The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
10 June 2025 12:19:35

The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 8.4 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 0.0 mm (as at 12:40 pm BST (11:40 UTC) this afternoon on Tuesday 10 June 2025)

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 33.6 mm (48.9% of 1991-2020 June average)

Number of rain days during this month: 5 (44.9% of 1991-2020 June average)

Number of dry days during this month: 4

Seasonal Data

Total for this summer so far: 33.6 mm (15.6% of 1991-2020 summer average)

Number of rain days during this summer: 5 (14.8% of 1991-2020 summer average)

Number of dry days during this summer: 4

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 220.8 mm (28.2% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 40 (29.1% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 95

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
12 June 2025 15:07:13

Latest MetO predictions are for heavy thundery showers anywhere along the south coast early tomorrow evening splitting into two areas by midnight; one in the SE soon moving off into the N Sea, just touching the Suffolk as it goes but curving back to give NE England and E Scotland a wet Saturday;  one in the SW moving north to give a really wet night in Wales, and then a wet Saturday for E Ireland and NW England finally linking up with the rain over E Scotland.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

johncs2016
12 June 2025 15:09:45
This week's water scarcity report has been issued and as with last week, the readings from that are very mixed.

There has been some rain in the last week and although we haven't had a massive amount of rain during this month so far, we have had a wetter start to this month than what we've had for quite a long time.

That is part in parcel of what has made up for a rather disappointing start to this summer overall (although recent days have at least been a bit warmer and more seasonal in that regard) but there are still some parts of the country which aren't getting enough rain and because of that, one area of the extreme NE of Scotland around Helmsdale has had its water scarcity status upgraded from moderate water scarcity status to significant water scarcity status.

That is very serious indeed because that is the highest level which you can get to as regards to water scarcity, and is the equivalent in weather terms of getting an official Met Office red warning for a particular type of weather.

However, some parts of the east of Scotland have had their status downgraded from moderate water scarcity status to alert status with only some parts of NE Scotland remaining at moderate water scarcity status along with East Lothian.

A few areas have even recovered from early warning status to normal status including one area in the far south of Scotland which isn't even in the west of Scotland.

Apart from that, the status for the rest of Scotland remains unchanged from last week.

The latest models are currently suggesting that high pressure might build into the UK at times during the rest of this month to bring some drier weather but regardless of whether that happens or not, more rain is forecast within the next week or so which should hopefully further help the recovery process in the meantime at least.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Northern Sky
14 June 2025 07:08:50

23mm so far but the outlook after the next few days looks pretty dry as the month goes on. Could do with a good soaking before then with Friday night looking to offer the best chance. Thursday's rain looks like missing us here, which has very often been the case this year.

Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 

What a surprise. Virtually all the rain missed here yet again. Got to laugh really, it's a very strange year. Scraped 1mm last night to take the June total to 24mm. 

speckledjim
14 June 2025 08:54:24

What a surprise. Virtually all the rain missed here yet again. Got to laugh really, it's a very strange year. Scraped 1mm last night to take the June total to 24mm. 

Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 

Not a drop for me


Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Brian Gaze
14 June 2025 09:11:36

A complete miss here. 0.2mm rain and zero storm activity. I'll be getting the sprinkler going later today. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

johncs2016
14 June 2025 09:22:31

A complete miss here. 0.2mm rain and zero storm activity. I'll be getting the sprinkler going later today. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

No storms here in Edinburgh either despite the official Met Office yellow warning for that which is in place here.

SEPA have a total of 13 flood alerts in force for here in Scotland with Edinburgh being one of the areas which comes under that. This is in complete contrast to the water scarcity situations which I have been discussing on here recently with those reports also coming from SEPA.

At the moment though, it's really only moderate to heavy rain which we're getting with nothing all that torrential.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

fairweather
14 June 2025 09:48:47

2.8 mm here in S.E Essex which was supposed to be the epi-centre of the torrential rain and hail. Was a brief spell of thunder and lightning but just an hour of steady rain.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Brian Gaze
14 June 2025 10:20:13

No storms here in Edinburgh either despite the official Met Office yellow warning for that which is in place here.

