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 Met office 10 Day trend

Next 10 Days

New decade
New weather?

Start of 2020

Drier in the south
Unsettled further north
Often mild

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mostly mild but often wet and windy in the north

_________________________________

Wednesday 1 January – Sunday 5 January

Generally mild with rain, mostly in the north

New Year's Day will be rather cloudy for many, but some sunny spells are likely for parts of central and eastern Britain. Some patchy drizzle is likely in places, mainly in the west, but most areas will stay dry. Overnight and into Thursday morning, a weather system will move in from the west and northwest, bringing some bands of rain to Scotland and Northern Ireland. By Thursday afternoon some rain may reach into north Wales and northern England but further south and east, things will stay dry. Turning quite breezy in Scotland, with some strong wind gusts for northern areas.

By Friday, the front will clear away to the east with a ridge of high pressure expected to build in behind it. This will bring temperatures down to nearer the seasonal average. A weak front will linger over northern areas of Scotland and the Northern Isles, but elsewhere things will be dry with plenty of sunshine. Through the weekend, the weak front will remain in northern Scotland with dry weather elsewhere, but by Sunday the next weather front will begin to push in from the west bringing a wet and windy end to the weekend across Northern Ireland and Scotland. A mostly mild and dry start to 2020.

Monday 6 January – Sunday 12 January

A north-south split in the weather but mild

The first full week of January will see much more active weather systems move into the UK from the North Atlantic, often in rapid succession. However, this will be finely balanced, thanks to a ridge of high pressure that is expected to build into central Europe. The UK will lie on the edge of the influence of this high pressure zone, leading to a distinct north-south split in the expected weather. Southern areas of the UK will tend to feel the presence of the high pressure centre more often, and this will keep things mainly dry and fine. Occasional weather fronts may reach into the area, but they will tend to be weak and bring only patches of rain with some moderate to fresh winds. Southwesterly winds will continue to feed in tropical air from the Atlantic resulting in a mild outlook for the time of year.

This will be contrasted quite strongly with northern areas, which will see frequent fronts move through with some very strong winds, making for a stormy outlook. Rain may be heavy and persistent at times, especially for northern Scotland, with some gales or even severe gales along the coasts. The big question mark for this period is how far south the rain and winds will extend into the UK. There is still some uncertainty on the strength of the high, and there is a chance that is may be a little more dominant than forecast. This would tend to push fronts off to the northwest, resulting in drier and calmer weather for northern area as well as the south.

Monday 13 January – Sunday 26 January

Temperatures nearer normal, perhaps stormy

For the middle and latter weeks of January, things become a bit trickier to forecast. This is because the UK will sit on the edge of high pressure and low pressure, so very minor adjustments in the strength and position of these features will either see the UK remain mostly dry or become quite wet and windy. One thing is more certain; there are currently no strong signals for any prolonged cold outbreak throughout January, and temperatures are expected to be near or above average for most of the month. We do gradually expect high pressure to become more dominant as the month goes on. Things will turn slowly drier and calmer as weather fronts are pushed further northwest and closer to Iceland. This will be a very gradual transition, so mid-January will likely still be quite unsettled and possibly stormy at times, in parts of Scotland especially. Occasional weak fronts will likely reach into southern and eastern areas as well, but increasingly infrequently.

By late-month, high pressure should shift closer overhead with things drying out for most places. The only exception being the extreme north of Scotland and the Northern Isles, which may continue to see weak fronts bringing rain and some stronger winds. The high pressure will cut off our access to the milder tropical air, so while things will turn drier and calmer, the temperatures will tend to dip nearer to average. There is a risk that strong, more active weather systems could overpower the high pressure from Europe, keeping things unsettled and stormy for the UK. Therefore, confidence is medium to low towards the end of the month, and some of the details are likely to change in future updates.

Further ahead

We will try and pin down where exactly high pressure will reside through January and how much of an influence on our weather it will have.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Monday 6 Jan - Wednesday 15 Jan

It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year with some colder interludes possible.

Wednesday 15 Jan - Wednesday 29 Jan

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Just reading this on Devon live...

https://www.devonlive.com/news/devon-news/met-office-forecasts-uk-temperatures-3695502

Came from the Daily Express me thinks?

Just reading this on Devon live...

 

https://www.devonlive.com/news/devon-news/met-office-forecasts-uk-temperatures-3695502

 

Came from the Daily Express me thinks?

 

It’s total guff. When the forecast says ‘possible wintry showers on high ground in the Northwest’ they mean the Northwest of the UK not Newquay.
Anyone with the slightest hint of intelligence will realise these articles are nonsense (that wasn’t aimed at you by the way - just the gullible masses who believe this dross).

Tuesday 7 Jan - Thursday 16 Jan

It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground in the north. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year with some colder interludes possible.

