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Happy Christmas and fingers crossed for some better charts for January !
P02 of the 18z ensembles...?
Just for fun! Only 1 member of the 18z ensemble runs has a northerly during 2md week of Jan 19.
Wishful thinking here but something to take note of. Hope we'll see.more runs like this in the coming days and weeks once this SSW has reached the N.Pole!
Merry Xmas everyone.😁
Stella charts? Definitely those viewed through a glass of Stella Artois.
I don't see anything stellar in the next 10 days or so, neither the great majority of charts nor in the ensembles. Frost if we're lucky, fog if we're not, but the ensembles do show a dip to (just) below average temps at the end of the run around Jan 7/8th
Merry Christmas TWO people. Gfs Para the most generous this festive morning slim pickings though.
News from the t'other side suggests the ECM 46 is still solidly cold weeks 3 to 6.
Really? Out to Jan 20th it offers virtually nothing cold at all apart from a 1C anomaly in Scotland and Northern Ireland during week 4. Weeks 5 and 6 may be more promising but by then we're into Feb and it means the cold has been pushed back yet again.
OK well not so good then . At the the moment it doesn't look like the SSW is going to work for the UK. which is a massive disappointment.
Merry Xmas to all on TWO.
TBH, I think we are still some way from knowing whether or not the SSW is going to be of any use to us. As far as I know, it is still ongoing at this moment in time and it may be some days yet before the models begin to properly factor in whatever effects it has. My feeling is that at the moment, it is probably still to early to tell.
EC Day 10 mean about as bad as it gets for coldies. Another very mild winter now looking likely probably followed by more record heat in 2019 as our planet goes mad
And a very Merry Christmas from the 06z GFS
Have A Very Merry Mild Christmas Everyone --Have a nice day -- longing for cold - it will most likely come at Easter
MODELS/CHARTS
So the next 10 days sets the standard for the following 8 weeks
Oh please do me a favour
Have A Very Merry Mild Christmas Everyone --Have a nice day -- longing for cold - it will most likely come at Easter MODELS/CHARTS
Its 5.8c currently, hardly mild
So the next 10 days sets the standard for the following 8 weeksOh please do me a favour
Don’t react Marcus. He’ll be back when the snow starts to fall. Strat. charts have improved this morning. MJO racing through phase 6 (phase 7/8 promotes Atlantic sector HLB) and EC46 although not so good weeks 5 on it wobbles more than CFS on a blancmange
🎄👍
After the long, hot, stagnant Summer, I was hoping that this Winter would offer recompense with some proper cool and wild weather. Instead, it has been a 'groundhog day' scenario since the Autumn and looking increasingly likely to continue that way until another long, drawn out Summer arrives.