise it makes, piping the cold air into my room through a hose, but it was 33C in that back bedroom and the aircon's manual says it can only work up to 32C. Today I'll have to have the aircon in the same room, so not much sleep tonight either.

I know Matty has always been a big fan of the heat, but I consider it cheating if you then have aircon at home (as he does). If you profess to enjoy the heat, raw-dog it man, as the cool kids would say! Embrace that buildup of heat, enjoy the feeling of the mattress you're lying on radiating heat into you, make the most of the warm walls and warm floors in your home...

I really feel for those down here who don't have aircon and I expect sales to go nuts well into the autumn. I'm going to get mine installed late winter or early spring, I think, hopefully when it's least busy and prices and availability are better. 

Incidentally 76 wasn't like this - it was cooler, at least here. It only hit 30 four times on Sheppey during that whole summer, the highest temperature was 32, and at night, importantly, it still got into the mid or even low teens, something which is seemingly impossible these days. Dewpoints were several degrees lower too, and that's something seldom mentioned in heatwave discussions: dryer air cools more, it cools you more, and it makes the whole thing feel less oppressive. These high teens/low 20s dewpoints we're having now are utterly sapping.

Normally the sea breeze would save us here (as it did in both 2022 and 2003, which had temperatures in the high 30s followed by a 10-degree cooling as the see breeze arrived in the afternoon), but this year? Nothing. We now have GFS and MetO showing temperatures in the 30s here this afternoon with winds off the sea... hopeless!

And the worst bit? We're not even halfway through this poxy summer yet. Unbelievable, frankly.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

You love cold and snow. Do you have central heating?


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

MRazzell
09 July 2026 09:13:54

Yes, I suspect you're right in terms of us (at least in the south/SE) ending up with a "cool room" - the equivalent of the old days before central heating, I guess, when there might be a fire kept going in one room while the others were left to freeze. Perhaps in due course we'll see American/hotel-style "central air", where there are ducts and grilles in each room... something for newbuilds, perhaps, as the cost of retrofitting such a system would be many tens of thousands. 

As for fans, I can imagine your house dotted with them - little breezes wherever you go!

My (pedestal) fan yesterday made it feel pretty warm. It was 28C in my living room yesterday evening (30 outside, so the windows were closed, curtains drawn) and the fan made it feel like a hair dryer! I do use one each morning at times like this, though; my living room is on the north side of the house, running from west to east, with a 70s concrete patio on the eastern side. On days like this I open the french windows, pop the fan on the patio, then have it blowing air through the living room (and out the window on the western side)... the snag is when it's 18C outside there's only so much it can do, and I note even after an hour and a half it's still 23C in the living room. 

EDIT: As for the skylight, that sounds like a great idea - they have a similar system in the newbuilds at the school where I worked, I notice, and theirs open automatically when it gets to a certain temperature. Mind you, they were always complaining about how hot it got in there in the summer...

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I've been researching central air conditioning recently and from what i gathered online it is much more cost effective than a split system if you have the loft space and want more than one room cooled.

One heat pump unit outside (same as split system) and one fan cool unit in the loft with associated ducting into 3 or 4 upstairs rooms. All that’s really needed is to cut a neat little hole in the ceiling plasterboard. Much less work than installing multiple expensive fan cool units in each room and the associated refrigerant lines and power cabling. In fact, i'm amazed more people don't consider it. Its also much quieter if installed correctly (noise is in loft and outside). The only disadvantage i can ascertain is that most basic systems will pump the same temperature air into each room - not a massive issue for most, and there can be issues with air pressure if not installed correctly. 

Edit - i should clarify i'm referring to upstairs AC, not entire property!


Far north of East Sussex. +150m asl.
Rob K
09 July 2026 09:24:15
Unlike many people I don't really have a problem sleeping in warm temperatures, but the only place I would consider air-con is in my home office. It's OK in the morning but from about 3pm in summer the sun attacks it from two sides (it's an L-shaped extension from the house with windows facing south and west). Unless I pull all the curtains and blinds, the sun shines on my desk and makes the computer overheat - yesterday my iMac screen was almost too hot to touch and the laptop virtually ground to a halt as I hadn't stopped the sun in time!
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

09 July 2026 10:57:28
My home office also faces west so it's pleasant in the morning when I open the windows. It has a door into the kitchen extension and internal doors into the front sitting room. With the front windows and kitchen bifolds open there is usually a breeze flowing through. Very still today though and felt hotter than yesterday when I strolled down the garden. I put the big garden brolly up on the deck outside the window which keeps the direct sun off until late afternoon

I also don't struggle to sleep in this weather. I get up at half 5 to take the dog out before it's too hot for her and we sit out on the deck in the evening until late so by the time I get to bed at half 11 or so I'm tired enough to go straight to sleep

These conditions, although becoming much more common in recent years, are something to be enjoyed for me as there is so much of the year to be stuck indoors looking at gloomy skies. I don't care how hot it is, I'd far rather be sat at home working than wasting the best part of 3 hours a day door to door travelling to and from the office. I've had more than enough years of that. The City of London concrete jungle in this type of weather is particularly unpleasant with the heat radiating out of roads and buildings. Much happier dealing with the heat here with the window open, hearing birds calling and the splashing of water in the pond  and watching butterflies, dragonflies and the occasional humming bird hawk moth and hornet going about their business. Much more civilised 


Jason

Salfords, Surrey

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