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Ally Pally Snowman
05 July 2025 11:32:06

It's all relative, but to me this is pushing to extreme heat for the UK.

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Yes spoke to soon, goes very hot at the end. A classic summer run.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
05 July 2025 11:39:39

Yes spoke to soon, goes very hot at the end. A classic summer run.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I’d always opt for an early cool down followed by a reload over an extended hot spell then a long cool breakdown. So I’m liking these reloads.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
05 July 2025 11:52:32

I’d always opt for an early cool down followed by a reload over an extended hot spell then a long cool breakdown. So I’m liking these reloads.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

There's barely any breakdown on the latest AIFS 6z. Low 30s all the way basically. Settled UK wide as well


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
briggsy6
05 July 2025 12:09:11

Puts on working men's flat cap: So do the members of this website [pauses] The Weather Outlook Forum Affiliated [pause] think we could be heading for another heatwave?


Location: Uxbridge
Brian Gaze
05 July 2025 12:21:27

Puts on working men's flat cap: So do the members of this website [pauses] The Weather Outlook Forum Affiliated [pause] think we could be heading for another heatwave?

Originally Posted by: briggsy6 

The evidence remains tentative at best, but within that context, it is starting to support my gut instinct that this summer could go down as one of the all-time classics, at least in the southern half of the UK.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Rob K
05 July 2025 13:34:46

6Z GEFS have flipped back to a hotter picture after a cool”er” set on the 0Z.

Some runs eg P29 just keep the heat going and going with no reload needed  


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
05 July 2025 13:50:05

6Z GEFS have flipped back to a hotter picture after a cool”er” set on the 0Z.

Some runs eg P29 just keep the heat going and going with no reload needed  

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

We’re all waiting for the globally warmed June/July 1976. Not yet had it despite several very hot periods in recent years. P29 is that. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
05 July 2025 14:26:28

We’re all waiting for the globally warmed June/July 1976. Not yet had it despite several very hot periods in recent years. P29 is that. 

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Indeed , 76 managed 14 days in a row above 32c the equivalent now would be 14 days above 35c.  Could be this year?


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Nick Gilly
05 July 2025 14:34:01
I looked again, and it was actually 15 consecutive days of over 32C in the UK, and 5 days that summer exceeded 35C.

To have a contemporary equivalent of 1976, we'd need all three summer months to be predominantly hot, dry and sunny. Frankly, a 21st century version would cause massive disruption as well as deaths.

Ally Pally Snowman
05 July 2025 14:46:14

I looked again, and it was actually 15 consecutive days of over 32C in the UK, and 5 days that summer exceeded 35C.

To have a contemporary equivalent of 1976, we'd need all three summer months to be predominantly hot, dry and sunny. Frankly, a 21st century version would cause massive disruption as well as deaths.

Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 

Incredible,  really was a freak summer back then.  


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Hungry Tiger
05 July 2025 15:04:51

I looked again, and it was actually 15 consecutive days of over 32C in the UK, and 5 days that summer exceeded 35C.

To have a contemporary equivalent of 1976, we'd need all three summer months to be predominantly hot, dry and sunny. Frankly, a 21st century version would cause massive disruption as well as deaths.

Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 

I think it was June 24th to July 9th 1976.

I remember it well and it stands right out in the 1970s.  🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

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South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Retron
05 July 2025 15:10:47

Incredible,  really was a freak summer back then.  

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Yet here in Kent we've had a warmer June and Faversham's already recorded a high some 3.8C higher than it did in all of 1976. It was more exceptional elsewhere, and I've no interest in a repeat.

Though today's been humid (16.5 dewpoint atm), it's only been slightly warmer than average - 22.6, the coldest day in weeks. It has, at least, allowed the house to cool down at long last!

I'm fervently hoping this morning's 0z GFS/MetO combo called it for next weekend, but I'm resigned to seeing yet more heat, partly as it's so frequently shown in the models, partly because it's sod's law (as I hate the heat), and partly because the models usually overdo the extent of troughs several days out, nudging things north and warming them slightly. If only the models were as generous with the -15 (or even -10) 850 isotherm as they have been with the +20 one this year!


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
05 July 2025 15:24:25

Yet here in Kent we've had a warmer June and Faversham's already recorded a high some 3.8C higher than it did in all of 1976. It was more exceptional elsewhere, and I've no interest in a repeat.

Though today's been humid (16.5 dewpoint atm), it's only been slightly warmer than average - 22.6, the coldest day in weeks. It has, at least, allowed the house to cool down at long last!

I'm fervently hoping this morning's 0z GFS/MetO combo called it for next weekend, but I'm resigned to seeing yet more heat, partly as it's so frequently shown in the models, partly because it's sod's law (as I hate the heat), and partly because the models usually overdo the extent of troughs several days out, nudging things north and warming them slightly. If only the models were as generous with the -15 (or even -10) 850 isotherm as they have been with the +20 one this year!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Fifteen 32c days in a row is nuts though. Even now that would be incredible.  

I think this year may produce a 5 day 35c spell but 15 days above 32c could be many years before we see that again.  


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Taylor1740
05 July 2025 15:25:05

Yet here in Kent we've had a warmer June and Faversham's already recorded a high some 3.8C higher than it did in all of 1976. It was more exceptional elsewhere, and I've no interest in a repeat.

Though today's been humid (16.5 dewpoint atm), it's only been slightly warmer than average - 22.6, the coldest day in weeks. It has, at least, allowed the house to cool down at long last!

I'm fervently hoping this morning's 0z GFS/MetO combo called it for next weekend, but I'm resigned to seeing yet more heat, partly as it's so frequently shown in the models, partly because it's sod's law (as I hate the heat), and partly because the models usually overdo the extent of troughs several days out, nudging things north and warming them slightly. If only the models were as generous with the -15 (or even -10) 850 isotherm as they have been with the +20 one this year!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Yes those are my thoughts as well, at least the chances of high 30s temperatures look lower now than a few days ago but still looking like several days of temperatures in the low-mid 30s which will be very unpleasant and uncomfortable.


NW Leeds - 150m amsl
David M Porter
05 July 2025 15:51:51

Incredible,  really was a freak summer back then.  

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

What was the highest temperature recorded during the summer of 1995, out of interest?

I'm fairly sure they must have been quite a few days that summer where parts of England saw temps a few degrees into the 30s because there were a lot of days when the high 20s were reached quite widely across Scotland, both in late June and again in late July and into that August,.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

Brian Gaze
05 July 2025 15:56:47

What was the highest temperature recorded during the summer of 1995, out of interest?

I'm fairly sure they must have been quite a few days that summer where parts of England saw temps a few degrees into the 30s because there were a lot of days when the high 20s were reached quite widely across Scotland, both in late June and again in late July and into that August,.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

35.2C Boxworth, Cambridgeshire, 1st August.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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David M Porter
05 July 2025 16:00:47

35.2C Boxworth, Cambridgeshire, 1st August.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Thanks Brian. 👍


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

Brian Gaze
05 July 2025 16:06:02

I'll start a new thread shortly.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

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