The Weather Outlook

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Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2025 10:58:27

Aviemore peaked at 32.2c , impressive for the Highlands 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

And even Cairngorm summit made 21C. That can't happen very often.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

fairweather
13 July 2025 11:04:33

I do wonder where the Mail get their daily stats from as they always seem to be wrong.

As far as I can see there isn't even an official weather station at Hay-on-Wye.

APS: thanks for the link. Seems like the person who made it is already counting today as the 11th 30C day which is by no means guaranteed.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

If there's a story to be made up you can guarantee that the Mail will get the scoup 😂


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Rob K
13 July 2025 11:41:35

Yes they are, I think they presumed four 30c days in this spell making 11. Think we will today though.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

28.2C at Porthmadog so far. Also around 27C on the coast at Chivenor and Bude - notably hot for West Country coastal locations. I'm heading down to Devon tonight but the warmth will have gone by the time I get there and tomorrow looks a bit meh.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

picturesareme
13 July 2025 11:55:34

Here are the stats ,from Met Office.  2013 at this stage only had 1

https://x.com/SnowbieWx/status/1943327384855331292/photo/1 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Those stats are incorrect. 

8 days in July 2013 saw temperatures exceed 30C and seven of them were consecutive. There were also a number of other days that came very close to 30C in that July.

The hottest day of that year was in August though. 

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 12:25:18

Those stats are incorrect. 

8 days in July 2013 saw temperatures exceed 30C and seven of them were consecutive. There were also a number of other days that came very close to 30C in that July.

The hottest day of that year was in August though. 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

It's 30c days up to July 13th only. 

He posted another table of total 30c days and 2013 had 11.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
picturesareme
13 July 2025 12:34:59

It's 30c days up to July 13th only. 

He posted another table of total 30c days and 2013 had 11.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Ah okay that makes more sense  🙂

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 12:42:56

On that the top four years with most 30c days are-

1995 - 34

2018 - 28

1976 - 24

2006 - 21

So we have a long way to go yet for this year to become a Classic. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Viking3
13 July 2025 12:48:08

The maximum recorded at Aboyne yesterday was an impressive 30.8C which is the third highest on record after 31.3 and 31.8C in July 2022.

What was much more unusual was that the temperature fell quickly in the evening down to a minimum of 5.6C early this morning, giving a daily range of 25.2C. This range won't be reflected in the official statistics as the maximum is credited to 12th July but the minimum is credited to 13th.

Big temperature ranges are often from a cold start to a warm afternoon, so this is slightly different.


Keith

Aboyne, Aberdeenshire

135m asl

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 13:54:06

Only 28.5c the high so far.  Very touch and go if we make 30c now


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 14:21:16

A flurry of 29s at 3pm , from Somerset to the Highlands 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Rob K
13 July 2025 15:10:44
30.3C at Achnagart at 4pm. And the same at Ross on Wye.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Bolty
13 July 2025 15:13:42

An impressive heat wave for Scotland. Is that three consecutive 30°C days for them? If so that is pretty exceptional.

Meanwhile here it's slightly cooler today with a bit more cloud around. The high looks to be 27.8°C on my PWS.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 15:15:26

30.3C at Achnagart at 4pm. And the same at Ross on Wye.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

11 in the bag then, when will number 12 happen?


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
13 July 2025 15:18:48

11 in the bag then, when will number 12 happen?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Ideally not for many more years! Fat chance of that, though.

There's a much better chance of another 30 tomorrow, this time in my part of the world. The MetO text forecast for the SE says, for tomorrow:

"Variable cloud with bright spells and isolated showers, perhaps turning thundery in the afternoon. Feeling very warm or hot in the sunshine. Cooler, fresher conditions developing overnight. Maximum temperature 29 °C."

...and the automated keeps switching between 28 and 29. Gusty SW'lies are ideal for high temperatures here due to the Foehn effect, and I would suspect if anywhere does it, Brogdale will. We won't know for a few more days though!


Leysdown, north Kent
Rob K
13 July 2025 15:20:49
Looking at yesterday's daily extremes, Kirkwall was the sunniest place with 16.5 hours of sun. That made me wonder what the maximum sunshine ever recorded in one day is. 

Yesterday there was a theoretical 17hr 54min of sun possible in Kirkwall. On the summer solstice there is a possible 18hr 30min, and. 18hr 56min. In London there's only a theoretical max of about 16hr 38min at midsummer.

Has anywhere ever recorded 17 or 18 hours of sunshine in a day? Unbroken sun must be pretty rare in those northern latitudes in midsummer.

Re tomorrow's max, the models seem to have the far east of E Anglia as the hottest, and there aren't many stations there. Tibenham maybe.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 15:24:49

On that the top four years with most 30c days are-

1995 - 34

2018 - 28

1976 - 24

2006 - 21

So we have a long way to go yet for this year to become a Classic. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I'm actually doubting the 1995 number here it seems to high, does anyone have any other data?


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
johncs2016
13 July 2025 15:27:58

An impressive heat wave for Scotland. Is that three consecutive 30°C days for them? If so that is pretty exceptional.

Meanwhile here it's slightly cooler today with a bit more cloud around. The high looks to be 27.8°C on my PWS.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

No heatwave here in Edinburgh though.

We did get to 26.0°C and 25.3°C at Edinburgh Gogarbank on Friday and Saturday respectively but today's maximum at that same station looks like reaching only around 23°C thanks to some cloud cover at times and a breeze from off the North Sea.

Nevertheless, today's temperatures for here are still a bit higher than what was forecast by the Met Office. The Sun is shining just now and if it continues to stay out, a very late jump in the temperature to take us to the threshold of an official heatwave here in Edinburgh still can't be completely ruled out.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2025 16:16:37

I'm actually doubting the 1995 number here it seems to high, does anyone have any other data?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I looked back at the Footpath Society magazine that a friend and I used to produce, each issue having a local walk around our village near Maidstone. As I drew the walk maps, the annotations were often weather-related. 1995 doesn't feature as being exceptional but 1989 had an August walk entitled 'Baked Fields and Pastures Brown', and it states that London had had less than 9" (say 225mm) of rain Jan-Jul that year. 

I remember the walk as I had checked it over the previous month and the fields were looking drier and browner than they are at the moment - but we still have have half of July to go.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

The Beast from the East
13 July 2025 16:45:32

I'm actually doubting the 1995 number here it seems to high, does anyone have any other data?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

yes, I dont remember that many very hot days. Must be a mistake.  But It was a great summer, especially August and ended with a spectacular thundery spell. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

therron
13 July 2025 16:46:13

It happens more often than you think.

therron
13 July 2025 16:51:30

For example Porthmadog was warmest in UK twice in May, Trawsgoed or Gogerddan near Aberystwyth can feature in hot easterly flows in Summer, St Athan and Cardiff also grab it on occasion.

Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2025 16:51:53

yes, I dont remember that many very hot days. Must be a mistake.  But It was a great summer, especially August and ended with a spectacular thundery spell. 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

It's annoying these stats are not more accessible.  


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
therron
13 July 2025 16:54:40

Unofficially my garden hottest in UK yesterday max 34c!

therron
13 July 2025 16:56:48

It would be Ross on Wye they meant!

redmoons
13 July 2025 17:11:55

4th day in a row here of over 30c. 13th of the summer.

High was 31c.


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