The Weather Outlook

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Bertwhistle
28 April 2025 11:35:16

8.0C (+0.7C) here with two days to go.

Originally Posted by: four 

3 counting today? Even in your loce you should get up a few points on that.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Gavin D
30 April 2025 12:18:52
Hadley

10.7 to the 29th

2.8c above the 61 to 90 average

1.6c above the 91 to 20 average

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 April 2025 13:32:43
I think I overcooked it a bit with my 11.2c guess.  I blame the nighttime frosts early in the month.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
01 May 2025 07:24:38

I think I overcooked it a bit with my 11.2c guess.  I blame the nighttime frosts early in the month.  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

Generally diurnal ranges have been huge over the CET area in April


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Ally Pally Snowman
01 May 2025 07:44:11

Generally diurnal ranges have been huge over the CET area in April

Originally Posted by: GezM 

Still the third warmest April of all time though. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Stormchaser
03 May 2025 18:53:02
I see we're still waiting for the CET data for 30th April, classic.

If my numbers are right, Lanky's comfortably at the top of the leader board, followed by either Scilly Dave or Dingle Rob depending on what the final CET proves to be.

It wasn't a great month for me as the extended forecast model signals for some manner of -NAO episode fell flat (what is this, January?) while the warmth that happened instead, well, need I say more?

I've found the CET increasingly volatile over the past few years, more of a challenge to try and predict rather than try one's luck.

Take this May for example, it's clear that after the very warm start it's going to be on the cool side for a bit especially by night, before warming up... but just how far will that warm-up go and how long will it last? Easily enough uncertainty for over 1°C of error in the CET as of mid-May, let alone the final figure!

I must remember not to take this too seriously 😅


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

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2025's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None

Keep Calm and Forecast On

lanky
06 May 2025 10:31:28
The April data has finally turned up

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2025.txt 

The final figure to 2 decimal places was 10.87C by my reckoning

Congrats to Redmoons who went for 10.85C

 


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 May 2025 06:39:39

The April data has finally turned up

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2025.txt 

The final figure to 2 decimal places was 10.87C by my reckoning

Congrats to Redmoons who went for 10.85C

 

Originally Posted by: lanky 

I wasn’t too far off with 11.2c after all.  Congrats to Redmoons for getting even closer.  👍


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

Frank H
07 May 2025 06:59:19
Well played Redmoons
Wrightington, Wigan
scillydave
07 May 2025 19:54:45
Big congratulations to Redmoons on the April CET win - it's catapulted them from 14th to 6th place and on which note here is the table to date - it's smaller than last month as we've had 3 people drop out due to missing 3 predictions over the course of the year so far.

PositionUsernameCumulative CET Prediction
1Lanky0.96                                                                   
2ScillyDave1.44
3Dingle Rob1.45
4Frank H1.75
5Dickieboy681.78
6Redmoons1.84
7Caz2.0
8Sussex Snow Magnet2.04
9Gezm2.1
9Bolty2.1
10Allypally Snowman2.22
11Domma2.3
12Snowshoe2.6
13Saint Snow2.7
14Kendalian2.76
15Jemblow3.03
16Spring Sun Winter Dread3.2
17Grandad3.28
18Wallaw3.4
19Col3.62
20Hungry Tiger3.64
20Taylor17403.64
21Polar Westerly3.7
22Magda3.76
23Stormchaser3.97
24RickM4.1
25WindyWillow4.81
26Jerry5.2


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Saint Snow
07 May 2025 22:01:52
Cheers, Dave

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

wallaw
07 May 2025 23:34:43
Thanks Dave
Ian

Stockton-on-Tees

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
08 May 2025 04:38:37
Many thanks Dave.  👍
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

redmoons
11 May 2025 12:18:08

The April data has finally turned up

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2025.txt 

The final figure to 2 decimal places was 10.87C by my reckoning

Congrats to Redmoons who went for 10.85C

 

Originally Posted by: lanky 

Ahh cooolio, thanks to letting me know 🙂 I gone all out for a record May, so that will be interesting..


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