The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
01 September 2025 12:34:55
As we are into a brand new season, it's time for a brand new thread for this autumn although the summer thread is still available for anyone to post their final summer statistics and thoughts.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 September 2025 16:51:52
Met Office releases new storm names for 2025-26

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/cwy54xllpyno 

And before you ask, the names are a list shared between the British, Irish and Dutch Met services:

 - 'Wubbo' Ockels was a Dutch scientist  with the European Space Agency

- 'Tadhg' is a name of the kings of Munster in ancient times and means 'poet'; I assume that names are not those of living individuals (e.g. there are currently Irish RU players with this name.) Anyway, a trap is laid for British newsreaders who need to learn Gaelic spelling (are there any rules?). It's pronounced TIE-GEE

- 'Kasia' seems to be a Polish name and is a diminutive of Katarzyna = Catherine. I haven't spotted a Dutch Kasia or a historic Kasia though the Polish wife of a friend of mine has this name. Pronounced Kah-sha.

- 'Janna' means in Hebrew 'God is gracious' and is the feminine form of 'John'

- 'Fionnuala' = Fenella is a common Irish name today and has a mythological connection; the tale of the Children of Lir, where the princess Fionnuala is cursed to live as a swan for 900 years with her brothers.

- 'Chandra' is the name of the Hindu deity of the moon, so I guess this is a British nomination as a nod to the immigrant population

The rest seem to be more or less conventional names. I hope 'Eddie' turns up on 11th January as it was my father's name and that was his birthday, but I may have to settle for my name on my birthday a few weeks later.


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

doctormog
01 September 2025 17:44:31

Re. The Irish name Tadhg, it’s pronounced more like tie-g (with a g sound at the end not a gee if that makes sense).


doctormog
01 September 2025 18:00:45

Re. The Irish name Tadhg, it’s pronounced more like tie-g (with a g sound at the end not a gee if that makes sense).

And Fionnuala would be pronounced Fin-oola.


DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 September 2025 18:12:33

Re. The Irish name Tadhg, it’s pronounced more like tie-g (with a g sound at the end not a gee if that makes sense).

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Copied from Wikipedia - I said it would be a trap for newsreaders!


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Bolty
03 September 2025 21:55:48

It feels a lot like autumn has arrived bang on cue this year. It's been a while since the first week of September was cooler and unsettled - it tends to see quite a decent week. I can't complain though, a bit of rain is needed now.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Windy Willow
04 September 2025 10:12:05

Autumn is definitely in evidence here and has started with some very convective wet weather, in this part of the country. Plenty of torrential rainy showers since Sunday and even a brief thunderstorm yesterday afternoon. Lovely and sunny spells in between with some leave fall in evidence as well as trees starting to show their autumn colours, which seems earlier this year than the last few, as well as an abundance of fruits, nuts and berries in the hedgerows and gardens in these parts.


South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

idj20
04 September 2025 10:24:28
Too soon, Autumn, too soon! Just had another round of squally rain and wind this morning, now brightening up but feeling fresh in brisk winds.

Indeed, Autumn seems keen to get started early this year, and we have at least nine months of this kind of thing to come. Our climate is hard work. 


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
Retron
04 September 2025 10:27:23

Too soon, Autumn, too soon! Just had another round of squally rain and wind this morning, now brightening up but feeling fresh in brisk winds.

Indeed, Autumn seems keen to get started early this year, and we have at least nine months of this kind of thing to come. Our climate is hard work. 

Originally Posted by: idj20 

Unlike you I've welcomed it with open arms - it's wonderful to have had some rain, some cloud, some breeze. It still feels balmy in the breeze - there's no "edge" to it - but that will come eventually. In the meantime, between the showers it's remarkably pleasant. Dewpoints are lower than of late, the sun is strong but not "sear you" strong, the rain hasn't yet turned everything to mud. 

It's good to actually have an autumnal feel to things for once, rather than the usual extended summer!


Leysdown, north Kent
idj20
04 September 2025 10:43:27

Unlike you I've welcomed it with open arms - it's wonderful to have had some rain, some cloud, some breeze. It still feels balmy in the breeze - there's no "edge" to it - but that will come eventually. In the meantime, between the showers it's remarkably pleasant. Dewpoints are lower than of late, the sun is strong but not "sear you" strong, the rain hasn't yet turned everything to mud. 

