The Weather Outlook

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Brian Gaze
12 December 2025 09:11:45
As of 12 December 2025:

"The highest annual mean CET ever recorded was 11.18, which is 1.71 higher than normal. To beat this record the anomaly must be higher than 0.7 for the remainder of this year."

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

Although the latest ensemble output suggests that temperature anomalies may ease later in the month, there remains a strong chance of 2025 surpassing the 2022 Central England Temperature (CET) record. The current top five years are listed below.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Gandalf The White
12 December 2025 09:19:30

As of 12 December 2025:

"The highest annual mean CET ever recorded was 11.18, which is 1.71 higher than normal. To beat this record the anomaly must be higher than 0.7 for the remainder of this year."

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

Although the latest ensemble output suggests that temperature anomalies may ease later in the month, there remains a strong chance of 2025 surpassing the 2022 Central England Temperature (CET) record. The current top five years are listed below.

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Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

All this century, indeed all in the last 20 years, and this would be three in a row.

Is anyone really still in any doubt about what’s happening? Four? Bledur?  You’d have thought farmers would be more aware than most?


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



The Beast from the East
13 December 2025 10:04:12
It is concerning that 2022, 23, 24 and soon to be 25 are in the top 5.   Accelerated warming is the nightmare scenario, which of course political leaders are ignoring.  "Don't look Up"! 
Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

lanky
13 December 2025 11:35:41

It is concerning that 2022, 23, 24 and soon to be 25 are in the top 5.   Accelerated warming is the nightmare scenario, which of course political leaders are ignoring.  "Don't look Up"! 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

Needs to beat 11.13 for the yearly CET record which was set in 2022 and that requires a CET for December of around 6.0

I have annual CET averages for every 12 month period not just Jan-Dec and it is interesting to note that that the record for this was set for the period May 2006 to April 2007 at 11.66 - so way above anything this years Jan-Dec record could deliver. After last year's coldish Jan at 3.4C, a very mild Jan 2026 could threaten it though.


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 December 2025 12:13:00
The annual record looks odds on. RRR for the rest of the month only +0.53C, and likely to go negative in a few days’ time. 
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Chunky Pea
13 December 2025 12:30:09
Denmark set for one of the warmest years on record also:

2025: Another warm year

2025 is in the top 10 warmest years. This year, the average temperature in Denmark will end up as the fourth warmest since 1874. It is not a surprise, but rather a textbook example of how man-made climate change is gradually becoming apparent - also in Denmark.

https://www.dmi.dk/nyheder/2025/2025-endnu-et-varmt-aar 

Chart from the page:

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Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

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