The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
27 August 2024 07:48:50

Feels like we are already well into autumn now, it's gloomy, wet and windy with wet leaves everywhere already! The garden is just about finished.

Time to head for 3 weeks of sun ☀️☀️☀️

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Given the summer which we've just had, it would just be like the thing if "summer" finally arrived here in terms of our weather just as we're heading into the actual meteorological autumn, and the latest model output even seems to be suggesting that at the moment.

That happened last year and from that, we had our highest temperatures of the entire year at the beginning of September although that spell of weather didn't last all that long and September 2023 was actually a poor month overall despite the hot and sunny start to it.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Jiries
27 August 2024 08:13:49

Given the summer which we've just had, it would just be like the thing if "summer" finally arrived here in terms of our weather just as we're heading into the actual meteorological autumn, and the latest model output even seems to be suggesting that at the moment.

That happened last year and from that, we had our highest temperatures of the entire year at the beginning of September although that spell of weather didn't last all that long and September 2023 was actually a poor month overall despite the hot and sunny start to it.

johncs2016 wrote:

This time round will be low to mid 20's here next early month with lot of sunny days that i had not seen this summer or geninue high temps under full sun, only 25c was the highest for near sunny day while 29C was rejected due to over cast spike heat type.  This week warm weather failed for everyone as the wind, rain and cool temps spreading SE ward so reaching the SE by later today and prevent all of us from mid to high 20's tomorrow.  No sure why the front suddenly appear, stall and move slowly destroying this week sunny warm weather.

Can’t wait for September to arrive.

Chunky Pea
27 August 2024 08:42:09
Humid sun breaking out after a very dreary morning. Despite warnings of heavy rain and floods overnight, only 3mm fell in total. Serious busted forecast by the models and the national met service. 
Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Jiries
27 August 2024 09:26:20
Reports of overcast skies in Southampton so it moving faster to SE than forecast.  They need to cancel this fictional warm spike out to forecast overcast skies wet and very cool today to tomorrow all areas.
Retron
27 August 2024 13:56:49
A not very good forecast from the Met Office today... they've really been off the boil recently.

For context, the automated shows highs of 25 today and 28 tomorrow, and the high so far today has been 26.

The text forecast, meanwhile, says this:

Today:

Dry and bright for much of the day. Misty start with low cloud near some coasts, mostly clearing through Tuesday morning. Sunshine often looking hazy given thin, high cloud across most areas. Breezy and feeling warm by afternoon. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Tonight:

...

Wednesday:

Variable cloud amounts Wednesday morning and remaining mostly dry. A lot of bright weather with sunny spells. Chance of a shower later, mainly in west, perhaps rather heavy. Winds light. Maximum temperature 27 °C.

I'd love to know why they're predicting lower temperatures than their own model shows! Not for the first time, and TBH how hard can it be to do a sweep of the highest temperatures the modelling is throwing out in an area, and use THAT for the "maximum temperature" bit? Very hard, apparently.


Leysdown, north Kent
Crepuscular Ray
27 August 2024 14:51:47
Come up here Retron, another damp windy day with drizzle at times, quite warm today though at 20 C

Can't wait to see 3 weeks of blue sky after this years dull, damp winter and spring and poor summer. I've experienced 25 C once this year, the rest nowhere near! Hardly any long sunny days

Rain is much heavier as I type 😧


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Retron
27 August 2024 17:09:21

Come up here Retron, another damp windy day with drizzle at times, quite warm today though at 20 C

Can't wait to see 3 weeks of blue sky after this years dull, damp winter and spring and poor summer. I've experienced 25 C once this year, the rest nowhere near! Hardly any long sunny days

Rain is much heavier as I type 😧

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

I went on holiday to Edinburgh (and Aberdeen, and Inverness) one year back in the 90s - a lovely part of the world, and unlike here the sun (which was in abundance, typical) didn't have the "zap factor" that it has down here - it was mid-August, but felt like early September does here.

The main reason I'm staying put down here btw is because I inherited my childhood home - if I leave it, I'll never get it back and I know it'd gnaw at me. That and I hold out a (forlorn) hope of a classic easterly, 80s style, or even something I've never seen - snow falling and settling on Christmas Day. I just know if I were to leave here it'd be the one year it happens, and never again!

Still, there's always the option of a holiday up north. I've been to several colder places for a week or two in summer over the years... Scotland, northern England, Finland, Sweden, Alaska - and lovely though they are, they don't have that feeling of "home".

And back to the weather moans, it's still 24C outside and a "lovely" 27C indoors. I've had to put the portable a/c on again and it's something I'd hoped I wouldn't need now that autumn is just around the corner.


Leysdown, north Kent
Tim A
27 August 2024 19:45:03
Currently in SW Belgium in the hills about 350m asl. It feels late summer here now too, took ages to warm up today and the sun has lost its sting. 25c max was near perfect and warm into the evening.  South of France a few days ago still felt like high summer though. 

The house i am staying in has the bedrooms downstairs which are very cool and the living space upstairs, certainty makes sleeping much easier. 


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

picturesareme
27 August 2024 20:51:58

This time round will be low to mid 20's here next early month with lot of sunny days that i had not seen this summer or geninue high temps under full sun, only 25c was the highest for near sunny day while 29C was rejected due to over cast spike heat type.  This week warm weather failed for everyone as the wind, rain and cool temps spreading SE ward so reaching the SE by later today and prevent all of us from mid to high 20's tomorrow.  No sure why the front suddenly appear, stall and move slowly destroying this week sunny warm weather.

Can’t wait for September to arrive.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

😂😂😂😂 I hate to disappoint but mid twenties today with plenty of sunshine and looking warmer again tomorrow. The crud looks like staying were it belongs - Scotland & Northern England.