It's good to actually have an autumnal feel to things for once, rather than the usual extended summer!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Like you, I used to look forward to Autumn but that was back in my tomato greenhouse working days as that was when I was able to slow down after a long hot tiring Summer season under glass, then there were thoughts of snowfalls and crisp frosty days later on down the line. 

Nowadays my personal circumstances is a lot more humane/comfortable and since snowfalls and frosts has become rare as hens teeth, Autumn no longer holds any appeal to me and instead look forward to Spring - especially after the horror show that was Autumn 2013/Winter 2014. Also I think it is an age-related thing.  Granted, it is good to see my lawn starting to green up again but I now can't enjoy the gardening or sit outside for long as the weather has become too changeable too soon! 

PS: After a slight lull with some bright breaks, another round of rain with strong onshore gusts are currently moving through. Already fed up of it. 😁


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
Jiries
06 September 2025 07:03:53

Despite the cool and wet weather outside but with lot of sunshine in between kept my house very warm and yesterday was the warmest day with 36.6C (other days low 30's)  in the conservatory and 30.8C living room and 24-26C other rooms.  Very safe that no heating needed this month and hope a warmer October like 1995 to keep heating off to November.

Saint Snow
16 September 2025 17:45:45

Horrible September so far 


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Devonian
16 September 2025 18:05:54

Horrible September so far 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Remember September 1986? CET 11.3C...This year so far? 15.1C.... We're all getting soft, the change to our climate is slow enough in human terms that most don't notice and only those who live through periods of climate (say 30 years) and who are interested in such things seem to me to notice.

On about 85mm of rain here too so far and a coldest' night of 8.1C. It's more like August used to be........

Chunky Pea
16 September 2025 18:45:08

That cool Sept of '86 sound very exceptional to me, even within that cooler time period. 

The lack of hurricanes this year seems a bit odd, and usually, they coincide with HP building on this side of the Atlantic which is why the first couple of weeks of September can often be more settled than what we have seen this year . Rainfall here is running around 300% of the average for the first half the month. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Jiries
16 September 2025 20:07:22

Horrible September so far 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Despite being a horrible month is the amount of sunshine had been a lot sunnier than August tbh.   Even today was another nice ona and off day and with my conservatory had been a God send to keep my home summery warm up to today at 27.8C and 25.4C living room so still wearing short and t-shirt, no jumper yet.

I know some people prefer cold September for the the sake of colder winter does not work in this country, the temperatures next week will be similar to temps we will get in Dec to Feb months.  Best way to shorten Autumn seaon is like 1995 which lasted just a month before winter proper strike from end of November until early Spring 1996.

Jiries
06 October 2025 16:47:53
Very nice today and warm as summery as possible in October, dry warm and sunny today and very warm inside with conservatory reached 31.5C the only 30's so far this month but not sure if will be the last farewell 30's of the year.  Living room was 28.3C to my bedroom only 20.7C.
Retron
06 October 2025 16:52:43

I know some people prefer cold September for the the sake of colder winter does not work in this country, the temperatures next week will be similar to temps we will get in Dec to Feb months.  Best way to shorten Autumn seaon is like 1995 which lasted just a month before winter proper strike from end of November until early Spring 1996.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Paul Bartlett (now long gone) used to suggest a dry, warm October followed by a cold, wet November gave a good chance of a cold and snowy winter to come. I suspect the climate has shifted enough that that's no longer the case, heck, even a cold month these days is noteworthy! Nonetheless, I still cling to it - and today is about as warm and dry as you can get! 

(The theory was that weather has a "memory", so to speak, and patterns tend to repeat. Blocking over the UK in October transferring NW during November would have meant a greater chance of blocking continuing in the UK/Iceland area into winter.)


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
06 October 2025 20:06:44

Paul Bartlett (now long gone) used to suggest a dry, warm October followed by a cold, wet November gave a good chance of a cold and snowy winter to come. I suspect the climate has shifted enough that that's no longer the case, heck, even a cold month these days is noteworthy! Nonetheless, I still cling to it - and today is about as warm and dry as you can get! 

