The Weather Outlook

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Brian Gaze
17 November 2025 15:39:36
I thought I'd start a new thread and see how it goes. "Snow chance" is where you can post cherry picked charts during the winter period. It's not intended to be scientific, and the charts can be from any model, deterministic or ensemble. Usually, the charts show winter promise that never materialises or is watered down (no pun intended). If this thread keeps going through the winter months we could end up with a scrapbook in April of the "winter that could have been" rather than the winter that was. If it doesn't that's fine too!

I'll post static images so they won't update. 

I'll try and simplify the process, but currently to generate statics on TWO: 1) Click copy image in the header 2) Paste the image (don't confuse with page url, correct url will end .png) url 3) Press copy 4) Copy the image url generated and paste in. 

If linking to external sites try and make sure the urls won't refresh

I'll kick off today with this chart from the ECM 00Z deterministic. The 850s aren't low and rain is moving down fro mthe northwest, but I like the look of it!

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Brian Gaze
20 November 2025 09:01:06
A cold easterly feed to end the month.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Brian Gaze
21 November 2025 09:15:32
Slim pickings today. This is about as good as it gets for most of us. 

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Brian Gaze
30 November 2025 07:59:03
GFS 00Z op looks the most promising candidate for this thread today.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Brian Gaze
01 December 2025 08:11:35
Another decent one to add.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Roger Parsons
01 December 2025 08:22:20

Another decent one to add.

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Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Dare I hope? 


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

jhall
01 December 2025 09:54:15

Dare I hope? 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

I think it was Arthur Dent in "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" who said: "I can handle despair. It's the hope that I can't stand."


Cranleigh, Surrey
Saint Snow
01 December 2025 21:01:55
Today's 12z AIFS is jolly nice 

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https://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/web/en/ec_aifs/2025/11/30/basis06/nhem/pslv/25121506_3006.gif 


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Brian Gaze
03 December 2025 21:06:59
Not bad. GEFS P1.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 December 2025 22:47:59
The newspapers have got hold of this one e.g.

https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/uk-news/households-warned-34cm-snow-bomb-32975484 


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Brian Gaze
06 December 2025 07:41:25
More GEM tomorrow? 

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Windy Willow
06 December 2025 11:47:51

More GEM tomorrow? 

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Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

🤣👍🏻


South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

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