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Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
Saturday, November 26, 2022 1:06:49 PM

After one of the warmest autumns on record with barely a frost for most of lowland southern England we now see signs of a change with high pressure set to build to the north and east of the country in the week ahead - This will lead to cooler temperatures and a continental flow bringing drier conditions but also with the risk of overnight mist and fog as well as frost... This could be the beginning of a change to much colder weather for December but at the moment there's a lot of uncertainty about this.

Saturday morning has been dry across central and eastern regions but the west has turned cloudy and damp. This afternoon and evening will see wet weather gradually spreading eastwards with some quite heavy rain in places although it will be showery in nature. Eastern counties will probably remain dry until after dark while the far west turns drier by evening. Winds will be strong and gusty with 60MPH gusts possible around western coasts. Despite the wet and windy weather at least it will be mild with temperatures of 6C to 12C.

Overnight, wet and windy weather continues to push eastwards with most places becoming drier through the second half of the night though the rain is likely to linger until morning across the south and south east. At the same time showers are likely for western Scotland and Northern Ireland. A windy night but a very mild night with temperatures holding at 6C to 12C.

Sunday will keep the wet weather going for most of the day across the far south and south east of the country. Most places will have a drier day though with bright or sunny spells and scattered heavy showers across western Scotland, Northern Ireland and north west England. Temperatures 5C to 11C.

Monday finds the country under a shallow trough of low pressure which brings more showers to the north and west but many central, southern and eastern counties should stay dry with bright or sunny spells. The showers could merge into longer spells of rain through Wales and south west England. Temperatures will be cooler at 4C to 10C.

A ridge of high pressure builds over the country on Tuesday. Most places should have a dry day with bright or sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. A few showers are still possible in the west but these should be mostly light and scattered. Watch out for patchy fog on Tuesday morning and more widely on Tuesday night. Temperatures range from 4C to 10C.

High pressure will be dominating the weather on Wednesday. A weather system could bring cloud and rain to Northern Ireland and western Scotland while the rest of the country stays dry. There will be bright or sunny spells but dense fog patches could also be widespread especially through central and eastern regions and some of the fog patches could linger all day. A cold day where fog lingers with temperatures on around 3C but otherwise a chilly day at 4C to 9C.

High pressure continues to strengthen over Scandinavia through Thursday and Friday but just how much of an easterly wind we get is very uncertain. Generally most places should stay dry with more dense fog patches early and late. Parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland could have rain at times and there's also a risk that easterly winds could freshen across England and Wales with a few wintry showers on the east coast by next weekend perhaps? Temperatures 3C to 8C with overnight frost becoming more widespread. Very uncertain!

Summary: Starting very mild with more wind and rain. Becoming drier and colder next week with an increasing risk of overnight fog and frost.
Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @
Hungry Tiger
Saturday, November 26, 2022 3:18:25 PM
Thanks Gavin P.
Another of your nice and well composed forecasts.

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Saturday, November 26, 2022 3:34:32 PM
Cheers Sir Partridge.
Folkestone Harbour. 
Saturday, November 26, 2022 3:50:46 PM
Thanks Gavin, as always.
Saturday, November 26, 2022 6:05:50 PM

Cheers Gav  
Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L

Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
Saturday, November 26, 2022 7:40:36 PM

Thanks guys 👍

Loving the new look TWO forum 😁
Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @
Saturday, November 26, 2022 10:49:24 PM
Very mild for the time of year. Will upset Averages.

Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
David M Porter
Sunday, November 27, 2022 12:46:32 PM
Thanks Gavin!
Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
Tuesday, November 29, 2022 8:46:03 AM
Thanks so much ART and David 😃
Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @
Saint Snow
Tuesday, November 29, 2022 10:59:19 AM
Thanks for posting this, Gavin - always a great read. We miss you posting more regularly here 😉

How do you feel this is going to evolve?

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
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