Gandalf The White
03 April 2021 16:45:45

You can't see the activity at the moment as it's snowing hard and the camera is coated snow.  I think we've been lucky until now.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
03 April 2021 17:00:17

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


You can't see the activity at the moment as it's snowing hard and the camera is coated snow.  I think we've been lucky until now.



I was looking at the charts earlier and thinking that I will see “our weather” (albeit diluted a little when it arrives) on the webcams in Iceland as it is en route to here. I can post a webcam link for here tomorrow but I am hoping there will be no volcano in view. 


Hippydave
03 April 2021 19:32:09

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I was looking at the charts earlier and thinking that I will see “our weather” (albeit diluted a little when it arrives) on the webcams in Iceland as it is en route to here. I can post a webcam link for here tomorrow but I am hoping there will be no volcano in view. 



The side view camera would suggest it's rain and low cloud rather than snow I think - still might be an appropriate mirror of your forthcoming weather if winter was anything to go by


The only thing of note lately, other than the fact the eruption flow has held steady is the little roof that had formed over the taller vent collapsed earlier, so the lava is back to being thrown out of that vent rather than mostly in to the roof. Makes it look a little more interesting if nothing else. 


I think it's still expected the lava will escape the valley if things continue, with I guess a timescale of 7-10 days or so assuming the flow continues as it is. 


 


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
Gandalf The White
03 April 2021 22:00:08

Originally Posted by: Hippydave 


 


The side view camera would suggest it's rain and low cloud rather than snow I think - still might be an appropriate mirror of your forthcoming weather if winter was anything to go by


The only thing of note lately, other than the fact the eruption flow has held steady is the little roof that had formed over the taller vent collapsed earlier, so the lava is back to being thrown out of that vent rather than mostly in to the roof. Makes it look a little more interesting if nothing else. 


I think it's still expected the lava will escape the valley if things continue, with I guess a timescale of 7-10 days or so assuming the flow continues as it is. 


 



It was definitely snow covering the lens of the webcam earlier.


The rate at which the lava continues to pour out does suggest the valley will overflow sooner rather than later.  I keep thinking back to the early days when people were walking around where it's now several feet deep.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Gandalf The White
03 April 2021 22:03:22

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I was looking at the charts earlier and thinking that I will see “our weather” (albeit diluted a little when it arrives) on the webcams in Iceland as it is en route to here. I can post a webcam link for here tomorrow but I am hoping there will be no volcano in view. 



That would surely make Richard's day. The most wretched climate in the entire country and now ash and smoke from a bl**dy volcano spoils what could have been a half-decent day. 🤔😉


🤣


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
04 April 2021 05:46:50

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


That would surely make Richard's day. The most wretched climate in the entire country and now ash and smoke from a bl**dy volcano spoils what could have been a half-decent day. 🤔😉


🤣




Hippydave
04 April 2021 08:36:00

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


It was definitely snow covering the lens of the webcam earlier.


The rate at which the lava continues to pour out does suggest the valley will overflow sooner rather than later.  I keep thinking back to the early days when people were walking around where it's now several feet deep.



Fair enough, bit hard to tell sometimes with that cam view as it's high enough up to get covered in cloud too. It's definitely snowed a bit overnight judging by this morning's view (snowing lightly now).


This was a brief but fun overview of the valley from a flight a few days back, you can move the camera view to have a look around:-


https://youtu.be/LvZTBcZy7Ak 


 


 


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
Gandalf The White
04 April 2021 19:07:35
There is some evidence of new vents opening up on the far right hand side, using this cam

http://k100streymi.mbl.is/spila/webcam0 

Activity is intermittent but there have been small bursts from two or three points.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
04 April 2021 19:50:19

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

There is some evidence of new vents opening up on the far right hand side, using this cam

http://k100streymi.mbl.is/spila/webcam0

Activity is intermittent but there have been small bursts from two or three points.


I am not sure if they are new vents or bursts of lava pushing through the partially cooled and solidified surface. The pressure build up below the surface would make it look like a new vent and at least some form of “fountaining”.


Hippydave
04 April 2021 20:16:26

One of the things that'll be interesting in the weeks/months ahead is whether this eruption continues and if it doesn't, if this is part 1 of an ongoing series of events. I think initially some people were thinking this would be a minor event but with the flow rate remaining steady this suggests the dyke is being refilled, which means a longer lasting eruption. 


