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Bertwhistle
25 June 2021 15:04:56

Local mean max and min, despite 3 cold days and some cool nights, 21.4 and 12.0 so 16.7C. I take readings about 6.15am (BST currently) due to work so several days (like today) have a minimum considerably lower than the standard 10am GMT reading- this was 11 from yesterday's reading time, but would have been 15. This equates to almost another .2C for the min. Not vastly different but nonetheless.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
ARTzeman
26 June 2021 12:40:18

Met Office Hadley        15.8c       Anomaly      1.7c provisional to 25th


Metcheck                     15.94c     Anomaly       1.79c


Netweather                  16.28c     Anomaly       2.19c


Peasedown St John    15.99c     Anomaly   1.49c.  


 


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
27 June 2021 10:44:44

Met Office Hadley        15.7c       Anomaly        1.7c provisional to 26th


Metcheck                     15.91c     Anomaly         1.76c


Netweather                  16.25c     Anomaly         2.1c


Peasedown St John     16.0c      Anomaly       1.5c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
28 June 2021 10:07:22
Interesting to see the CET holding up despite actual Central England having had some stinkers in recent days. I think this is the Western bias of the CET manifesting itself - it's been unusually warm on the Lancashire plain and OKish in Worcestershire, while the Midlands and South have had the cool maxima. The opposite to what we often see during zonal warm spells where it's hot in London, Kent and Essex but 18C in Stonyhurst and the CET barely budges upwards.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
ARTzeman
28 June 2021 11:30:58

Met Office Hadley         `15.7c       Anomaly       1.6c  provisional to 27th


Metcheck                        15.88c     Anomaly       1.73c


Netweather                     16.24c     Anomaly       2.15c


Peasedown St John       16.05c      Anomaly      1.55c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Global Warming
29 June 2021 10:42:47

June has been a month of two halves. The first 17 days were well above average. The rest of the month has been below average or close to average. Overall still a warm month but not as warm as it first looked like it might be.


My current CET estimate is 15.50C


UserPostedImage


Chart 1


UserPostedImage


Chart 2

ARTzeman
29 June 2021 10:43:06

Met Office Hadley      15.7c      Anomaly        1.6c provisional to 28th


Metcheck                   15.81c     Anomaly        1.66c


Netweather                 16.2c      Anomaly        2.11c


Peasedown St John    15.72c     Anomaly      1.275c


         






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
30 June 2021 10:16:32


June has been a month of two halves. The first 17 days were well above average. The rest of the month has been below average or close to average. Overall still a warm month but not as warm as it first looked like it might be.


My current CET estimate is 15.50C


UserPostedImage


Chart 1


UserPostedImage


Chart 2


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


About 10 days ago, I had you nailed for a stonking month. 


I'm a bit disappointed the temp is so low; was hoping it would nobble quite a few in the competition 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
30 June 2021 10:28:58

Met Office Hadley        15.7c.      Anomaly      1.6c provisional to29th


Metcheck                     15.17c     Anomaly       1.62c


Netweather                  16.18c     Anomaly       2.09c


Peasedown St John    15.77c      Anomaly      1.27c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2021 06:25:44

July already!   Time for a new thread!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Global Warming
01 July 2021 10:12:13

The final June figure is 15.53C


https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021


Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Saint Snow
01 July 2021 10:14:47


The final June figure is 15.53C


https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021


Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


Congrats to WI, but a huge disappointment in the final figure after a great start.


The overall table isn't going to get the seismic jolt that a figure well into the 16's would have given.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Global Warming
01 July 2021 10:21:55

Here are the daily stats by station (per my calculations rather than official figures).


West was best this month. The maximum temperature at Stonyhurst was almost as high as Pershore College. In the final three days of the month, Stonyhurst was by far the warmest station.


UserPostedImage


Table

Global Warming
01 July 2021 10:39:31

Here are the charts for June


UserPostedImage


Chart 1


UserPostedImage


Chart 2


UserPostedImage


Chart 3

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2021 10:57:07


The final June figure is 15.53C


https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021


Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Oh wow!  Well done WI!  That is impressive!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Darren S
01 July 2021 11:13:26

Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month.


When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago.


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Global Warming
01 July 2021 11:15:02

Annual CET competition - June update


Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.


UserPostedImage


Table

Global Warming
01 July 2021 11:16:02


Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month.


When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago.


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


2014

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2021 11:17:30


Annual CET competition - June update


Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.


UserPostedImage


Table


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Still 5th so I shouldn't really complain but with a 15.92C prediction I had hoped for so much more this month....


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Darren S
01 July 2021 11:22:40


Annual CET competition - June update


Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.


UserPostedImage


Table


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


How the mighty have fallen! 


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Ally Pally Snowman
01 July 2021 11:27:58


Annual CET competition - June update


Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.


UserPostedImage


Table


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Heady days for me , very unusual. 


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
The Professional
01 July 2021 11:55:34


The final June figure is 15.53C


https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021


Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Well done WI. It must also be very unusual to have 6 entrants guess within 0.03c of the final result! I'm very happy finishing 0.02c away, particularly as it looked like I'd be a long way out at the halfway point.


Looking at the latest competition table, it's not ridiculous to say that anyone could still win it (including Darren!).

Frank H
01 July 2021 11:55:48

Well played Whether Idle


Wrightington, Wigan
redmoons
01 July 2021 13:27:18


The final June figure is 15.53C


https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021


Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


Well done WI 


Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://weather.andrewlalchan.co.uk 





Stormchaser
01 July 2021 13:29:18

Well done to all who were within half a degree of the actual this month. Given the two halves nature, it was a tricky one to pin down.


Incidentally, if you'd predicted the 1991-2020 average for every month so far, you'd be in 24th place, so it's not been an easy year to date!


I'm still hauling myself up the steps from near the bottom after the Jan-Feb fiasco. Especially Feb, without which I'd be in 8th place and a bit saner of mind .


 


Very interested in seeing the July estimates. It's one of those months which is starting differently to how most longer-range forecast products have been predicting it will be overall. Always a trickier customer!


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