I've just been browsing through the latest 5 day and 10 day precipitation maps which Brian often shows in his videos over on YouTube and according to those charts, Edinburgh isn't expected to get more than 15 mm of rain during the next 10 days.
Whilst the rest of the UK has had a very wet start to this month, it has been a completely different story here in Edinburgh. I won't quote this month's totals here as that is what the monthly precipitation threads are for, but those of you who have seen my reports on this month's precipitation thread will noticed that in complete contrast to what is happening elsewhere, we have actually had a fairly dry start to this month here in Edinburgh, though not as dry as how September started off.
This is happening because the major low pressure systems which are crossing the UK and giving those large rainfall totals elsewhere are missing this part of the world virtually altogether and even the last system which moved up the east coast towards NE Scotland, managed to miss us to our east here in Edinburgh.
In addition to that, the upcoming weather system which is expected to move in towards the middle part of the week is being forecast to miss us to our south according to the latest model output, and that has recently been a recurring feature of those secondary lows, even when the parent low has been to our north.
However, we have some ongoing downpours at the moment which are turning out to be much heavier than what had been forecast for here. In addition to that, the latest Met Office forecasts suggests that although this next upcoming system is still expected to miss us altogether, we might end up getting some rain later on this week from the remnants of Hurricane Sam as a result of that now coming a bit further SE than what had originally been forecast.
In addition to that, there is even the possibility that a trailing cold front from that same system could hang around here even as we head into the weekend, so perhaps the outlook for here might not be so dry after all.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.