The Weather Outlook

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ballamar
  • ballamar
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 May 2024 08:01:50
Well tomorrow looks like the first real potential for decent storms in the South / South East. Decent CAPE/LI for a time tomorrow from midnight onwards. Decent gusty winds and some large hail possible. 
warrenb
01 May 2024 09:14:37
Yes the french seem particularly worried by this event.
Tonbridge 45m 
StoneCroze
01 May 2024 12:01:10
Yes, local Met. Office broadcasts have mentioned this. I think at present due to slide up past my East over the Cotentin peninsular.
Alderney, Channel Islands. (previously known as Beaufort)
nsrobins
01 May 2024 13:19:40
Even the convective ‘biased’ models are struggling a bit with tonight, with a broad range of trajectory and severity on show.

Let’s see what the 12Zs offer, but in chasing parlance I’d be sitting it out with a steak and code somewhere within 100 miles of the potential solutions. 

 

Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 May 2024 14:02:14
In the midst of all this, it wasn't surprising to experience just how humid it was when I was out for a walk this morning.
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 May 2024 18:32:05
Looks as if most of the action will be over Dorset moving NW into Somerset, but I might get woken up about 2am by an extension to the main area. Also a line of downpours from Newbury to the Thames Estuary developing at about that time and persisting as it drifts slowly N-wards.
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Crepuscular Ray
01 May 2024 21:36:58
Loads of strikes over northern France coming NW across the channel you lucky southerners! Cold Haar is as exciting as it gets up here
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Matty H
01 May 2024 23:07:38
We’ve had some decent drizzle in our warning area. 
Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

+1
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 May 2024 23:55:11
Should currently look good from beachy Head

http://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=0.00; 

 

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Gandalf The White
01 May 2024 23:59:16
The radar returns are showing pockets with intensity of around 4-6 in per hour (100-150mm) approaching the south coast. There’s another cluster drifting east towards Essex, developing into quite a significant area of heavy rain.
Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
02 May 2024 00:07:46
First (distant) flash of lightning. Too far away to hear thunder
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Highdownfox
02 May 2024 00:23:03
An almost constant rumble heard from here with a couple of close ones too.
An overly tidy house is just evidence of a wasted life.

Worthing, West Sussex

picturesareme
02 May 2024 00:33:05
Just heard a nice rumble of thunder whilst watching the TV.
picturesareme
02 May 2024 01:15:08
Now some powerful lightning with over head thunder. Only a few every 4-5 minutes but with spectacular lightning. 

Looking like the main core of torrential rain is still out east.

Retron
02 May 2024 03:58:31
Two rumbles of thunder last night, a few heavy dobs of rain but not even enough to tip the guage - thoroughly unexciting. Looking at the radar though it seems plenty of people in the SE will be rubbing their bleary eyes this morning! 😁
Leysdown, north Kent
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
02 May 2024 05:27:04
11C cloudy with rain moving away in a fresh westerly breeze.

I left the bedroom curtains open last night and a window, just in case of a light and sound show.

Nothing. 

Only moderate or heavy rain.

Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
02 May 2024 06:09:45
Frequent lightning and thunder for a while around 01:00, not much rain.  Second storm soon after 03:00, very frequent lightning and thunder with torrential rain with hail but moved through fairly quickly.  10.8mm in total.
Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex, 121m asl.
ballamar
  • ballamar
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
02 May 2024 06:44:45
Had some constant lightning and loud thunder not directly overhead and in the mix was what sounded like some large hail - new growth on some trees knocked off as evidence. Would say almost a very good storm not quite overhead.
Retron
02 May 2024 06:51:42
Here's the radar for 3:15 this morning, when some storms passed close by here (but it stayed dry).

I don't think I've ever seen such an extensive amount of "off the scale" rainfall before!

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/radar.jpg UserPostedImage

Leysdown, north Kent
+2
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
02 May 2024 07:13:15
BBC Radio Sussex quoting Meto as recording 35,000 lightning strikes last night, mostly over the Channel. I don't know if they included lightning over France in this total?

One strike hit a Hall of Residence in the University of Chichester and another a care home near Bognor with severe roof damage. No personal injuries or fire reported.

Apparently one ingredient in triggering the storms was 28C temp in the Paris region yesterday

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Chichesterweatherfan2
02 May 2024 07:16:38

BBC Radio Sussex quoting Meto as recording 35,000 lightning strikes last night, mostly over the Channel. I don't know if they included lightning over France in this total?

One strike hit a Hall of Residence in the University of Chichester and another a care home near Bognor with severe roof damage. No personal injuries or fire reported.

Originally Posted by: DEW 

goodness! It was quite spectacular lightening and thunder here in Chichester around 1.30pm..lasted a good hour…absolutely stunning lightening displays …no chance of sleep whilst that was going on! 

Jiries
02 May 2024 07:37:39

goodness! It was quite spectacular lightening and thunder here in Chichester around 1.30pm..lasted a good hour…absolutely stunning lightening displays …no chance of sleep whilst that was going on! 

Originally Posted by: Chichesterweatherfan2 

Amazing but stupid really due to temperatures yesterday was not hot over there but produced severe storm but when we had a 40C heat in 2022, didn't provide storms but, dry, cool and cloudy next day.   

idj20
02 May 2024 08:00:47
Folkestone Shield was effective last night where there hadn’t been a single drop, did get to see some distance lightning in the horizon all around me but overall it has been an uneventful night. 😁
Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
warrenb
02 May 2024 10:00:56
Tonbridge shield also affective last night, rained for about 5 minutes and although continuous flashing lightning, only got close enough to hear thunder twice. 0.5mm recorded.
Tonbridge 45m 

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