(The theory was that weather has a "memory", so to speak, and patterns tend to repeat. Blocking over the UK in October transferring NW during November would have meant a greater chance of blocking continuing in the UK/Iceland area into winter.)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Last time a true dry warm October was 1995 and it was around 20-26C for nearly 4 weeks with grass turning parched again after a wet Sept.  That year was the shortest Autumn that lasted only a month before the first snow came in end of November then colder period with snow over the winter.  October 2011 was not good after a near hot start it went downhill fast to the end of the month.

12z ensembles show what we had in 1995 which was very dry from 2nd to end of the month.

Bolty
07 October 2025 08:47:37
Looks like a return to the anticyclonic theme that has dominated this year. This week isn't looking too bad around here, after the weekend's storm-fest.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

The Beast from the East
07 October 2025 09:08:16
after yesterday's taste of summer its now the other side of the coin with anticyclonic gloom.  looks like its going to be a dirty high in this part of the world.  at least its dry and useable outdoor weather
Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

fairweather
14 October 2025 11:12:45
This week's weather is a complete disaster from every angle after hoping for some clear skies last week and seeing the HP coming in but HP no longer means what it used to and the less of it the better these days out of mid-summer and even then it gets too hot. The reasons why this weather is so useless is:-

1. Drought continues into Autumn. A ytd of just 300mm by November is unheard of.

2. As ever when there is no moonlight and ideal for my astro photography there is zero sky to be seen, let alone photograph.

3. And same by day with low flat light any photography is a waste of time.

4. No solar heating by day so central heating is having to come on now as house has cooled down to mean outside temperature, pretty much a constant 13C since 21st Sept - normally this time of year we get a lot of natural solar heating keeping day time temperatures up.

Sooner we get back to some decent Atlantic weather with rain and sunny spells between fronts the better, something I would never have said ten years ago!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
The Beast from the East
14 October 2025 12:35:56

This week's weather is a complete disaster from every angle after hoping for some clear skies last week and seeing the HP coming in but HP no longer means what it used to and the less of it the better these days out of mid-summer and even then it gets too hot. The reasons why this weather is so useless is:-

1. Drought continues into Autumn. A ytd of just 300mm by November is unheard of.

2. As ever when there is no moonlight and ideal for my astro photography there is zero sky to be seen, let alone photograph.

3. And same by day with low flat light any photography is a waste of time.

4. No solar heating by day so central heating is having to come on now as house has cooled down to mean outside temperature, pretty much a constant 13C since 21st Sept - normally this time of year we get a lot of natural solar heating keeping day time temperatures up.

Sooner we get back to some decent Atlantic weather with rain and sunny spells between fronts the better, something I would never have said ten years ago!

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

Yes, sadly this has turned into a dirty high for some of us.  But I prefer it to wind and rain.  Great for fireworks but ironic that it comes to an end just as Diwali starts. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

doctormog
14 October 2025 12:38:17
Looking at the satellite imagery we are incredibly lucky here at the moment and are enjoying a spell of sunshine. That little bit of luck aside I agree with FW’s comments.
johncs2016
14 October 2025 12:59:24
For me, I'm not too bothered about the ongoing lack of sunshine just now because for the vast majority of this year, I've seen virtually nothing but sunny skies for most of the time and we can't expect it to be sunny all the time, especially here in a country such as the UK (even more so, here in Scotland).

The lack of rainfall clearly continues to be a major concern as highlighted in other threads on this forum, but my main gripe is with the lack of any proper diurnal temperature range just now even under high pressure, and the lack of any low overnight minimum temperatures.

In September, we at least had an exceptionally early air frost along with a few ground frosts as well but this is supposed to be cooling time of the year yet during this month so far, we still haven't even had as much as a ground frost here, let alone any air frosts. We are now almost halfway through the month as I write and yet the lowest overnight minimum temperature at Edinburgh Gogarbank during this month has still been no lower than 6.41°C. Absolutely pathetic!!


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Jiries
14 October 2025 19:27:19

Yes, sadly this has turned into a dirty high for some of us.  But I prefer it to wind and rain.  Great for fireworks but ironic that it comes to an end just as Diwali starts. 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

What we had in September was super amount of sunshine daily despite under Low pressure most of the time, but the minute the stupid HP came sun gone for 2nd week now.  What it taking so long as in the past gloom never exceed more than few days now seem to last 2 weeks or more like last winter.  

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