The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Congrats to WI, but a huge disappointment in the final figure after a great start.

The overall table isn't going to get the seismic jolt that a figure well into the 16's would have given.

Here are the daily stats by station (per my calculations rather than official figures).

West was best this month. The maximum temperature at Stonyhurst was almost as high as Pershore College. In the final three days of the month, Stonyhurst was by far the warmest station.

Table

Here are the charts for June

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month.

When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago.

Annual CET competition - June update

Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.

Table

Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month.

When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago.

2014

Annual CET competition - June update

Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.

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Table

Still 5th so I shouldn't really complain but with a 15.92C prediction I had hoped for so much more this month....

Annual CET competition - June update

Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.

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Table

How the mighty have fallen! 

Annual CET competition - June update

Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month.

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Table

Heady days for me , very unusual. 

The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Well done WI. It must also be very unusual to have 6 entrants guess within 0.03c of the final result! I'm very happy finishing 0.02c away, particularly as it looked like I'd be a long way out at the halfway point.

Looking at the latest competition table, it's not ridiculous to say that anyone could still win it (including Darren!).

Well played Whether Idle

The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Well done WI 

Well done to all who were within half a degree of the actual this month. Given the two halves nature, it was a tricky one to pin down.

Incidentally, if you'd predicted the 1991-2020 average for every month so far, you'd be in 24th place, so it's not been an easy year to date!

I'm still hauling myself up the steps from near the bottom after the Jan-Feb fiasco. Especially Feb, without which I'd be in 8th place and a bit saner of mind .

Very interested in seeing the July estimates. It's one of those months which is starting differently to how most longer-range forecast products have been predicting it will be overall. Always a trickier customer!

Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month.

This month was cruel. 

PS - GW, a tiny point of order: I was sitting in 10th last month and am up to 7th; that's a rise of 3 places not 5. But thanks as always for your superb running of this comp.

The final June figure is 15.53C

https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

Well done to Whether Idle who was spot on with an exact prediction. Not often someone gets it correct to 2 decimals.

Thanks GW. I figured out the month of 2 halves, my thinking being  it was going to go downhill. Getting the month spot on was a tad on the fortunate side. But it moved me up only 5 places in the table as most people hedged their bets. Now to July!

The first half of 2021 has been pretty similiar to that of 1966

1996  2.9  5.7  6.5  7.2  11.0  15.4

2021  3.1  5.1  7.2  6.4  10.1  15.5

July 1966 had a CET of 15.0C....

Yes, it might be worth checking the latest table. I noticed a certain person in 22nd place has reduced their overall anomaly by about 0 5C this month and has jumped 14 places as a result.  Perhaps there was another correction to their results?

Edited by user  02 July 2021 09:05:27  | Reason: Not specified

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Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

 

 

 

This month was cruel. 

 

PS - GW, a tiny point of order: I was sitting in 10th last month and am up to 7th; that's a rise of 3 places not 5. But thanks as always for your superb running of this comp.

Sorry about that. I won't repost the table for that small error. I think the movements for everyone else are correct.