A Classic dream winter snow scenario if there were the right conditions for cold. The Dorset Snowsports Centre will have to rely on the artificial surface again. 

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/gcn26g29b#?date=2025-11-14 

Looking ahead after the 'short term' hiccup, it looks like I might see the first frost of the season.

One thing is for sure, I'm glad I got my conservatory roof replaced last year.

What is your location?

Latest GFS 06z seem to have the worst of it north of london.  Doesnt look too bad down here thankfully. 

Floods then skating rinks?

😉

If you're a woodlouse on a cat iced puddle maybe.

Ulric is not too far from me, at about the same latitude.

(Meanwhile UK weather warnings are now amber)

https://www.bbc.com/weather/articles/cj0e3y6yy99o 

Baldock, about 40m north of London

The latest (09z) ICON run puts us bang under the centre of the most intense rainfall, with 40-50mm by 3pm tomorrow. That’s little different to the 06z, which puts us on the fringes of the 60-70mm band by tomorrow night.

Just de-leafed the gutters in anticipation of 3+ cm of rain tomorrow!

We have an Amber warning of rain and Yellow warning of wind affecting The East Midlands: 

"40-60 mm of rain is expected widely across this region with some places seeing around 80 mm."

"Gusts of 50 to 60 mph are expected during the afternoon and evening, perhaps up to 70 mph."

I've got 47.7mm to beat so I think it's on!

My record is about 135mm (July 2007) so I am really hoping it's not beaten tomorrow!

However, I do expect my daily record for 2025 to be well beaten.   It's just 18.3mm - and that was yesterday .....    

I’d say that’s under serious threat having seen some of 12z output.

I’m expecting a few minor flooding issues as the farm track at the back is slightly higher than our parking area and cart lodge. It tends to run down over the gravel when it’s heavy and persistent rain.

 But lets see, the front could easily set up further south. hope not.  

I've cut my grass (hopefully for the last time this winter) in anticipation of 3+ mm of rain tomorrow.😂

Anyway, very relieved to have dodged this one.  

The forecast here still has the weather warning for heavy rain but looking at the radar, it looks like that's it for significicant rain IMBY. I suppose it can change.

I feel for the people who are living near the river Wellend, or any rivers in these parts, as it isn't going to take much for it to burst it banks, in many places. It was pretty full in a section near farmland, two weeks back, when we took to the dog to the paddock. I expect it won't take much to start overflowing into the fields.

Yes that aligns pretty well to stations north of here in Oxfordshire that are all showing mid to high 30mms in general.

Only 15 miles further south where we are, we have "only" had 18mm since the rain started around 6pm last night so that shift north has made a big difference to what was expected here at least.

Given where some of the heaviest rain has been falling, I' ve a feeling the River Severn is going to be flooding in some of the familiar places over the coming couple of days.