The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

johncs2016
01 June 2026 06:25:56
Now that we have entered into the start of a brand new season,  it is now time to start a brand new thread for this summer.

The spring was warmer, drier and sunnier on average and no-one will forget that spell of weather in a hurry towards the end of May in which the temperature down south reached 35°C with the first ever official tropical nights in May also being recorded down there.

In complete contrast to that, the latest model output suggests that the first half of this month in particular is likely to be more unsettled and a bit cooler. For some people, that might be a welcome change as not everybody likes the heat and a number of places are badly in need of some rain after yet another very dry spring to go along with what we experienced last year.

However, the vast majority of us will usually just be looking for what we would regard as a decent summer with that defined as one which is warmer, drier and sunnier than average, especially around the time that they are going to be on holiday. Based on what I have written above, there might well be a number of people who are thinking that we might well have already had our "summer" for this year and there has been quite a lot of years in the past when our best weather has actually occurred in the spring with the actual summer itself being poor.

With ongoing climate change, that appears to be becoming less likely to be the case with the trend going more towards hot ter, drier and possibly sunnier weather at this time of the year. Whilst the weather is more unsettled though, I would expect this thread to be fairly as a result although it is important to keep in mind that this is not just a moaning thread. If you are really happy with your weather, you can come on here to gloat about that and if you just want to give a general discussion on what is happening during this summer or to post the final statistics for this summer at the end of it, you are fully free to do so at your leisure as long as that conforms to Brian's forum rules of course.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Roger Parsons
02 June 2026 12:40:07
Grauniad piece that may be of interest.

"The world must prepare for the imminent return of El Niño and the supercharged weather extremes it brings, the UN has warned.

The powerful natural weather pattern, which raises global temperatures and worsens some rainfall, has an 80% chance of forming before September and a 90% chance before November, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Tuesday.

It found most models projected the return of the cyclical phenomenon in the ocean and atmosphere to be “at least moderate” in strength, and possibly strong.

Scientists have previously warned that it could be the strongest this century. However, the WMO stopped short of backing such projections and said forecasters were still in a window of uncertainty."

Prepare for imminent return of El Niño, UN warns

Ajit Niranjan Europe environment correspondent

Tue, 2 June 2026 at 8:00 am BST

4 min read

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/prepare-imminent-return-el-ni-070040170.html 


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

tierradelfuego
02 June 2026 17:42:46
Only got to 19.9c today, can I call Summer as being over yet sigh... still well above the 17c forecasted. Some great convective showers here and pleased to see the 1 year old pup didn't worry, albeit he is a working cocker and should be ok, the last one wasn't.

Last year I managed 72 days straight here with a max of over 20c, I think Retron surpassed that by a few days - it will be interesting to see if we get anywhere near that this year, but that really all depends on July going straight through...


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

cultman1
02 June 2026 18:27:04
in fulham temp max 17 degrees and numerous heavy thunder showers. Hope this is NOT a portent for a poor June. Low pressure seems well and truly entrenched for the London area with numerous showers for the foreseeable coupled with very cool temperatures...
fairweather
02 June 2026 23:04:31

in fulham temp max 17 degrees and numerous heavy thunder showers. Hope this is NOT a portent for a poor June. Low pressure seems well and truly entrenched for the London area with numerous showers for the foreseeable coupled with very cool temperatures...

Originally Posted by: cultman1 

At last some good news! Weather was ok in Yorkshire Dales and we finally got some rain today in my region. In fact 19.7 mm - more than the total for April and May combined in a single day! Also it struck me just how green and lush everywhere was after I got out of the S.E corner.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Chunky Pea
03 June 2026 11:38:01
Was hoping by at this stage of the year, there would be some reasonable dry weather to get some badly needed garden work done, but the weather continues to be every bit as wild and drenching as the winter and spring just gone. The few days of 'summer' last week were just too hot and uncomfortable to work outside in, and now we are back into January... just with slightly more warmth and longer daylight hours. What a horrible, relentlessly miserable year weatherwise 2026 has been so far.
Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

The Beast from the East
03 June 2026 12:35:19
My heating is on a thermostat and will kick in if the house temps falls below 21c.  could happen this evening! 

Hard to believe a week ago it was 35c!


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
03 June 2026 21:15:24

Was hoping by at this stage of the year, there would be some reasonable dry weather to get some badly needed garden work done, but the weather continues to be every bit as wild and drenching as the winter and spring just gone. The few days of 'summer' last week were just too hot and uncomfortable to work outside in, and now we are back into January... just with slightly more warmth and longer daylight hours. What a horrible, relentlessly miserable year weatherwise 2026 has been so far.

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Have you considered a house swap with Fairweather?


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Saint Snow
03 June 2026 22:10:05

Have you considered a house swap with Fairweather?

Originally Posted by: GezM 

🤣


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Retron
04 June 2026 03:27:26
It's wonderful to see the Euro monsoon  / return of the westerlies is still a "thing" - it's a reliable phenomenon that's been noticed for decades. Words can't describe how refreshing it is to go outside and a) not feel like I'm in Rome, b) to be able to sleep straight through the night, not waking up sweaty and c) see some soaking rain for once - Tuesday was the wettest day in several months, but even so there was "only" 9mm of rain. 

If people are miserable because it's "cold" or wet, oh well... they've just had a record-breaking, phenomenal May heatwave, and a spell of normal weather for once is nice to see. It's only just summer, after all, and I honestly think people have forgotten what our weather should be like! That said nights are still well above average, 13.9 out there right now and that's more like late July or early August - high summer, but as it wasn't sunny from dawn to dusk yesterday it doesn't matter as much - the house isn't radiating yesterday's heat inside. 

It won't be long, I'm sure, before the Azores ridge returns and our run of well-above average temperatures returns. The "monsoon" only lasts 10 days or a fortnight usually, it's merely an artifact of the jet moving into its summer position.


Leysdown, north Kent

Remove ads from site