Thursday 16 Jan - Thursday 30 Jan

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Next week

Unsettled
Rain at times
Strong winds, potentially disruptive
Often mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50977599

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• More mild and wet weather


• Drier spell by mid-month


• Cold weather fans clinging onto hope

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/01/03/john-hammonds-month-ahead-what-happened-winter/

Wednesday 8 Jan - Friday 17 Jan

It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground in the north. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year with some colder interludes possible.

Friday 17 Jan - Friday 31 Jan

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

A great article from the Met Office here, going on about the record warm records set last decade (8) versus record cold ones (1).

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2019/record-breaking-year-concludes-record-breaking-decade

Lots and lots of info there!

EDIT: And a really useful reference to records highs and lows too!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-extremes#?tab=climateExtremes

Next week

Gales
Rain at times
Very mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50987865

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mild outlook but often wet and windy in the north

_________________________________

Saturday 4 January – Sunday 12 January

Quite mild for most but wet in the northwest

The coming week is likely to see a large contrast in the weather of western Scotland and the weather in south-eastern areas of the UK. North-western parts of the UK will be often wet and windy with northwest Scotland seeing the most prolonged and heaviest of the rain. Meanwhile, the south-eastern quarter of England will be often dry and calmer with only infrequent rainfall. This weekend, we will already see this contrasting weather pattern with north-west Scotland seeing some prolonged outbreaks of rain. Other northern areas of the UK will be cloudy at times and breezy with patchy rain on Saturday giving way to more prolonged rain on Sunday.

The southern half of the UK will be largely dry and bright this weekend. Through Monday and Tuesday, it will become more widely wet and windy at times across the country with outbreaks of rain spreading from west to east. On Tuesday, gales or severe gales could bring damaging gusts of wind for a time in northwest Scotland. However, it will be mild for all. The middle to latter part of next week will also be rather mild for many but with rain and brisk winds most frequent in the north-west. Further south and east, it should often be dry and less breezy.

Monday 13 January – Sunday 19 January

A mild outlook - wettest in the northwest

Often mild conditions are likely to persist into the third week of January. Similar to the preceding week, north-western areas of the British Isles are likely to be wettest and windiest with frequent rainfall bringing above normal rainfall amounts. Western Scotland, Northern Ireland and Cumbria would be favoured as seeing the highest rainfall amounts. Further south and east, across much of the rest of the UK, conditions are likely to be more variable because of an area of high pressure expected over the near-continent.

There is likely to be occasional wet and breezy weather but with high pressure exerting its influence at times, bringing some lengthy periods of dry and calmer weather here too. Overall, temperatures are expected to be above average for January although occasional night frosts can be expected, particularly in the south and east of the country.

Monday 20 January – Sunday 2 February

More widely drier for a time, then wetter later

Late January is favoured to see high pressure shift nearer to the UK for a time. This means we should see more widely drier and calmer conditions for a while over the country with rainfall in the north-west becoming less frequent. No significant or lasting cold weather is expected but we can expect some night frosts and fog at times due to winds falling lighter, particularly over England and Wales.

By the very end of the month and into the start of February, there are hints that high pressure could move further away to the south-east again. Therefore, we could well see wetter and breezier conditions returning from the Atlantic then. However, there are chances that high pressure stays more stubborn or shifts further north than currently expected, which would bring a persistence of dry and calmer weather with a greater risk of some cold weather at times, particularly in the south.

Further ahead

We will take another look to see whether north-western parts of the UK can expect to see a temporary respite from the rain and wind later this month

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10665119/uk-weather-forecast-snow-britain-next-week-floods/

. What a load of utter rubbish 

14 inches (on the side of Ben Nevis) - NORDIC BLAST (which arrives from the err... west)? Rao will have to up his game at the express, there's a new guy in town.

Thursday 9 Jan - Saturday 18 Jan

It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground in the north. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year with some colder interludes possible.

Saturday 18 Jan - Saturday 1 Feb

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Friday 10 Jan - Sunday 19 Jan

It will turn drier and brighter for a time across the UK at the start of this period, but further ahead the southeast should see the best of any settled conditions with light winds and drier, brighter periods and sunny spells possible at times. Rain is still possible for the south, but is likely to be short lived in comparison to the north. Generally staying unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers, which could turn to snow over high ground. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be slow to clear. Temperatures look to be mostly above average for this period.

Sunday 19 Jan - Sunday 2 Feb

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Sunday 19 Jan - Sunday 2 Feb

Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gav you do realise that the above 16 to 30 day forecast which you copied and paste today, yesterday and day before are exactly the same forecast if you read the text despite the date stamp being different, the actual forecast hasn't been updated: - It's exactly the same word-by word isn't it, so nothing new?

Friday 17 Jan - Friday 31 Jan

Saturday 18 Jan - Saturday 1 Feb

This week

Rain and gales
Generally mild
Turning drier later

Weekend and beyond

Mild
More wind and rain
Drier in the south and east

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51000116