Not this time. All collapses very quickly. 

As per earlier discussion around what propagates this type of set up

All the cold chase posts I read I still see temps at less cold 3 to 4 in reality and not much difference from recent less cold temps.  Those who chasing a lot should worry about the temps refusing to drop much needed subzero from the East.  

Less cold temps I can’t stand it as it completely waste of time and won’t bring powdery snowfalls.

It's does all look rather boring, chilly easterly but no real cold, very little snow. Hopefully we can get some sunshine otherwise it's about as bad as it gets.

Think I’ll dismiss this one as another false dawn, probably the last of the season. 

Roll on spring!

The models appear to be firming up on a slack, cool, Easterly/SE spell for a good part of this month. Should be mostly dry and decent dog walking weather for me, so not too shabby.

GFS Op 00z; HP slower to move up from SW but 1045mb England by Thu 6th, moving on to Belarus 1055mb Sat 8th and back to S Norway Mon 10th flattening into a broad N-S ridge Sat 15th Norwegian Sea to Italy. During this period a general flow across Europe (including Britain) from E or SE but originating in the E Mediterranean so cool rather than deep cold.  From Sat 15th LP takes over, 960mb on Atlantic  eventually linking to another LP which has developed W Russia, and for Britain back to the usual W/SW-lies.

ECM; like GFS but LP on Atlantic on Fri 14th is a shallow trough rather than a focused LP

GEFS; cold spell Wed 5th - Sun 9th (shorter duration than yesterday, in the N interrupted by a milder day on Fri 7th) then mean back to norm with quite a wide spread of ens members. A few runs show small amounts of rain from Sun 9th, then more general from from Sun 16th. Pptn could be snow at times in Scotland.

Totally agree with this. Less mud on the paws, dry and frosty ground, some brightness - walking in the countryside with your dogs is pretty dandy for me.

Well, there was never much ensemble support so I wasn’t really expecting anything notable.  Dry and cool to cold will be fine, preferably with light winds.

The days are lengthening and the sun feels a little stronger but we all know the models will change again; and again.  A topsy turvy early spring is not unusual.

Yes, the dirty high we had in November was so depressing, no sunshine for weeks. Utterly pathetic but at least no sign of storms. Hopefully we will not get another named one this season. 

With the energy price cap rising again, I think we need some warm weather now. 

As things stand at this moment in time, we still have to get the HP to build over the British Isles which is due to start happening tomorrow. Once the HP is in place as indicated we shall see what transpires from then on in. Those of us that have been in this business for a long time will know that the models often struggle with blocked set-ups to one degree or another, so nothing should be ruled in or out at this juncture in my view.

usual flip flop

30 years ago, it would have gone west but now we have so much power in the northern arm of the jet, only an SSW event can help us, as we got in 2018

No wonder Q has disappeared! 

I've looked at the soundings, alot of 'continental warm nose' type stuff appearing. Its not just that, its also the dryness of the airmass. Usually -6C 850hpa temp corresponds to about a +14C equivalent pot temp at the same level. However we are seeing equivalent pot temps about 3C colder than we would expect from temps.

These two factors work in our favour in the sense that its 'colder' than implied by the T850s. I should add there is one thing working against us, the pressure is high which means the 850 level is higher than usual. However altogether the two 'cold' factors outweigh the one 'warm factor'.

Basically its colder than you think its going to be.

Without it we have a waft of anomalously ‘not that cold’ air from the east, and I’m probably not the only one who doesn’t really get excited by this ‘modern’ version of an easterly. The retrogression signal might return, but given the results so far this winter I wouldn’t bank on it.

Daffs poking up now. Let’s sack off any further teases. Met office mid range should climb back into the fence today or tomorrow. 

Not now but go back to the ensembles 4 days ago and there was excellent support for at least one week of bitterly cold easterlies for the S.E.

True actually.