I think there’s a SpecSavers joke in here.

Suffice to say I didn’t think your chart reading skills were that defective.

Quite a different evolution in terms of the chain of LP systems shown in the 12z has gone, to be replaced by a deep, stalling LP over Newfoundland, which is promoting another burst of WAA to reinforce the upper block in the Iceland area.   

Define South - you are misleading people 

lol

Totally agree K , it's a good run 

I think I'd settle for a repeat of that, although it did turn mild in the last 4 days of the month.

I disagree, unless you mean the Isle of Wight and southern coastal counties.

Probably ice day for big day 25th most of England,

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/temperatures-2m/210h.htm

mix out S/w 

Snow showers becoming heavy  Eastern districts 

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/850-hpa/210h.htm

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/210h.htm

Well that;s no good with rain behind it and for much of the south!??

Less of that thank you 😊 😂

The 18Z GFS mean has shunted the sliding trough 100 miles south again and some of the individual members (currently out to +180) are very tasty indeed.

There will be more wobbles to come and we’re not there yet but the ‘buzz’ that we could be on the cusp of a very rare event - snow on Christmas Day - is gaining momentum.

I like the GFS operational at T+240. I do like stuff that starts on Boxing Day 

Of course there is the distinct possibility that the slider will miss us completely 

Decent runs tonight. White Meadows is probably getting mislead by believing the 850Hpa's of -1 or -2c will bring rain. In normal circumstances that would be the case but that rule goes out of the window when you're tugging in a low level cold feed off a near frozen near continent. 

Excellent mean Xmas Day 

The fire is so delightful, as the weather outside is frightful, and

we got nowhere to go (‘cos of Covid) - so

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!

priceless - love this forum.

Exactly, something we have to re-emphasise every winter.  The rules for snow are very different with a low level continental feed. Then, of course, there’s the issue of any decent snowfall intensity driving the freezing point down towards the surface.

Maybe it's because this set of conditions has been so rare in recent years (decades?).
It's easy to forget that around just south of 0C will suffice when the continent is in a wintery grip with a favorable wind direction and DPs.

00z a huge upgrade for the north. Could be the snowiest Christmas in living memory if it panned out like that.
Let’s see if ECM starts to wobble this morning.

GEM on the other hand continues shifting the pattern north, leaving high risk of heavy rain & strong winds for many.