The Weather Outlook

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warrenb
07 August 2020 12:52:14
35c here now
Gusty
07 August 2020 12:52:30

30.1c here @ 13:52hrs

locally we are approx 1c lower than this time last week.


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Rob K
07 August 2020 12:53:02

35c here now

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

Real shame there is a shortage of official stations in Kent.

Thought we were doing well here, just broken 33C at 1.50pm

Cloud approaching though as can be seen on the webcam up the road: https://www.blackbusheairport.co.uk/weather/

 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

warrenb
07 August 2020 12:54:04
My station is a VP2 with FARS so should be pretty much bang on
Chunky Pea
07 August 2020 12:56:43

35c here now

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

I do not envy those in the SE of England with these sort of temps at all. Will be envious though when the inevitable thunderstorms get going over there over this weekend. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

scillydave
07 August 2020 12:56:54
35c at Heathrow now according to a Met Office employee on Twitter.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Hungry Tiger
07 August 2020 13:00:00

I think the al time record is still safe.

Reckon 36C is the highest we'll see today.

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Rob K
07 August 2020 13:01:49

I think the al time record is still safe.

Reckon 36C is the highest we'll see today.

 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Yes that's been my thinking. Wind seems to be gusting a bit more westerly here now and the temperature has fallen a couple of tenths. Maybe 45 mins before the cloud blocks the sun.

 

Heathrow currently only showing 34.0C for the 2pm figure but they often update after a few mins.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Rob K
07 August 2020 13:10:27

Just looking at the latest Arome run. It only shows a max of 29-30C for Heathrow tomorrow, which is some 6-7C lower than the Met Office forecast. High temps look to be restricted to the far south tomorrow on that run. 

Arpege also only going for 32C max tomorrow. Looks like the models have done a big about turn on the weekend!

iPhone weather app has also slashed the forecast with 34, 31, 31, 31 for London from tomorrow. Something has changed big time.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

warrenb
07 August 2020 13:14:40

Just looking at the latest Arome run. It only shows a max of 29-30C for Heathrow tomorrow, which is some 6-7C lower than the Met Office forecast. High temps look to be restricted to the far south tomorrow on that run. 

Arpege also only going for 32C max tomorrow. Looks like the models have done a big about turn on the weekend!

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Good 


Rob K
07 August 2020 13:19:20
Down from 33.7 to 33.3 here, wind picking up and cloud arriving. And Heathrow is only 20 miles from here. No records happening today, other than the date one which I assume has already gone.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
07 August 2020 13:19:44

Levelled off at 34.4*C here (2:15pm).

 

 

Here are the current soil moisture levels - quite low in parts of the south-east. A wide range across the country.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/soil4

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

That's a very interesting map, especially as I didn't know it existed until now.  I'm pleased to see that it confirms what I've been posting on TWO for many weeks about the local low soil moisture level in west Kent (and Surrey), which is the lowest in the country, along with coastal Norfolk, central South Coast, and south Devon areas.


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

redmoons
07 August 2020 13:22:45
35.3c @ 2.19pm, still going up by 1.9c an hour
Brian Gaze
07 August 2020 13:24:12

34.9C here. Cloud approaching.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

superteacher
07 August 2020 13:24:20

Just looking at the latest Arome run. It only shows a max of 29-30C for Heathrow tomorrow, which is some 6-7C lower than the Met Office forecast. High temps look to be restricted to the far south tomorrow on that run. 

Arpege also only going for 32C max tomorrow. Looks like the models have done a big about turn on the weekend!

iPhone weather app has also slashed the forecast with 34, 31, 31, 31 for London from tomorrow. Something has changed big time.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

 

Maybe factoring in more instability? Can’t see whet other major change there would be at 24 hours out. Or cloud ovarhang from today?

Rob K
07 August 2020 13:24:36

Heathrow was 35.4 at 2pm. I have no idea why Weathercast put 34.0C in as the rounded figure.

 

Re above it will be interesting to see if the Met drastically revise their website forecasts downwards over the next few hours.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Gusty
07 August 2020 13:24:47

ECM forecast maxes this weekend (add a couple of degrees as a rule of thumb).

 

Saturday

 

Sunday


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



07 August 2020 13:27:58

Heathrow was 35.4 at 2pm. I have no idea why Weathercast put 34.0C in as the rounded figure.

 

Re above it will be interesting to see if the Met drastically revise their website forecasts downwards over the next few hours.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

See my earlier post on this. The rounded figure is the METAR which is an entirely different reading available at 50 minutes past the hour. It is replaced once the hourly Met station reading is available.

07 August 2020 13:29:48

Heathrow was 35.4 at 2pm. I have no idea why Weathercast put 34.0C in as the rounded figure.

 

Re above it will be interesting to see if the Met drastically revise their website forecasts downwards over the next few hours.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Kew Gardens now ahead of Heathrow with 35.5C

Wisley even higher at 35.6C

Rob K
07 August 2020 13:30:07

 

See my earlier post on this. The rounded figure is the METAR which is an entirely different reading available at 50 minutes past the hour. It is replaced once the hourly Met station reading is available.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Thanks, I had missed that.

Kew just in the lead with 35.5C at 2pm.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

superteacher
07 August 2020 13:30:28
Heathrow will probably just squeeze out a 36. Maybe some locations further east may do better as any cloud will affect those locations later.
warrenb
07 August 2020 13:33:02
Holding steady at 35.1c
Sevendust
07 August 2020 13:33:04

The weak trough to the west has not been well forecasted. More activity than expected on that line so will influence things as the afternoon progresses

07 August 2020 13:34:33

Down from 33.7 to 33.3 here, wind picking up and cloud arriving. And Heathrow is only 20 miles from here. No records happening today, other than the date one which I assume has already gone.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Some cloud overhead here now but very fragmented.

Temperature has reached 33.9C so nearly up to the 34.5C last Friday.

Heavy Weather 2013
07 August 2020 13:34:40

Jiries is going to have a meltdown over this cloud


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

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