But wow, 12Z ICON and ARPEGE is a big improvement isn't it!

I think GFS 12z was slightly further south also which is promising but in just a few hours we will see how it plays out in reality.

Total non event. Met warning failure 

I don't think your post will age well, but we'll see. The MetO text forecast for the SE even mentions rain/sleet to start with, turning to snow later on. And it's what the models have shown for a while too.

"Cloudy, with rain and sleet turning to snow for a time and moving northeast this evening."

Well, firstly the front hasn’t arrived yet and secondly the wording for the south of England says “any snow in southern and eastern parts of England, especially at low levels, will probably be rather transient before turning back to rain.”

https://modeles14.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo/runs/2025010412/ukmohd_uk1-46-36-0.png?04-17 

UKMO model shows 30cm of snow for populated parts of W Yorkshire including North and West Leeds , Bradford, Halifax  and then up to Harrogate as well as Pennine towns of Lancashire. Some areas close to 40cm. 

Requires it all to come together, it could all move through more quickly etc as sometimes seems to happen on the day. 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/Posts/t24211-Snow-Reports-for-January-2025 

Hope you do well in my old stomping ground Tim, I'll be looking out for your posts ❄️❄️

Still, right near the centre of the low the winds will be so light that this effect could diminish.

Part of me is expecting a rain (inital light)->snow (early morning)->rain (as uppers rise to 0C)->snow (as winds fall light)->rain (as winds pick up again)->snow (back edge) event

Anyway the 0Z is another shift south with the 18Z aberation more or less corrected so we are back to the 12Z of yesterday or even slightly further south.

The LP centre and light wind zone should be interesting, wonder how widespread freezing rain is.

FWIW, this was the scene in my road last night (as taken by my neighbour, I was fast asleep), after several hours of drizzle, rain and sleet, and with temperatures above freezing for the previous 15 hours or so - indeed, temperatures remained above freezing even as the snow fell.

You don't need freezing temperatures for snow to settle, just a low enough dewpoint and heavy enough snow.

https://i.postimg.cc/Bn7fwdwg/snow.jpg 

Yes, this is a bit of an IMBY post, but like Jiries said, I pay my council tax and mortgage so I have every right to go on about my location. 🤣

That right Ian 🤣

Regarding this Low, there some things need to check, temperatures, intensity of the precips and timing, but first 2 really need to be colder and not less cold temps like this one today and not being light to dandruff snow affairs.  If this move north not good for Midlands as it will be cloudy and prevent proper snow showers or other features passing here as temps will be more colder during the week.

Will see that if this good and prolong heavy enough but not a good timing as many going back to schoo/work like me tomorrow during the 7am to 7pm shift so will not see much of it except break time. No window at my work place only at the canteen.