perhaps northern edge of front ‘fizzling’ a bit now before drifts away?

---

Fresh yellow warning issued for these parts for Tuesday

---

 

He's in York

Wonder whether Q and York will see their first significant snow of the winter on Tuesday? 

Personally I think it might be one of those occasions where York is too low,  and the snow disappears as you head down the A64 into the Vale of York.

---

 

Wonder whether Q and York will see their first significant snow of the winter on Tuesday? 

Personally I think it might be one of those occasions where York is too low,  and the snow disappears as you head down the A64 into the Vale of York.

Surprised more has not been mentioned about Tuesday’s potential snow........looks like some places could have it hanging around till the end of the week 

---

 

Surprised more has not been mentioned about Tuesday’s potential snow........looks like some places could have it hanging around till the end of the week 

 

Looks great for parts of Scotland , somewhere will probably hit the Jackpot , could be anywhere from Southern Uplands to the Highlands. 

---

 

Looks great for parts of Scotland , somewhere will probably hit the Jackpot , could be anywhere from Southern Uplands to the Highlands. 

Hopefully here then as its kinda in the middle of the two lol

---

After watching countryfile weather I'm so underwhelmed

---

From 3pm, had about 90 minutes of falling wet snow this afternoon, just too warm and wet underfoot to settle. Very pretty to walk in, though.

Special for southerners - quick before it disappears!

https://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20210131/12/174/uksnowrisk.png

 

---

Still looking good for a significant transient snowfall here tomorrow morning before turning to rain before or around lunchtime. Been quite well modeled this for days and I as certain as you can be about a snowfall that this will happen. Around 10cm seems to be the expected amount for central Northern England from the W Yorks/Greater Manchester border in the west to around the A1 in the East, as far south as Sheffield up into the Northern Pennines. Whilst it looks like pushing into Scotland it becomes patchier so there may not be as much, but more likely to stay in the colder air there.

https://modeles14.meteociel.fr/modeles/euro4/runs/2021020100/euro4_uk1-46-39-0.png?01-05 

---

Before then Tim there are 'wintry' showers coming into East Lothian and Fife this morning.
A small occlusion from the SW brings a threat of snow tonight before tomorrows snow over hills. In Edinburgh itself I suspect Tues-Thurs will see wet snow or even rain. It's just not cold enough

---

cant see how the weather warnings will remain for the lowland parts of britain today

was hoping to see some upgrades, but they havent come, this block of cold air hasnt really put up much of a fight.

So it seems this will be Pennine snow - again

outlook beyond this week looks average now, charts had been loaded with potential for weeks now, but doesnt seem like coming off.. fingers crossed for this to change

---

cant see how the weather warnings will remain for the lowland parts of britain today

was hoping to see some upgrades, but they havent come, this block of cold air hasnt really put up much of a fight.

So it seems this will be Pennine snow - again

outlook beyond this week looks average now, charts had been loaded with potential for weeks now, but doesnt seem like coming off.. fingers crossed for this to change

So same old typical event. The bulk of the snow over the Pennines and at lower levels to the east of the hills. Any snow here will be transient and soon reverts to rain.

Yawn.

---

 

So same old typical event. The bulk of the snow over the Pennines and at lower levels to the east of the hills. Any snow here will be transient and soon reverts to rain.

Yawn.

 

I feel sorry for the ski resorts in Scotland.. .probably the best year for snow for maybe a decade - maybe longer.  after years of rubbish...

 

this week theyre expecting another 30cm of snow over 5 days... continual snow... 

---

The Met Office have rain symbols for the whole morning at about 2-3°C, here. It means either one of two things - 1) we're just on the rain side of marginal, or 2) they're going to completely undershoot a snow event again, like they did with Storm Christoph around here.

---

The Met Office have rain symbols for the whole morning at about 2-3°C, here. It means either one of two things - 1) we're just on the rain side of marginal, or 2) they're going to completely undershoot a snow event again, like they did with Storm Christoph around here.

 

last time the marginal conditions swept through followed by some very cold air, this time, the marginal conditions have to hang on.  I cant see that happening.  the charts have shown a very progressive south westerly making mince meat of any cold air blocking which was much hyped.

 

I dont think it will be our turn this time...

---

Large parts of NW England still in the updated warning area so there is a chance particualrly in the east o the region.

 

Euro 4 updated , shows 15cm widely across these parts. Going to be chaos in the morning even if it will start melting late morning.

---

 

 

last time the marginal conditions swept through followed by some very cold air, this time, the marginal conditions have to hang on.  I cant see that happening.  the charts have shown a very progressive south westerly making mince meat of any cold air blocking which was much hyped.

 

I dont think it will be our turn this time...

 

We've been so close to several good snowfalls this winter. So frustrating; the stars haven't quite aligned for us. This another such case - the cold air clings on, what? about 50 miles away. We just get sleet then cold rain.

Can't even visit the more snow-bound areas 

---

The WRF is often a very good model for events like this. 

This is its forecast for tomorrow morning. 

I wouldn’t bet against snow in places like Leeds and Carlisle first thing, with snow just about all day in parts of Scotland. High ground around Edinburgh and Glasgow could do very well, if not the cities themselves. 

---

Yes the latest bbc TV forecast now has snow for Tues & Wed across the Central Belt and Southern Uplands

---