Met Office Hadley       5.9c.     Anomaly      1.1c. Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                   5.64c     Anomaly      0.64c

Netweather                6.26c     Anomaly      1.17c

Peasedown St John   6.7c   Anomaly    0.73c.           

Latest finishing CET mean for December is estimated by my calculations to be 6.02C. A very warm final few days of the month.

Met Office Hadley         5.8c.   Anomaly    1.0c. Provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                      5.62c  Anomaly    0.63c

Netweather                   6.26c  Anomaly    1.17c

Peasedown St John    6.7c     Anomaly     0.73c 

Met Office Hadley       5.8c.     Anomaly     1.1c. Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                    5.66c    Anomaly     0.66c

Netweather                 6.28c    Anomaly     1.19c

Peasedown St John    6.8c    Anomaly   0.83c.

It feels like a small inversion is setting up under this high with slightly suppressed temperatures than previously estimated ?

I need a 5.5 to 5.9 finish to beat WI's record error margin of 5.99 and I'm beginning to believe I have a crack at this now.

Today's update maintains it at 5.8c.

I'd be interested to know if the recent anticipated finish of 6.02 has been revised now GW. Cheers. 

Met Office Hadley      5.9c.    Anomaly    1.2c. Provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                   5.73c   Anomaly    0.73c

Netweather                6.35c   Anomaly    1.26c

Peasdown St John    6.9c.   Anomaly   0.93c.        

It feels like a small inversion is setting up under this high with slightly suppressed temperatures than previously estimated ?

I need a 5.5 to 5.9 finish to beat WI's record error margin of 5.99 and I'm beginning to believe I have a crack at this now.

Today's update maintains it at 5.8c.

I'd be interested to know if the recent anticipated finish of 6.02 has been revised now GW. Cheers. 

 

It has been revised downwards. Now just 5.82C. So the record is very much on.

 It has been revised downwards. Now just 5.82C. So the record is very much on.

Thanks for the update GW. Much appreciated. 

 

Thanks for the update GW. Much appreciated. 

   Good luck Steve!  

I remain calm Caz......not. 

Well, having held the all time record since 2016 has been an honour. Steve is homing in on not only the 2019 crown but also the all time minimum error.  I think that the all time minimum error remains in the balance, depending upon the degree of downward correction.

I do think the lack of clear nights may reduce the downward correction this month, possibly quite emphatically, but probably not enough to keep the CET at 5.92 or greater, as GW has indicated, a finish in the region of 5.85 seems probable.

Well, having held the all time record since 2016 has been an honour. Steve is homing in on not only the 2019 crown but also the all time minimum error.  I think that the all time minimum error remains in the balance, depending upon the degree of downward correction.

I do think the lack of clear nights may reduce the downward correction this month, possibly quite emphatically, but probably not enough to keep the CET at 5.92 or greater, as GW has indicated, a finish in the region of 5.85 seems probable.

 

Its going to be a photo finish Phil. 

A CET finish of less than 5.58 or greater than 5.92 - means you retain the minimum error title.

A CET finish of 5.49 or 5.91 results in a tie.

A CET finish of between 5.5 to 5.9 means the minimum error title transfers to me.

Met Office Hadley          6.0c.       Anomaly       1.3c. Provisional to 29th

Metcheck                       5.73c      Anomaly         0.74c

Netweather                    6.38c      Anomaly         1.29c

Peasedown St John       6.9c.      Anomaly         0.93c.  

 

It has been revised downwards. Now just 5.82C. So the record is very much on.

Hi, GW.

Are you carrying on with this for 2020?

 

Hi, GW.

Are you carrying on with this for 2020?

May as well take a little look ahead... probably going to continue taking part, I guess it's my one and only gambling addiction, except it's totally safe money-wise .

Approx. CET means (*C) for 1st week of Jan from the latest four 06z and 12z GFS runs (been up too late for 00z runs each day; not well):

4.8

3.3

6.3

4.8

A spread of 3.0 for just 7 days into the month.

Good luck everyone! 

If you mean the CET competition, I really hope so because I enjoy it so much!  

Indeed, Caz, its a great competition in its current form, and is extremely testing.  

 

 

 

Hi, GW.

 

Are you carrying on with this for 2020?

Yes - January thread has just been posted

 

Yes - January thread has just been posted

Fantastic 

I'm utterly rubbish at it, but love the competition. 

I just thought with you being so snowed under (pity not literally!!) at times again this year that you might knock it on the head, or hand over the baton to someone else.

Great to hear you're carrying on.

And all the best of luck to everyone for 2020.

 

Fantastic 

I'm utterly rubbish at it, but love the competition. 

I just thought with you being so snowed under (pity not literally!!) at times again this year that you might knock it on the head, or hand over the baton to someone else.

Great to hear you're carrying on.

And all the best of luck to everyone for 2020.

GW is Mr CET, so it just wouldn’t be the same if he handed over the baton.