SEPA have a total of 13 flood alerts in force for here in Scotland with Edinburgh being one of the areas which comes under that. This is in complete contrast to the water scarcity situations which I have been discussing on here recently with those reports also coming from SEPA.

At the moment though, it's really only moderate to heavy rain which we're getting with nothing all that torrential.

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

When I checked the data on Tuesday it already looked as though the risk of widespread storm activity wasn't as high as many people seemed to think. The LI and CAPE values weren't impressive in most of the UK. It was a very different story in France and possibly the far south east of England.  


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

lanky
14 June 2025 11:44:46

When I checked the data on Tuesday it already looked as though the risk of widespread storm activity wasn't as high as many people seemed to think. The LI and CAPE values weren't impressive in most of the UK. It was a very different story in France and possibly the far south east of England.  

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Yes I am in Paris ATM and there was a lot of flashing and banging going on last night with heavy rain as well 


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

johncs2016
14 June 2025 14:09:42

The latest rainfall data for Edinburgh Gogarbank is as follows:

Data For Recent Days

24 hour total up to 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 18.8 mm

Total since 10 am BST (09:00 UTC) this morning: 10.2 mm (as at 1:40 pm BST (12:40 UTC) this afternoon on Saturday 14 June 2025)

This makes yesterday our second wettest day of this entire year and our wettest day of this summer so far by quite a long way.

Monthly Data

Total for this month so far: 62.6 mm (91.0% of 1991-2020 June average)

Number of rain days during this month: 7 (62.8% of 1991-2020 June average)

Number of dry days during this month: 6

This means that only at least another 6.2 mm of rain now needs to fall between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts and we're not even halfway through the month yet as I write.

In addition to that, this also means that only at least another 5 official rain days need to be recorded between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the number of rain days.

Seasonal Data

Total for this summer so far: 62.6 mm (29.1% of 1991-2020 summer average)

Number of rain days during this summer: 7 (20.8% of 1991-2020 summer average)

Number of dry days during this summer: 6

Annual Data

Total for this year so far: 249.8 mm (31.9% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of rain days during this year: 42 (30.6% of 1991-2020 annual average)

Number of dry days during this year: 97

Note

This data has been obtained from https://www.ogimet.com  in raw BUFR format, and then converted into a more readable form by my own python script.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
14 June 2025 16:09:22

Does anyone have a rainfall total for Dover last night?


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Retron
14 June 2025 16:18:54

Does anyone have a rainfall total for Dover last night?

Originally Posted by: DEW 

It's in the 38-48mm category on NW's radar, using the 24 hour totals. Though their method isn't always accurate (e.g. when the radar shows rain but nothing reaches the ground), it should be close enough in this case!

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/nwradar.jpg 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
Tim A
14 June 2025 16:26:29

We had 0.5mm overnight so missed nearly all showers. 29.5mm for the month. 


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
15 June 2025 07:05:07

Does anyone have a rainfall total for Dover last night?

Originally Posted by: DEW 

The nearest official station, Manston, had 49.2mm. I suspect Dover and Deal had more.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

johncs2016
20 June 2025 05:28:00

Here in Edinburgh, the last few days have been dry but we've still had a fairly wet start to this summer overall and at Edinburgh Gogarbank, we have had a total of 67.8 mm of rain so far which is 98.6% of the 1991-2020 June average and 31.5% of the 1991-2020 summer average.

This means that only at least another 1.0 mm of rain needs to fall between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

In a different thread though, Jerry painted a picture of his own part of the south of Edinburgh which didn't seem as wet, and that is probably right enough because the rainfall appears to be very localised with one location possibly being a lot wetter than another location, even where that other location is very close by.

In addition to that, there is an alternative way of looking into how wet or dry it has been, and that is to go by the number of rain days and going by that, the picture even at Edinburgh Gogarbank suddenly doesn't look all that wet after all.

Nevertheless, there has been some rain in the last week and this is shown up quite nicely in this week's water scarcity report which was released yesterday by SEPA. Last week, there was one area in the north of Scotland which had been raised to significant water scarcity status which is the highest you can go with that but with a number of heavy showers falling in that area in the last week, that status has now been downgraded with the north of Scotland now at either early warning or alert status.

