The Weather Outlook

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Roger Parsons
14 November 2025 17:14:43
It's still raining heavily here at 17.15hrs. Noisy rain on east-facing windows. At this rate 2+cm would not surprise me.
RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Saint Snow
15 November 2025 09:18:49
The impacts hit further north than was expected. Lots of trees down across roads, railway lines & tramlines, plus extensive flooding - both surface-water and rivers - in Cheshire and & Greater Manchester.

Hadn't expected that.

Meanwhile a lot of the SE, which was supposed to be in the firing line, had minimal amounts of rain and lighter winds (according to comments on here)

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

The Beast from the East
15 November 2025 10:20:00

The impacts hit further north than was expected. Lots of trees down across roads, railway lines & tramlines, plus extensive flooding - both surface-water and rivers - in Cheshire and & Greater Manchester.

Hadn't expected that.

Meanwhile a lot of the SE, which was supposed to be in the firing line, had minimal amounts of rain and lighter winds (according to comments on here)

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Yes, they got this wrong and the models shifted it north before it arrived.  They should have changed the warnings.

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

doctormog
15 November 2025 10:22:45
The Beast from the East
15 November 2025 10:25:17

How far off were the warning areas compared with the worst affected areas?

https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/standard/976/cpsprodpb/fff5/live/4f160830-c14a-11f0-86a5-23e8532eb2d7.jpg.webp 

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

But we still had warnings in place down here when it was clearly not necessary.  Saint says the damage up there was not expected so they clearly got something wrong. 

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

scillydave
15 November 2025 11:16:41

Yes, they got this wrong and the models shifted it north before it arrived.  They should have changed the warnings.

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

To be fair they did update the warnings to shift the focus further north. 

Here in South Wales they were spot on - there are some awful scenes coming out of Monmouth. 

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

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