It would be hard for this to go sub 16 surely? Especially with the last few days relatively mathematically insignificant.

Interesting that with a few exceptions, the Had line and GWs are so parallel- and we know how accurate GWs estimates are towards the end of the month. Makes me think we shouldn't bother with the provisional HadCET data during the month- or take a fixed amount off. I still wonder why it's worth publishing them at all even as 'provisional'. 

Regarding this month, only the 1st and 2nd were sub 20 max here. I have only a few summer months in my records (back to 1860 fairly locally and the 1990s here) when 20C was exceeded on all days in the month and no Septembers. Obviously there will be some < 20 days in the cooler end-month spell but quite a month nonetheless.

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The provisional CET data is a complete waste of time in my view as it is not accurate. The good news is that the Met Office is updating the CET data set soon with a fully traceable system. They have been promising this for a while so I won't hold my breathe. Their website has been saying the following since early this year:

"This version of CET will be superseded by CETv2 later in 2021. This will be a fully traceable system, with improved homogenisation and data adjustments to ensure a more consistent data-set through history and up to the present day. Further details to follow in due course."

That's the first I've heard of it and it does sound promising- exciting even. But then, I haven't felt your exasperation waiting for it!

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Met Office Hadley      16.8c      Anomaly      3.0c provisional to 24th

Metcheck                   16.15c    Anomaly      2.43c

Netweather                16.76c    Anomaly      3.07c

Peasedown St John   16.28c    Anomaly     2.0c.       

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I guess if September had 31 days and not 30 we'd be very likely to be under 16C?

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Another month where I was miles out with my prediction.

Will have to try and guess better in October, do I just guess now, or wait 4 days and still guess wrong.

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You and everyone else

Everyone has gone too low in September and everyone except Hippydave went too high in August

I guess we are all more predictable than the actual weather on here

 

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Yes
I guess I'd just seen the "scorching hot start to September followed by 3 weeks of cool dross" pattern too many times to believe this year would be the exception
But it truly has been. September started on full blast summer mode and even now as I sit here in the 26th , this could pass for a mid July day easily. As could almost any day in the month.

Slight Rise..

Met Office Hadley      16.9c.      Anomaly      3.1c provisional to 25th

Metcheck                   16.18c     Anomaly      2.46c

Netweather                16.8c       Anomaly      3.1c

Peasedown St John   16.3c      Anomaly     2.02c.          

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4 days left - Shame a change is taking place from tomorrow - If that hadn't happened reckon we could have a 17.0C

 

 

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June and July were lovely here but August was very cloudy and has been far surpassed by September!  If this month had been like August, it would have been a long winter but I don’t mind going into Autumn now we’ve had some warm sunshine! 

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Met Office Hadley      16.9c      Anomaly      3.1c provisional to 26th

Metcheck                   16.21c    Anomaly      2.49c

Netweather                16.81c    Anomaly      3.12c

Peasedown St John    16.27c    Anomaly      1.99c. 

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Met Office Hadley        16.8c        Anomaly       3.0c provisional to 27th

Metcheck                     16..06c     Anomaly       2.34c

Netweather                  16.72c      Anomaly       3.03c

Peasedown St John     16.1c        Anomaly      1.82c.            

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Mean falling quickly now but final 2 or 3 days won't make much difference, currently 14.6C (+2.0C) here

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Met Office Hadley       16.6c       Anomaly       2.9c provisional to 28th

Metcheck                    15.89c     Anomaly       2.17c

Netweather                 16.58c     Anomaly       2.89c

Peasedown St John    16.1c     ANOMALY       1.82C.  

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Met Office Hadley        16.4c       Anomaly       2.8c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                     15.71c     Anomaly       1.98c

Netweather                  16.28c     Anomaly       2.69c

Peasedown St John     15.72c     Anoamlyy      1.44c.

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No October temp thread?

 

(hope late entries don't get docked )

 

 

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I was just looking for the October thread myself. I'm sure Mr GW will give us reasonable time to get our predictions (guesses) in after the thread appears. 

Not sure why I'm that interested really as I must be near rock bottom after September 

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I'll sticky the October thread as soon as I see it.

 

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021 . This is 0.09c higher than the final August figure.

So everyone ends too low for September, but with WI the closest - impressively, only 0.18c shy. Congrats, a big gain on the rest of the field!

Well done Whether Idle. An excellent prediction in a month of a big anomaly!

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021 . This is 0.09c higher than the final August figure.

So everyone ends too low for September, but with WI the closest - impressively, only 0.18c shy. Congrats, a big gain on the rest of the field!