Despite some recent thunderstorms, East Lothian remains at moderate water scarcity status along with many parts of NE Scotland with Edinburgh still at alert status along with the rest of SE Scotland. There is a large area of central Scotland which is at early warning status but outside of the north of Scotland, the west of Scotland is now generally at normal status with the exception of the far SW of Scotland which is still at early warning status. The Orkney Islands are also at early warning status but the Shetland Islands are at normal status for water scarcity.

What we are generally seeing now is an east-west split as rainfall has been mostly concentrated in the western half of Scotland. This has allowed the west of Scotland to largely return to normal whilst large parts of the east of Scotland continue to be massively impacted by the overall water scarcity situation and for those  areas to also fully recover from that, a further period of above average rainfall is still needed.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Crepuscular Ray
20 June 2025 06:49:56

Hi John, yes Swanston is currently at 55mm which is 73% of their average. I think Gogarbank and Edinburgh Airport have records going back much longer. Swanston is a much newer station


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

johncs2016
20 June 2025 07:36:33

Hi John, yes Swanston is currently at 55mm which is 73% of their average. I think Gogarbank and Edinburgh Airport have records going back much longer. Swanston is a much newer station

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

According to the records which I know about, the records for Swanston only go back to around 2014 but even the station at Gogarbank has only been in its current location since around 2005.

Nowadays, Edinburgh Airport is not a SYNOP station and the data from there comes in the form of METAR reports in common with the other major airports in the UK and no rainfall data ever comes from there these days, but that was not always the case in the past.

If you go all the way back to before Gogarbank even existed, we find that rainfall data did previously come from Edinburgh Airport but over time, that role appeared to have been transferred to Edinburgh Gogarbank which only seems logical since both of those stations are very close together on the western outskirts of Edinburgh.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2025 09:03:23

The MetO reckon that there'll be a shower, quite heavy but local, traversing England from Liverpool to Newcastle this afternoon It'll be interesting to see if this high-res forecast pays off.

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/maps-and-charts/rainfall-radar-forecast-map 

This website then forecasts itty-bitty showers all over the place for Saturday, congregating over Lincs/E Yorks late that evening. Then on Sunday, an area of rain assembles over Ireland and moves eastwards. It splits into two, one part moving quite quickly NE via Dumfries to Sutherland, the other more slowly across the Midlands and S England with some hanging back along the Scottish Border. Much of this rain looks quite heavy, but it doesn't feature strongly in the MetO summary forecasts (e.g. rated as 40% or 60%)  . 

FWIW, widespread but fragmented patches of rain crossing Britain on Wed, so it looks as if the MetO at least is going with a breakdown and cooler weather.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2025 10:55:03

I've just received my first pleading email of the season from Cambridge Water, urging me to take shorter showers, don't use the hosepipe to wash the car, not to water the lawn but let it go brown, and so forth.


Rob

In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2025 13:10:22

I've just received my first pleading email of the season from Cambridge Water, urging me to take shorter showers, don't use the hosepipe to wash the car, not to water the lawn but let it go brown, and so forth.

Originally Posted by: RobN 

Wessex Water made a press release back in March suggesting much the same as you. Reservoirs, surface or underground, tend to reduce fast at this time of year especially when it's been such a dry spring and start to summer. We can't say we weren't warned five, ten, fifteen or twenty plus years ago. It should have been mandatory for new house builds to make underground rainwater collection cisterns part of the planning permission process for each house.  The idea that a standard waterbutt or two cuts the mustard doesn't work.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Rob K
20 June 2025 17:19:21

Apparently many of the radar returns today were caused by flying ants!

On the subject of water loss, my Dad's house in Devon sprang an underground pipe leak which was only discovered by SW Water when the bill came to almost £5,000 for six months, having "used" almost a million litres of water in that period!

Now fixed, at SWW's expense (despite the leak being on his property), and they are recalculating the bill based on his normal usage, which seems remarkably generous!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

warrenb
20 June 2025 17:24:06

Well just the obligatory email from South east water saying use water for essential purposes only. 


speckledjim
23 June 2025 07:01:13

Finally some welcome rain, now up to 20.4mm


Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Roger Parsons
23 June 2025 07:12:40

Finally some welcome rain, now up to 20.4mm

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 

Good grief, SJ - nothing like that here. a few drops perhaps.


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

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