I think historically eruptions in the Peninsula have been a series of eruptions that collectively last a long time so it's not out of the question this could be the start of a fairly active period that could last decades (or longer!). 


Or it could all fizzle in a few weeks and that's it


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
doctormog
04 April 2021 20:31:45

Originally Posted by: Hippydave 


One of the things that'll be interesting in the weeks/months ahead is whether this eruption continues and if it doesn't, if this is part 1 of an ongoing series of events. I think initially some people were thinking this would be a minor event but with the flow rate remaining steady this suggests the dyke is being refilled, which means a longer lasting eruption. 


I think historically eruptions in the Peninsula have been a series of eruptions that collectively last a long time so it's not out of the question this could be the start of a fairly active period that could last decades (or longer!). 


Or it could all fizzle in a few weeks and that's it






I agree and have no idea if it will last for days or decades. It’s fascinating and I feel there is still a massive amount to be learned in this area.


Gandalf The White
04 April 2021 21:03:05

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I am not sure if they are new vents or bursts of lava pushing through the partially cooled and solidified surface. The pressure build up below the surface would make it look like a new vent and at least some form of “fountaining”.



Thanks, Michael. I didn't realise that was possible.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
05 April 2021 06:13:02

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


It was definitely snow covering the lens of the webcam earlier.


The rate at which the lava continues to pour out does suggest the valley will overflow sooner rather than later.  I keep thinking back to the early days when people were walking around where it's now several feet deep.



In relation to your last point, just in case you were curious, mapping imagery on the 2nd of April indicates the mean lava depth in the valley was 19.3m around 63 feet). 


https://www.facebook.com/1736063373274429/posts/2875028089377946/ 


Gandalf The White
05 April 2021 07:18:27

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


In relation to your last point, just in case you were curious, mapping imagery on the 2nd of April indicates the mean lava depth in the valley was 19.3m around 63 feet). 


https://www.facebook.com/1736063373274429/posts/2875028089377946/ 



😮😮


I thought I was playing it on the safe side...


Clearly tricky to judge scale if it’s the equivalent of a 6-storey building - and growing.


Thanks


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
05 April 2021 13:02:50

It has been confirmed that a second fissure niw now formed 500m NE of the existing crater)



Edit: In fact there is now a live cam for the new fissure (in fact it is the original camera which has been moved to show the new tissue) https://youtu.be/BA-9QzIcr3c 


The original eruption site is still visible here: http://k100streymi.mbl.is/spila/webcam0 


And an aerial image to show the location of the new vent in relation to the original one:


 



Gandalf The White
05 April 2021 13:26:22

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


It has been confirmed that a second fissure niw now formed 500m NE of the existing crater)



Edit: In fact there is now a live cam for the new fissure (in fact it is the original camera which has been moved to show the new tissue) https://youtu.be/BA-9QzIcr3c 


The original eruption site is still visible here: http://k100streymi.mbl.is/spila/webcam0 


And an aerial image to show the location of the new vent in relation to the original one:


 




 


So, is that what I saw yesterday?  Those images from the new camera position look very similar to what I was watching yesterday.


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


doctormog
05 April 2021 13:30:56

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


 


So, is that what I saw yesterday?  Those images from the new camera position look very similar to what I was watching yesterday.


 



No, that is out of either of yesterday’s camera views and it has apparently only formed this morning (around 11:30am local time). They are currently evacuating the area as they investigate it further.


Hippydave
05 April 2021 14:31:44

Quite surprised another fissure has opened up so close, will be interesting to see what's going on underground. I'd guess another fissure probably means either the vent from the original dyke to the surface has become partially blocked allowing pressure elsewhere that's forced through more cracks to the surface or more magma is pushing in to the dyke and the pressure has led to a similar scenario. Alternatively it could just reflect the cracked nature of the rocks from the initial push and tremors and lava has been naturally pushing through additional cracks. (Or to put it another way, I've no idea what's going on!)


I guess the immediate question is will the new site starve the original of most of its lava or will they both continue?


 


 


 


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
doctormog
05 April 2021 15:39:51

There was a live broadcast from net the new fissure a short time ago and I did a little screen capture of it as I thought it showed the speed of the “lava river” quite nicely:



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