Jiries
28 August 2024 05:30:32

😂😂😂😂 I hate to disappoint but mid twenties today with plenty of sunshine and looking warmer again tomorrow. The crud looks like staying were it belongs - Scotland & Northern England.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

I always wonder how high it can reach here as it hit 23 in very short time of sun lasting few mins so I am sure 27 to 28 can be reach if full sun.  Those clouds had been a massive hurdle and access denied from any sun allowed out between 8am to 6pm. I strongly believe there cloud seedings, control timing when form and go away exact times and man made frontal slap over HP every single time to disallowed most areas to access warm and sunny weather.  

Jiries
28 August 2024 07:53:49
Just seen Alderc post showing all clouds cover all over UK while France sunny?  Definitely all warmth are cancelled now.  
picturesareme
28 August 2024 11:23:24

Just seen Alderc post showing all clouds cover all over UK while France sunny?  Definitely all warmth are cancelled now.  

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Warmth cancelled??  It was already 24C at midday .

Jiries
28 August 2024 11:28:44

Warmth cancelled??  It was already 24C at midday .

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

See honest posts in other forum and there no sunny and warmth anywhere so it cancelled. Even Leeds forecast 25 with sun failed it light rain and over cast.

LeedsLad123
28 August 2024 11:50:35

See honest posts in other forum and there no sunny and warmth anywhere so it cancelled. Even Leeds forecast 25 with sun failed it light rain and over cast.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

It’s 21C with some hazy sunny spells here now but it’s been a much slower start than forecast. Any rain was supposed to be reserved for west of the Pennines but we had light rain earlier, and there’s currently a big blob of rain affecting the East Midlands pushing into East Yorkshire which definitely wasn’t forecast.

The Met Office are saying a high of 25C here today. Still possible but I think we will probably fall short due to cloud cover being more extensive than forecast.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
picturesareme
28 August 2024 11:56:45

See honest posts in other forum and there no sunny and warmth anywhere so it cancelled. Even Leeds forecast 25 with sun failed it light rain and over cast.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Here are your overcast skies down here..

UserPostedImage 

UserPostedImage 

Jiries
28 August 2024 12:16:44

Here are your overcast skies down here..

UserPostedImage 

UserPostedImage 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

Despite few clouds I can see but unfortunately the majority of population had their promised forecast sunny and warm cancelled and no recovery now.  Can't wait for September to deliver real warm sunny weather to arrive and will possible give me highest warmest max for the year under full sun.

Retron
28 August 2024 12:21:56

Here are your overcast skies down here..

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

And here they are in down in Kent - looking towards the trees to the NE, then under the trees looking SW.

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/sun4.jpg 

UserPostedImage

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/sun5.jpg 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
28 August 2024 12:36:14

And here they are in down in Kent - looking towards the trees to the NE, then under the trees looking SW.

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/sun4.jpg 

UserPostedImage

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/sun5.jpg 

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Most of them had none of this  but for sure when the so-called cooler weather come later this week will be much far warmer to mid 20's with full sunshine to make up for this fake warm cloudy spell lately.

Tim A
28 August 2024 19:30:19
Driving north today  from Belgium it was basically roasting everywhere apart from West Yorkshire.  Maybe exaggerated by getting back here at 7.30 this evening  when things are a bit cooler, but still a pretty big contrast. The house is only 18.2c too.

 29.5c on the car thermometer was the highest around NW Kent and South Cambridgeshire. The high cloud appeared north of Cambridge and got significantly cooler north of Doncaster. The parched landscape changes pretty quickly around the Yorkshire border too! 


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

tierradelfuego
28 August 2024 20:05:26
Looking forward to 4 days in Chamonix from tomorrow. Forecast looks to be sunny and about 27c every day, with just the chance of an afternoon shower, so pretty good.

Thankfully not competing but watching some of the fittest people on Earth running the UTMB with an ascent equivalent of climbing Everest from sea level in a 100 mile race. They start at 6pm Friday and the 1st will finish around 2pm on Saturday.


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Ally Pally Snowman
29 August 2024 04:32:02
Cambridge peaked yesterday at 30.1c. So the 8th official 30c day this year for the UK.

Last year we had 14 , seven of which were in September. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
LeedsLad123
29 August 2024 11:47:40
With the final rainfall total for the month looking to be 26mm, this will be our driest month since June last year, and only the 2nd drier-than-average month of 2024 (the other being June). Fingers crossed for a dry autumn and winter - feels like it's been an age since we've had a proper anticyclonic autumn.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
doctormog
29 August 2024 18:02:47
Autumn started here in August and the removal from the forecasts for any dry warm period that had been forecast for the weekend and beyond just compounds that. 95mm of rain so far this month. It seems a long long time since there has been a spell of warm settled weather here.
Jiries
29 August 2024 20:32:44

Autumn started here in August and the removal from the forecasts for any dry warm period that had been forecast for the weekend and beyond just compounds that. 95mm of rain so far this month. It seems a long long time since there has been a spell of warm settled weather here.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Had not see any warm settled spell at all this year and n over UK not even in Spring as well.  Every summer I always recorded over 30C with full sunshine from Epsom to Nuneaton but this year first time ever in my life not to see a 30C with full sunshine. but lucky to be in the Philppines where it was over 30C daily.  Today was a lot warmer with more sun availabe and some recovery to warm up indoors to 25C room after very cool recent few days under overcast skies which disabled any warmth going to over 23C and not reached 30C in the conservatory until today back to 35C.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
30 August 2024 05:34:19
I welcome the return in the forecast of the traditional thunderstorms-drifting-up-from -France-overnight scenario, which has been sadly absent over recent years. A pity that most of the action according to MetO will be over E Kent rather than W Sussex - but it wasn't even in the forecast a couple of days ago, so we shall see.
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

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